Political-Jaguar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$324

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

867

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-17 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-324

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$841	648	648	+0	open	—	05-18 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776464700	3	$763	480	467	+13	open	—	04-17 22:30
btc updown 5m 1776460200	2	$744	460	449	+12	open	—	04-17 21:15
btc updown 5m 1776466500	3	$720	1,747	0	+1,747	open	—	04-17 22:56
btc updown 5m 1776465000	2	$685	513	490	+23	open	—	04-17 22:36
btc updown 5m 1776431700	2	$620	325	323	+2	open	—	04-17 13:20
btc updown 5m 1776462300	2	$561	377	365	+13	open	—	04-17 21:51
btc updown 5m 1776461700	2	$547	362	351	+12	open	—	04-17 21:41
btc updown 5m 1776428400	2	$515	328	319	+9	open	—	04-17 12:25
btc updown 5m 1776429300	2	$511	323	314	+9	open	—	04-17 12:40
btc updown 5m 1776432600	2	$501	312	304	+8	open	—	04-17 13:36
btc updown 5m 1776893400	2	$440	245	242	+3	open	—	04-22 21:35
btc updown 5m 1776431100	2	$433	238	235	+3	open	—	04-17 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776897900	3	$395	284	272	+11	open	—	04-22 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776426900	2	$349	263	251	+12	open	—	04-17 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$301	178	178	+0	open	—	05-16 18:35
btc updown 5m 1776466200	1	$300	514	0	+514	open	—	04-17 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776425700	4	$299	171	170	+2	open	—	04-17 11:41
btc updown 5m 1776455700	2	$291	200	193	+7	open	—	04-17 20:01
btc updown 5m 1776459000	2	$280	189	182	+6	open	—	04-17 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776422700	2	$271	178	172	+6	open	—	04-17 10:50
btc updown 5m 1776463200	2	$268	175	170	+5	open	—	04-17 22:06
btc updown 5m 1776423600	2	$266	172	167	+5	open	—	04-17 11:05
btc updown 5m 1776453900	2	$266	172	167	+5	open	—	04-17 19:30
btc updown 5m 1776425100	2	$263	169	164	+5	open	—	04-17 11:31
btc updown 5m 1776896400	2	$260	167	162	+5	open	—	04-22 22:25
btc updown 5m 1776459900	2	$253	159	154	+4	open	—	04-17 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$250	152	152	+0	open	—	05-18 14:00
btc updown 5m 1776463500	2	$238	143	140	+3	open	—	04-17 22:11
btc updown 5m 1776462000	2	$237	141	138	+3	open	—	04-17 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 15:38:21	btc updown 5m 1784302500	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8c821b…
07-17 15:38:10	btc updown 5m 1784302500	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x5e7160…
07-17 15:35:24	btc updown 5m 1784302200	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x71c252…
07-17 15:33:25	btc updown 5m 1784302200	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xc81946…
07-17 15:30:33	btc updown 5m 1784301900	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1cdf22…
07-17 15:25:55	btc updown 5m 1784301900	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdecae9…
07-17 15:25:37	btc updown 5m 1784301900	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4248f4…
07-17 15:25:16	btc updown 5m 1784301600	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x088f7d…
07-17 15:21:28	btc updown 5m 1784301600	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5b8bdc…
07-17 15:21:16	btc updown 5m 1784301600	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x64c68c…
07-17 15:18:03	btc updown 5m 1784301300	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8d90af…
07-17 15:16:45	btc updown 5m 1784301300	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xc7df70…
07-17 15:07:39	btc updown 5m 1784300700	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x1eb399…
07-17 14:59:10	btc updown 5m 1784300100	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x255fd4…
07-17 14:58:54	btc updown 5m 1784300100	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x90e3c9…
07-17 14:58:25	btc updown 5m 1784300100	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbc88d3…
07-17 14:57:57	btc updown 5m 1784300100	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x5160d5…
07-17 14:55:03	btc updown 5m 1784299800	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x4d7154…
07-17 14:48:06	btc updown 5m 1784299500	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x0df3a8…
07-17 14:44:12	btc updown 5m 1784299200	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x038683…
07-17 14:41:57	btc updown 5m 1784299200	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xc45925…
07-17 14:37:21	btc updown 5m 1784298900	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8f859c…
06-09 10:46:21	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xaf8626…
06-09 10:37:33	btc updown 5m 1781001300	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x33e65d…
06-09 10:26:36	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1a9929…
06-09 10:24:13	btc updown 5m 1781000400	Down	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x2e3ca4…
06-09 10:17:46	btc updown 5m 1781000100	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x858893…
06-09 10:14:01	btc updown 5m 1780999800	Down	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x942b49…
06-09 09:52:28	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc64123…
06-09 09:37:27	btc updown 5m 1780997700	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x953ef5…
06-09 09:27:52	btc updown 5m 1780997100	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x1c47d0…
06-09 08:44:15	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb448c2…
06-09 08:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8b53d7…
05-21 10:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xef398e…
05-21 10:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa2d052…
05-21 10:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x007cc2…
05-21 10:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x093f48…
05-21 10:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x60d161…
05-21 10:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x87850c…
05-21 10:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x1086b2…
05-21 10:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x877627…
05-21 10:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9867a3…
05-21 10:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0xe97c1c…
05-21 10:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x97c48b…
05-20 14:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcef800…
05-20 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9ed2ed…
05-20 14:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x25e9b4…
05-20 13:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xca5249…
05-20 13:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x50fec7…
05-20 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x74d065…
05-20 13:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x3569ce…
05-20 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,205	2¢	$23	0x7a09ef…
05-20 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0142e3…
05-20 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xeb2539…
05-20 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x37e765…
05-20 13:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xee71eb…
05-20 12:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x17065e…
05-19 11:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x894bf6…
05-19 11:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x54d987…
05-19 11:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5237eb…
05-19 11:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x8e945d…
05-19 11:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa00c44…
05-19 11:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	329	8¢	$25	0x8362c8…
05-19 11:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	174	14¢	$25	0x9c0233…
05-19 11:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x143696…
05-19 11:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xf0751b…
05-19 11:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xd11301…
05-19 11:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69ee46…
05-19 11:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x578121…
05-19 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x30abcc…
05-19 10:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xc8d63c…
05-19 10:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0xbf89df…
05-19 10:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xf784aa…
05-19 10:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xacc130…
05-19 10:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xc8654c…
05-19 10:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x1d4dce…
05-19 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xfc2686…
05-19 10:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x948e36…
05-19 10:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xd8b769…
05-19 09:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xce056b…
05-19 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xfa48da…
05-19 09:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xde9b68…
05-19 09:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x3ca184…
05-19 09:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc795b1…
05-19 09:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1895a2…
05-19 09:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9039f3…
05-19 09:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x98879a…
05-19 09:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe408d2…
05-19 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	449	6¢	$25	0xa9312f…
05-19 09:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x9638a1…
05-19 09:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0x28cc20…
05-19 09:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x948245…
05-19 09:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x8ecac7…
05-19 08:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfd6996…
05-19 08:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x45c042…
05-19 07:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xbdcefe…
05-19 07:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x8eb6d3…
05-19 07:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x6ddd88…
05-19 07:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x0f4019…
05-19 07:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x587308…