Those-Core — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

185

Trades

412

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-19 22:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

53% 56% -$3

Sports

47% 64% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$93	180	170	+10	No	+$23	05-12 21:55
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	8	$85	1,376	1,376	+0	No	+$5	03-19 18:08
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$47	28	28	+0	Yes	+$7	06-22 19:00
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$47	27	27	+0	Yes	+$7	06-25 00:24
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$47	2,807	2,807	+0	No	+$7	05-16 19:54
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$42	25	25	+0	Yes	+$2	06-24 19:42
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$41	286	286	+0	No	+$1	04-25 16:34
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$36	22	22	+0	Yes	+$6	06-20 22:12
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$34	21	21	+0	Yes	+$4	06-19 19:58
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$33	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-24 19:42
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$32	21	21	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 21:27
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	7	$31	882	866	+17	No	+$3	05-15 23:24
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$28	18	18	+0	Yes	+$8	06-26 01:12
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	06-19 03:04
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$25	331	294	+36	No	-$1	07-11 21:38
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$5	06-19 03:04
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	06-24 23:28
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	06-20 22:12
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-22 19:00
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$22	229	229	+0	No	+$0	04-26 21:43
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$22	21	21	+0	Yes	-$8	06-21 21:01
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-17 21:27
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-24 19:42
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$21	82	82	+0	No	+$1	03-28 07:02
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$21	714	714	+0	No	+$1	04-29 20:47
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$21	74	74	+0	No	+$1	05-05 07:23
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-24 19:42
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-18 19:57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$18	54	54	+0	No	+$12	07-15 21:19
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$17	18	18	+0	Yes	-$3	06-24 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 22:32:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xadf8ed…
08-19 11:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x7ccf14…
08-19 02:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d0de4…
08-19 02:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xb2e54a…
08-18 16:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x16c4c6…
08-18 06:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x942037…
08-18 06:38:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7fcc66…
08-18 06:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x61d6fa…
08-18 06:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x8d8484…
08-18 06:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x19306e…
08-18 00:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd02862…
08-17 19:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4079f1…
08-17 14:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7329c7…
08-17 14:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6a9745…
08-17 12:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd4775f…
08-17 08:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x16334b…
08-17 07:24:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe28160…
08-17 07:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x99b7b3…
08-17 07:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xad1c3c…
08-17 03:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x88ebf9…
08-17 03:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x2bf6f3…
08-16 17:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5925ea…
08-16 17:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdfc286…
08-16 17:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xab37be…
08-16 17:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x310953…
08-16 17:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x005ab7…
08-16 17:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x70dc53…
08-16 17:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0eef7d…
08-16 17:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe98dec…
08-16 17:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x88a3c3…
08-14 18:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd67f63…
08-13 17:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf996ab…
08-12 23:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x849d67…
08-12 23:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xa31627…
08-12 22:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe5ea81…
08-12 22:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x361665…
08-12 22:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd1d779…
08-12 22:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 12?	Yes	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x329fc6…
08-12 21:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 12?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x533527…
08-12 16:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5d3dc5…
08-12 16:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x910ea2…
08-12 15:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x1ff481…
08-12 15:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xc613a7…
08-12 15:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x37a873…
08-12 15:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4a2a65…
08-12 15:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b6243…
08-12 04:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xadea13…
08-12 04:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe27ed6…
08-12 00:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6329a4…
08-12 00:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x304f9a…
08-11 15:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe766c8…
08-11 15:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x6ece27…
08-11 15:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x72e221…
08-11 14:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0630c1…
08-11 14:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7898f0…
08-11 14:12:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x969015…
08-11 14:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcf148f…
08-11 14:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97d4e1…
08-11 03:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x710e37…
08-11 03:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0f65ea…
08-11 02:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa6f41d…
08-11 02:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc2d2c0…
08-10 23:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xa420a3…
08-10 23:11:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x34d0a0…
08-10 17:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe60fd3…
08-10 17:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6b8b95…
08-10 17:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x060f1d…
08-10 16:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x87f335…
08-10 12:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdf5d54…
08-10 12:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x39f865…
08-10 04:12:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7d42b0…
08-10 04:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x190b8f…
08-09 21:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d4b18…
08-09 21:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x772172…
08-09 20:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3cfdb8…
08-09 20:58:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x428225…
08-09 16:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb9632d…
08-09 16:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1f4108…
08-09 16:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb78851…
08-09 12:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x40bf94…
08-09 09:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x292081…
08-09 08:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x693f18…
08-09 08:12:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4cbfa9…
08-09 08:11:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x99919d…
08-09 08:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3e479…
08-08 05:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x800ce3…
08-08 05:11:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6af4df…
08-08 05:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x060632…
08-08 05:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xee16d7…
08-08 05:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc9104f…
08-07 15:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x947eb4…
08-07 15:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x966160…
08-07 15:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7cf11b…
08-07 04:21:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 8?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd1201c…
07-15 21:19:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x0036e0…
07-11 21:38:49	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x0ce118…
07-11 21:38:37	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	94	8¢	$7	0xb5bcd6…
07-07 17:57:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x6abc8c…
07-07 17:44:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x39db47…
07-07 05:59:50	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x8c359e…