Respectful-Shoemaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

588

lifetime

Volume

$9.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

89% 50% $-7

Politics

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08	12	$735	500	499	+1	open	—	04-08 10:37
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08	6	$490	500	500	+0	open	—	04-08 08:24
cs2 mglz wc1 2026 04 07	2	$468	250	250	+0	open	—	04-07 10:10
cs2 prv wc1 2026 04 08	5	$421	270	270	+0	open	—	04-08 13:52
cs2 js1 ursa 2026 04 07	2	$398	250	250	+0	open	—	04-07 11:43
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	8	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	01-14 08:06
dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 04 08	3	$345	250	250	+0	open	—	04-08 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	20	$292	491	491	+0	open	—	05-15 08:12
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	5	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 07:17
spx up or down on april 22 2026	6	$174	150	150	+0	open	—	04-22 06:37
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	10	$168	133	133	+0	open	—	04-07 06:51
will nflx dip to 70 in february	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	02-17 14:50
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	9	$160	186	186	+0	open	—	04-21 09:45
xagusd up or down on april 21 2026	6	$160	150	150	+0	open	—	04-21 08:07
lol hle1 drx 2026 04 24	21	$127	750	750	+0	open	—	04-24 11:08
lol nip al 2026 04 22	2	$121	250	245	+5	open	—	04-22 11:45
cs2 bca shk 2026 04 24	4	$118	500	500	+0	open	—	04-24 12:14
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	5	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 14:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	5	$97	79	79	+0	open	—	04-24 07:01
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	4	$96	55	55	+0	open	—	06-03 15:26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	5	$95	93	93	+0	open	—	05-19 14:35
xauusd up or down on april 21 2026	8	$92	200	200	+0	open	—	04-21 08:29
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	4	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	02-06 11:54
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	3	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 07:02
nflx up or down on april 8 2026	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 07:03
rklb up or down on april 8 2026	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 09:00
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	2	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 08:42
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	05-19 14:35
xagusd up or down on april 22 2026	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 06:36
lol dk hle1 2026 04 08	2	$85	250	250	+0	open	—	04-08 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:22:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x361c16…
06-09 10:20:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x97c0f7…
06-09 10:18:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x9656cc…
06-09 09:35:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x916669…
06-09 08:22:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x0f3338…
06-09 08:08:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xcf08c9…
06-09 08:03:10	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xfbcff3…
06-09 07:38:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xd337c8…
06-09 07:36:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe1865f…
06-09 07:32:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0xe98d8a…
06-09 07:28:27	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc390bd…
06-09 06:09:42	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5ac7b7…
06-08 10:58:12	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xeaf6f8…
06-08 08:56:34	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x211dd1…
06-08 07:02:00	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xe8df7e…
06-08 07:01:54	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1af5f6…
06-08 06:46:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc0ae29…
06-08 06:42:27	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x758767…
06-03 15:26:13	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x9be486…
06-03 15:18:16	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xb710a9…
06-03 08:02:05	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x24dc86…
06-03 07:56:01	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4bf0b6…
06-03 06:52:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x8ba1e0…
06-03 06:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x71c61c…
05-29 08:06:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xa1e3a9…
05-29 08:03:08	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x73c6d9…
05-27 08:19:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xbaf680…
05-27 07:22:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x653240…
05-26 10:39:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x3e2122…
05-26 08:59:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x358a35…
05-26 06:53:55	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xc63fbb…
05-26 06:53:36	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x679cf0…
05-26 06:40:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7b4e3b…
05-26 06:38:36	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1f4668…
05-26 06:37:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x7372ff…
05-26 06:35:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xaff4e3…
05-22 10:53:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x4d749e…
05-22 10:50:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaa7540…
05-22 10:44:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x477e18…
05-22 10:34:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xee2eff…
05-22 09:51:57	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xffd8a1…
05-22 09:40:06	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4d30c9…
05-22 06:45:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x6aad23…
05-22 06:36:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xfd90ab…
05-22 06:28:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x89b401…
05-22 06:28:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x77468e…
05-22 06:23:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xcc1064…
05-22 06:23:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x49f57e…
05-22 06:22:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x7fa45e…
05-22 06:14:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x6f4a57…
05-22 06:10:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xeae54a…
05-21 07:33:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x26c48f…
05-21 07:29:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7b944c…
05-20 13:56:09	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x316199…
05-20 13:47:35	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x13e1e6…
05-20 09:46:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x37d538…
05-20 09:46:54	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xfa09c2…
05-20 08:55:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd72a2c…
05-20 07:02:46	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8275c6…
05-19 15:30:36	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x423a3f…
05-19 14:53:04	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x11457e…
05-19 14:35:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0xed36fe…
05-19 14:35:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xead407…
05-19 14:35:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	52¢	$22	0x665a43…
05-19 14:34:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x0b7d57…
05-19 14:27:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0x9ed49d…
05-19 14:26:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xb820af…
05-19 13:25:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xf0cd7c…
05-19 13:23:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x61be93…
05-19 13:22:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0xee2c9b…
05-19 06:15:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5c15d2…
05-19 06:15:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x382986…
05-19 06:13:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xd98c32…
05-18 11:47:58	Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x8d67de…
05-18 11:46:48	Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xcd2017…
05-18 10:24:19	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x13676d…
05-18 10:22:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb351a2…
05-18 08:57:41	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x78ae46…
05-18 06:28:23	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x6a40d0…
05-18 06:27:58	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xd5af97…
05-15 11:38:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x8e6a21…
05-15 11:37:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xda7c69…
05-15 11:07:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x5aaae1…
05-15 11:05:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x90b2e3…
05-15 08:20:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xea34ba…
05-15 08:18:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc905e2…
05-15 08:12:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa989bf…
05-15 08:11:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4c60d6…
05-15 08:08:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xc6a1c3…
05-15 08:06:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x194ae5…
05-15 07:45:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x14c332…
05-15 07:40:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1be8f1…
05-15 07:40:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8e820a…
05-15 07:35:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb4c972…
05-15 07:33:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x819932…
05-15 07:12:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x3b97c8…
05-15 07:10:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0x284248…
05-15 07:06:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x97ad73…
05-15 07:00:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xab768e…
05-15 06:59:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb1f008…