Natural-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

1,068

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$202.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-21 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 93% -$199

Other

12% 90% -$71

Politics

2% 94% -$11

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?	4	$444	223	223	+0	No	+$2	09-11 14:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	4	$439	220	220	+0	No	+$1	09-03 15:58
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	4	$427	214	214	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 13:38
will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$402	202	202	+0	No	+$2	04-12 19:32
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	4	$401	201	201	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 08:50
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	4	$401	201	201	+0	No	+$1	03-30 13:01
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	7	$400	201	201	+0	No	$0	04-17 14:38
bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	2	$229	115	115	+0	No	+$1	07-13 15:38
bitcoin up or down on august 18 2026	2	$227	115	115	+0	Up	+$2	08-18 15:34
bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	2	$227	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	08-19 14:16
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	2	$227	114	114	+0	Yes	+$0	08-19 00:16
bitcoin above 66k on august 18 2026	2	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$1	08-18 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:30 UTC	2	$227	130	128	+2	Down	+$29	04-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$226	130	128	+2	Down	+$29	04-27 13:59
bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	2	$226	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	08-18 15:46
bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	2	$226	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	08-18 13:59
bitcoin above 62k on august 17 2026	2	$226	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	08-17 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$226	128	126	+2	Down	+$28	04-27 15:14
will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	2	$226	114	114	+0	No	+$1	08-17 02:04
bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	3	$226	113	113	+0	Up	+$0	08-17 15:38
bitcoin above 62k on august 16 2026	2	$226	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	08-16 13:19
bitcoin above 64k on august 16 2026	2	$225	113	113	+0	No	+$1	08-16 13:57
bitcoin above 62k on august 15 2026	2	$225	113	113	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC	3	$225	128	126	+2	Down	+$27	04-19 23:14
bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	2	$225	113	113	+0	No	+$1	08-17 13:04
bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	2	$225	113	113	+0	Yes	+$0	08-16 02:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	2	$225	113	113	+0	Yes	+$1	09-11 14:32
bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	2	$224	113	113	+0	Yes	+$1	08-14 15:46
bitcoin above 64k on august 15 2026	3	$224	113	113	+0	No	+$1	08-15 15:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 15?	2	$224	113	113	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 09:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xc74f02…
09-21 09:52:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x0203aa…
09-21 09:34:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	SELL	109	77¢	$85	0x7371a8…
09-21 08:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x12c988…
09-21 03:44:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x008b22…
09-21 01:56:34	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xc6bd6b…
09-21 00:55:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xcb3ae7…
09-20 18:07:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x7f8178…
09-20 15:46:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x5164ca…
09-20 15:29:25	bitcoin up or down on september 20 2026	Down	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x3b86e6…
09-20 14:05:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x881337…
09-20 13:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x4edb14…
09-20 13:29:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x3dc538…
09-20 12:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x57ec29…
09-20 12:50:40	bitcoin up or down on september 20 2026	Down	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x7e351f…
09-20 09:48:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x566e23…
09-20 07:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xa496f6…
09-20 06:40:27	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x10d25f…
09-20 04:00:58	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$108	0x06f0ae…
09-19 20:00:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xa8e9bc…
09-19 15:12:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xdfae70…
09-19 14:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x20e047…
09-19 14:02:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x8135f8…
09-19 13:48:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x326cc3…
09-19 13:33:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xa5b257…
09-19 09:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xfc618d…
09-19 00:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa55e44…
09-18 18:38:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x062f9f…
09-18 16:49:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$107	0x8bc9cc…
09-18 16:24:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x3e532f…
09-18 15:39:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x09c594…
09-18 15:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xf95865…
09-18 15:14:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x20bcf0…
09-18 15:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x60f4f7…
09-18 14:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x083dfc…
09-18 14:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x80ad18…
09-18 13:56:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x2a6dfb…
09-18 13:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	SELL	111	75¢	$83	0x462536…
09-18 13:39:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x1017bb…
09-18 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xac5298…
09-18 09:05:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0xb01d90…
09-17 21:19:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa232e5…
09-17 16:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$110	0x1a8ca4…
09-17 16:01:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x4a3d5e…
09-17 15:52:42	bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	Up	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x03fabf…
09-17 14:40:46	bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xade726…
09-17 14:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xbba0cf…
09-17 13:47:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x5f5daf…
09-17 12:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x60762d…
09-17 05:22:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xc2bdab…
09-17 04:21:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x40f665…
09-17 03:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0x8731f6…
09-16 20:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0x7aed52…
09-16 19:56:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xd9118e…
09-16 16:38:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xd350af…
09-16 16:22:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0x038150…
09-16 15:29:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x476842…
09-16 15:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1272da…
09-16 15:27:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf5d4a4…
09-16 14:57:47	bitcoin above 72k on september 16 2026	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x392660…
09-16 14:29:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xf039c6…
09-16 13:58:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x2ea17f…
09-16 13:58:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xa191a0…
09-16 07:28:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x1f2967…
09-16 01:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xc2aae7…
09-16 00:08:30	bitcoin above 72k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xd583fa…
09-15 21:50:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x6ba0ad…
09-15 20:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x4df392…
09-15 17:51:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x1e281f…
09-15 17:15:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xaad450…
09-15 17:06:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x2ec958…
09-15 15:57:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x25b055…
09-15 15:36:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x64ede0…
09-15 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Down	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0xe544d4…
09-15 14:39:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x126cd4…
09-15 14:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$108	0x176569…
09-15 14:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$108	0x6269fe…
09-15 13:33:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xcbb4a8…
09-15 08:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	Yes	SELL	112	78¢	$87	0xf807ac…
09-15 07:37:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x4c8cef…
09-15 07:29:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x8e7e14…
09-15 05:07:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x49f61f…
09-15 05:06:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$110	0xd41ede…
09-15 04:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x9d5e74…
09-14 20:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x97b8f3…
09-14 15:39:24	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x82006c…
09-14 15:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x7db3db…
09-14 14:35:27	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	112	99¢	$110	0x701c31…
09-14 14:20:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x8a237e…
09-14 13:35:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x37f3bb…
09-14 12:20:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xc9c287…
09-14 03:23:21	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x506bc7…
09-14 02:54:01	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x73e874…
09-14 02:08:25	will bitcoin dip to 74k september 7 13 2026	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xf62068…
09-14 01:17:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x28663d…
09-13 22:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x254c28…
09-13 17:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x3d581a…
09-13 15:41:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x215939…
09-13 15:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x0f9b55…
09-13 14:00:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x8a1d4c…