Shadowy-Pea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$262

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-13 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 61% -$279

Other

20% 15% +$17

Politics

7% 20% +$0

Sports

1% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	2	$272	276	0	+276	Yes	+$3	01-08 07:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 6	2	$272	275	0	+275	No	+$3	01-06 13:09
ethereum above 3300 on january 13	2	$266	268	0	+268	No	+$2	01-13 06:12
xrp above 2pt3 on january 12	1	$265	266	0	+266	No	+$2	01-12 06:48
solana above 120 on january 2	1	$263	264	0	+264	Yes	+$1	01-02 07:58
solana above 150 on january 5	1	$262	265	0	+265	No	+$3	01-05 05:08
will the price of bitcoin be less than 88000 on january 21	2	$240	243	0	+243	Yes	-$240	01-21 16:18
solana above 140 on january 18	2	$238	243	0	+243	Yes	+$6	01-18 15:11
xrp above 1pt9 on january 19	1	$226	228	0	+228	Yes	+$2	01-18 22:04
cbb vulyn morgst 2026 01 20	2	$217	221	0	+221	Morgan State Bears	+$4	01-20 21:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	6	$133	66,486	66,486	+0	No	+$0	03-26 15:00
bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	2	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	07-25 01:34
will open reach 5 25 by march 30 2026	1	$99	103	0	+103	No	+$4	04-02 21:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	3	$99	103	0	+103	Yes	+$4	06-01 17:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	3	$95	47,306	47,306	+0	No	$0	03-04 12:39
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?	1	$93	97	0	+97	No	+$4	05-16 20:02
will david belliard win the paris mayor election	2	$93	46,423	46,423	+0	No	+$0	03-07 13:26
xrp above 1pt4 on march 18	1	$92	93	0	+93	Yes	+$2	03-17 20:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 6	2	$91	92	0	+92	No	+$1	04-06 02:11
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 16:00 UTC	2	$87	89	0	+89	Down	+$2	03-10 18:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?	1	$86	88	0	+88	No	+$2	05-25 01:47
will thierry mariani win the paris mayor election	2	$85	42,421	42,421	+0	No	+$0	03-08 12:48
solana above 80 on march 11	3	$76	78	0	+78	Yes	+$3	03-10 21:31
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	6	$72	36,247	36,247	+0	No	+$0	04-12 16:35
ethereum above 3100 on january 20	2	$65	68	0	+68	No	-$65	01-19 21:22
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	3	$64	32,012	32,012	+0	No	+$0	03-29 15:03
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 40 59	3	$64	31,938	31,938	+0	No	$0	03-28 12:52
ethereum above 2200 on march 12	1	$60	62	0	+62	No	+$2	03-11 21:57
will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	4	$43	21,729	21,729	+0	No	+$0	03-16 14:31
atp baena vasa 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	2	$35	17,685	17,685	+0	Over 2.5	+$0	03-10 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 01:21:39	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0x6497af…
07-25 01:34:57	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x5a0587…
07-25 01:17:37	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd242fe…
07-08 03:56:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xc3e5c1…
06-01 17:45:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb84315…
06-01 17:32:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x4152ad…
06-01 17:31:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb7b742…
05-25 01:47:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xaef1eb…
05-18 02:41:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc0a3c5…
05-16 20:02:02	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?	No	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0xd686d5…
05-13 23:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$2	0xe64d43…
05-10 06:53:09	Will XRP reach $1.80 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$1	0x20e8bd…
04-27 10:50:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xb50ccc…
04-22 09:12:02	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14,135	0¢	$14	0x59e36f…
04-22 09:10:58	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,135	0¢	$14	0x03f701…
04-14 07:39:25	Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	17,327	0¢	$17	0xc55364…
04-14 07:38:19	Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	17,327	0¢	$17	0xe44451…
04-13 09:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,777	0¢	$6	0x662281…
04-13 09:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,777	0¢	$6	0x0a2b8a…
04-12 16:35:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32,623	0¢	$33	0x59e4c3…
04-12 16:34:23	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,624	0¢	$4	0x26ce02…
04-12 16:33:23	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x8b562f…
04-12 16:33:17	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x131298…
04-12 16:33:15	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x646baf…
04-12 16:33:15	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36,051	0¢	$36	0x54e0a5…
04-11 08:19:51	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 60 79	Yes	SELL	9,842	0¢	$10	0xe93995…
04-11 08:19:19	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 60 79	Yes	SELL	2,205	0¢	$2	0xa8f3f1…
04-11 08:18:45	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 60 79	Yes	BUY	12,681	0¢	$13	0x504e56…
04-09 09:48:59	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner columbus blue jackets	Yes	SELL	12,159	0¢	$12	0xfac5e3…
04-09 09:47:53	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner columbus blue jackets	Yes	BUY	12,159	0¢	$12	0xe6e025…
04-06 09:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,005	0¢	$4	0x3d0321…
04-06 09:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,005	0¢	$4	0x2e0fb0…
04-06 07:03:53	bitcoin above 70k on april 6	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xdd9ebc…
04-06 02:11:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 6	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x673237…
04-06 01:31:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 6	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xfbf6d6…
04-05 11:05:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 5	No	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xe708ee…
04-03 09:24:33	will msft dip to 352 50 by march 30 2026	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$2	0x0f446c…
04-02 21:14:55	will open reach 5 25 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0xe226d7…
