Cloudy-Thunder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

833

Trades

1,645

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-15 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$11

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 82k on january 30	6	$39	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	01-30 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 06:20 UTC	3	$34	19	17	+2	Up	$0	03-25 06:25
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$20	78	78	+0	No	$0	03-17 06:09
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$20	78	78	+0	No	$0	03-17 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:00 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	03-27 10:03
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	9	$11	73	5	+68	No	-$4	01-31 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:35 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-27 09:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 07:45 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-25 07:49
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:35 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-20 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:30 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-22 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 08:30 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-21 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 09:35 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	04-19 09:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:20 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-21 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:15 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	04-21 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:25 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-22 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 06:15 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$0	04-21 06:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 05:55 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-22 05:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 07:15 UTC	3	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-25 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:05 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-20 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:00 UTC	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$7	03-28 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:55 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	$0	04-20 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 09:50 UTC	2	$7	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	03-27 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:15 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-20 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-30 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:40 UTC	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	04-18 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x80290f…
05-15 07:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf4eb37…
05-15 07:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x74c91d…
05-15 07:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb3affb…
05-15 07:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xe32557…
05-15 07:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0e7694…
05-15 06:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xc56804…
05-15 06:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7165a7…
05-15 06:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa1d113…
05-15 06:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xed9fbd…
05-15 05:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xae1ef6…
05-15 05:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x08bdac…
05-15 05:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4c0d29…
05-15 05:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x376bf6…
05-15 04:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1af0b2…
05-15 03:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcde888…
05-15 03:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xb576c2…
05-15 03:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x056358…
05-15 02:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa5a50d…
05-15 02:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd153eb…
05-15 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xcebd0f…
05-15 02:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xef5c2b…
05-15 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6302d6…
05-15 00:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcf7224…
05-15 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6e0de4…
05-15 00:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x700938…
05-14 23:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0f245b…
05-14 23:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1b367a…
05-14 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xdb2ed4…
05-14 20:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6f8565…
05-14 20:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7c21f0…
05-14 20:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf473aa…
05-14 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x652bfe…
05-14 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa637c1…
05-14 19:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8684e9…
05-14 19:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2c01e0…
05-14 19:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x72ff61…
05-14 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x24c411…
05-14 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x0db4cc…
05-14 19:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x4d2d4d…
05-14 18:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x24d0c7…
05-14 18:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1076af…
05-14 18:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x33458d…
05-14 18:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd7073c…
05-14 18:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x9af82c…
05-14 18:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb729a6…
05-14 18:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf3baed…
05-14 18:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8e6a44…
05-14 17:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa542b0…
05-14 17:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4f5484…
05-14 17:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc0684d…
05-14 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x803e95…
05-14 17:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x80a1f5…
05-14 17:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8eb139…
05-14 17:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x4b6e3e…
05-14 17:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1e45ad…
05-14 17:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x695085…
05-14 17:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd5d445…
05-14 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6e4caa…
05-14 17:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x431bdf…
05-14 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x849920…
05-14 17:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0344e0…
05-14 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x3e40dd…
05-14 17:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x08aabc…
05-14 16:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x645f43…
05-14 16:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xea4d92…
05-14 15:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x52be89…
05-14 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe0c312…
05-14 15:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x83d214…
05-14 15:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xea5507…
05-14 14:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0xd35e3e…
05-14 14:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xa1f5f1…
05-14 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbe3bcf…
05-14 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc43321…
05-14 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xebd96a…
05-14 14:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x20abcd…
05-14 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x25bd9f…
05-14 14:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1c943e…
05-14 14:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfb4796…
05-14 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x275543…
05-14 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4feeb4…
05-14 13:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9f9db4…
05-14 10:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd0f210…
05-14 10:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x90ded2…
05-14 08:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc2ff63…
05-14 08:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd43137…
05-14 05:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1a6ab2…
05-14 05:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7d4243…
05-14 04:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x9632da…
05-14 04:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe2a8ea…
05-14 04:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6b3efd…
05-14 04:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc807e9…
05-14 03:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x9469bb…
05-14 03:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x22c363…
05-14 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x326c8c…
05-14 02:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0dadb9…
05-14 00:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x3900d9…
05-14 00:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd81a5e…
05-13 19:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7f166e…
05-13 19:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x433a12…