Dearest-Register — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$281

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 02:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Tech

40% 27% -$1,217

Other

38% 87% -$648

Sports

10% 60% +$613

Politics

10% 12% -$555

Crypto

2% 50% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No		+175	$154	99¢	$173	+$19	10-11 17:48
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No		+149	$111	72¢	$108	-$3	10-11 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	21	$1.6K	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	06-17 08:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	2	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$70	05-23 01:12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.1K	1,444	1,444	+0	Yes	+$607	07-15 19:09
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	32	$918	5,630	0	+5,630	No	-$918	03-31 12:32
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	9	$850	2,221	0	+2,221	Yes	-$850	06-09 07:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$665	391	391	+0	No	-$12	05-07 02:29
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	6	$628	400	400	+0	open	—	05-15 01:30
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	5	$618	1,214	0	+1,214	Yes	-$187	04-20 10:04
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	11	$607	603	156	+447	Yes	+$140	06-09 07:54
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$415	500	0	+500	No	-$415	06-15 16:33
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	7	$400	210	210	+0	Yes	+$5	06-06 02:46
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$393	578	81	+496	Yes	+$210	05-18 22:15
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	4	$343	184	184	+0	Yes	+$14	05-13 05:31
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	9	$337	597	0	+597	Yes	-$337	06-09 07:55
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	7	$336	593	593	+0	open	—	05-13 12:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	2	$332	250	250	+0	open	—	05-23 01:16
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$286	398	0	+398	No	+$112	05-19 20:49
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$222	400	0	+400	No	-$222	05-15 01:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$211	204	204	+0	Yes	-$49	05-09 06:53
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$210	228	0	+228	No	+$18	07-15 19:31
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$165	215	0	+215	No	+$50	05-19 22:59
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	1	$154	175	0	+175	open	—	10-11 17:48
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	2	$149	157	0	+157	Yes	+$8	05-30 10:38
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	1	$111	149	0	+149	open	—	10-11 17:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	6	$108	1,902	0	+1,902	No	-$108	11-04 02:55
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$106	132	0	+132	No	+$26	05-15 17:34
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	4	$104	136	0	+136	Yes	+$31	05-09 20:21
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	4	$97	221	0	+221	Yes	+$124	03-07 16:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	1	$95	100	0	+100	Yes	+$5	05-21 04:22
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	2	$94	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:55:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	702	3¢	$18	0x24bc75…
11-04 02:54:01	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x8b9ffd…
11-04 02:53:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0xfa473a…
11-04 02:53:45	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x28a0d0…
11-04 02:42:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0xa930d6…
11-04 02:34:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x112125…
11-04 02:01:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x1d68bf…
11-04 01:59:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x9edb51…
11-04 01:59:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	456	9¢	$40	0x3f648e…
11-04 01:59:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x2ce45b…
11-04 01:56:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0xe63ad7…
10-11 17:48:58	Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0xf09930…
10-11 17:48:37	Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	175	88¢	$154	0xf2e7f9…
10-11 17:41:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x26643d…
10-11 17:40:19	Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	149	74¢	$111	0xd2a613…
08-13 21:42:04	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,159	2¢	$17	0xf401d7…
07-15 19:31:01	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	228	92¢	$210	0xe60683…
07-15 19:09:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,444	58¢	$839	0x8ad279…
06-18 00:15:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	144	14¢	$20	0xdc3b2a…
06-17 08:50:10	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0xda871e…
06-15 16:33:22	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x157d9c…
06-15 16:29:39	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,300	16¢	$212	0x0c9710…
06-13 18:43:42	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xb313c9…
06-09 08:16:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	80	18¢	$14	0xb89b9b…
06-09 07:57:06	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	862	7¢	$60	0xefa65e…
06-09 07:56:04	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0xd46fa0…
06-09 07:55:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x7b0176…
06-09 07:54:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x466f74…
06-09 07:54:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0xae475d…
06-09 07:53:54	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4c2f97…
06-06 02:51:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	57	79¢	$45	0x1798de…
06-06 02:51:12	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x5af0c9…
06-06 02:50:58	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xde5295…
06-06 02:49:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	26	79¢	$20	0x3ddffa…
06-06 02:48:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xbb9fca…
06-06 02:46:10	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$45	0x2aac94…
06-06 00:23:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xfc7a48…
06-06 00:20:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xa6e8d7…
06-06 00:19:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x3a674b…
06-06 00:18:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x822746…
06-06 00:17:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0x9fb4a3…
06-01 03:58:06	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	185	83¢	$154	0xa0d4de…
05-30 10:38:51	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x4a0ef8…
05-29 00:13:37	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	66¢	$86	0x62c553…
05-29 00:12:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	95¢	$92	0xa03d05…
05-28 17:31:00	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x263ca6…
05-28 17:30:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	328	62¢	$202	0xfb78cd…
05-28 17:25:11	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x5937bf…
05-28 17:24:15	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0xbd813b…
05-28 17:24:10	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xfab9d3…
05-28 17:21:52	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	488	63¢	$309	0xb7c3f0…
05-28 02:00:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	94¢	$87	0x450ca3…
05-28 01:57:20	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xbc1e0c…
05-28 01:51:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	94¢	$72	0x402c05…
05-23 01:16:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	75¢	$188	0x850967…
05-23 01:12:00	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	700	88¢	$616	0x59a76e…
05-22 23:48:28	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x1e5c0c…
05-22 14:54:42	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	76¢	$205	0x5fe817…
05-22 14:54:26	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3823e1…
05-22 14:54:17	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x433b11…
05-21 23:10:17	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	No	BUY	46	77¢	$35	0xa2f25f…
05-21 23:09:49	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?	No	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0xf03b07…
05-21 16:05:09	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8f6eef…
05-21 10:45:44	Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0xa2e967…
05-21 10:45:44	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	33¢	$18	0x32d529…
05-21 04:45:32	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x7ace58…
05-21 04:44:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	700	78¢	$546	0x2c7bda…
05-21 04:22:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x222d9a…
05-21 04:22:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6219e8…
05-21 03:51:01	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xa2d7fc…
05-21 03:50:19	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0x9760aa…
05-20 23:17:35	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe562c0…
05-20 14:35:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x8c89bb…
05-20 14:33:33	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3770c5…
05-20 14:32:30	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	75¢	$69	0xb07fe4…
05-19 22:59:48	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3a9345…
05-19 20:51:53	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x64fda1…
05-19 20:51:14	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	76¢	$58	0x29009d…
05-19 20:49:40	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xa9d63f…
05-19 20:49:31	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x14e2b6…
05-19 20:49:13	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	84	74¢	$62	0xb6c804…
05-19 20:48:42	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x51e0aa…
05-19 15:46:55	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	101	81¢	$82	0x84da98…
05-18 22:16:21	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xe34c71…
05-18 22:15:24	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	81	66¢	$54	0x82481e…
05-16 00:12:51	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	155	51¢	$79	0xe3b2d2…
05-16 00:04:17	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x3e83f1…
05-15 23:20:06	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x01313d…
05-15 23:12:03	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5fba7c…
05-15 22:39:37	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x571de5…
05-15 22:15:21	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x38c1b9…
05-15 17:36:39	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x3eb692…
05-15 17:34:25	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x04a219…
05-15 17:33:44	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	243	62¢	$151	0xd39e5c…
05-15 17:33:36	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x4ac962…
05-15 17:30:51	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x40430b…
05-15 17:30:34	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x03a673…
05-15 17:29:48	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0x7bdcdd…
05-15 17:21:12	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xee6890…
05-15 17:20:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8a3003…