03-30 21:15:59	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 20 39	Yes	SELL	6,129	0¢	$6	0x2423f1…
03-30 21:14:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 20 39	Yes	BUY	6,129	0¢	$6	0x553a3b…
03-29 15:03:22	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	Yes	SELL	27,732	0¢	$28	0x94d3cc…
03-29 15:02:46	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	Yes	SELL	4,280	0¢	$4	0x3fa16e…
03-29 15:02:14	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	Yes	BUY	32,012	0¢	$32	0x8529e7…
03-28 12:52:55	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 40 59	Yes	SELL	27,558	0¢	$28	0xb44d6b…
03-28 12:52:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 40 59	Yes	SELL	4,380	0¢	$4	0x981a1d…
03-28 12:51:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 40 59	Yes	BUY	31,938	0¢	$32	0x079b1f…
03-26 15:00:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	SELL	26,719	0¢	$27	0x62f706…
03-26 14:59:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	SELL	4,380	0¢	$4	0xd13a62…
03-26 14:58:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	BUY	31,099	0¢	$31	0xfc6454…
03-25 22:13:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	SELL	32,057	0¢	$32	0x26eadd…
03-25 22:12:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	SELL	3,330	0¢	$3	0xeaba98…
03-25 22:12:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	BUY	35,387	0¢	$35	0x5b9577…
03-21 05:53:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 21	No	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xe1b954…
03-17 20:27:41	xrp above 1pt4 on march 18	Yes	BUY	93	98¢	$92	0x3118dc…
03-16 14:31:47	will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	7,226	0¢	$7	0xd196d5…
03-16 14:30:37	will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7,226	0¢	$7	0xd5a8e3…
03-15 13:55:07	will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14,503	0¢	$15	0x70200e…
03-15 13:54:05	will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	14,503	0¢	$15	0xc67fee…
03-13 10:50:05	wta erjavec brancac 2026 03 13	Nuria Brancaccio	SELL	4,541	0¢	$5	0xedd36b…
03-13 10:47:39	wta erjavec brancac 2026 03 13	Nuria Brancaccio	BUY	4,541	0¢	$5	0xc0b505…
03-12 10:51:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xb85ecf…
03-11 21:57:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 12	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x5f6fd9…
03-11 14:03:27	elon musk of tweets march 2026 560 579	Yes	SELL	5,118	0¢	$5	0x504bed…
03-11 14:01:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 560 579	Yes	BUY	5,118	0¢	$5	0x64fe82…
03-11 01:43:01	will xrp dip to 1pt35 on march 10	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x846435…
03-11 01:42:43	will xrp dip to 1pt35 on march 10	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x3b3d52…
03-10 21:31:57	solana above 80 on march 11	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xe8bfb8…
03-10 21:14:39	solana above 80 on march 11	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x8a9cf1…
03-10 21:12:53	solana above 80 on march 11	Yes	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x757623…
03-10 18:56:11	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc42a6a…
03-10 18:34:25	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x7041c6…
03-10 13:46:43	atp baena vasa 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	SELL	17,685	0¢	$18	0xfd5379…
03-10 13:45:33	atp baena vasa 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	17,685	0¢	$18	0xdd1c53…
03-08 12:48:13	will thierry mariani win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	42,421	0¢	$42	0x8368d0…
03-08 12:47:07	will thierry mariani win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	42,421	0¢	$42	0x4b61c6…
03-07 13:26:49	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	46,423	0¢	$46	0x12b15a…
03-07 13:25:43	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	46,423	0¢	$46	0xdd857b…
03-06 19:18:57	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	SELL	9,000	0¢	$9	0x8b97fa…
03-06 19:17:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	SELL	3,180	0¢	$3	0xa38352…
03-06 19:17:05	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	BUY	12,180	0¢	$12	0xb2b7c0…
03-05 17:17:55	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by march 31 746	No	SELL	10,405	0¢	$10	0xfe0f80…
03-05 17:16:45	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by march 31 746	No	BUY	10,405	0¢	$10	0xdf654b…
03-04 12:39:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	Yes	SELL	43,906	0¢	$44	0x176160…
03-04 12:38:35	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	Yes	SELL	3,400	0¢	$3	0xffd10c…
03-04 12:38:03	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	Yes	BUY	47,306	0¢	$47	0x8f50e2…
03-03 17:36:55	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	SELL	13,582	0¢	$14	0xf5f8bc…
03-03 17:35:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	BUY	13,582	0¢	$14	0xcbfffd…
01-21 23:24:04	cbb utahv sutah 2026 01 21	Utah Valley Wolverines	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x8e2f27…
01-21 16:18:18	will the price of bitcoin be less than 88000 on january 21	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x23ae49…
01-21 16:08:10	will the price of bitcoin be less than 88000 on january 21	No	BUY	242	99¢	$240	0x3b087e…
01-21 06:21:56	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 21	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x97ca29…
01-21 02:49:16	solana above 120 on january 21	No	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x035f16…
01-20 22:53:30	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 21	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$2	0x3f78ea…
01-20 21:19:52	cbb vulyn morgst 2026 01 20	Morgan State Bears	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x3bf23c…
01-20 21:19:50	cbb vulyn morgst 2026 01 20	Morgan State Bears	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x0ff761…
01-20 04:51:52	cbb utahst unlv 2026 01 20	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x27aca3…
01-19 21:22:34	ethereum above 3100 on january 20	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6dd247…
01-19 19:14:44	ethereum above 3100 on january 20	Yes	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x78ed01…
01-19 18:21:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 20	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x140564…
01-18 22:04:06	xrp above 1pt9 on january 19	Yes	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0x348741…