Respectful-Shoemaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$764

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

19.1%

Resolved

636

Trades

2,229

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-21 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

82% 17% -$759

Politics

12% 18% -$113

Tech

3% 20% -$8

Sports

1% 7% +$126

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$3

Crypto

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No		+0	$0	92¢	$0	+$0	10-08 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08	12	$735	500	499	+1	Invictus Gaming	-$52	04-08 10:37
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08	6	$490	500	500	+0	EYEBALLERS	+$0	04-08 08:24
cs2 mglz wc1 2026 04 07	2	$468	250	250	+0	TheMongolz	-$2	04-07 10:10
cs2 prv wc1 2026 04 08	5	$421	270	270	+0	PARIVISION	-$7	04-08 13:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-26 09:02
cs2 js1 ursa 2026 04 07	2	$398	250	250	+0	Ursa	-$8	04-07 11:43
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	8	$364	200	200	+0	No	-$2	01-14 08:06
dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 04 08	3	$345	250	250	+0	Nigma Galaxy	+$0	04-08 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	20	$292	491	491	+0	Down	-$1	05-15 08:12
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$282	200	200	+0	No	-$2	05-13 15:05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	11	$271	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 13:41
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	5	$187	100	100	+0	No	-$1	04-15 07:17
spx up or down on april 22 2026	6	$174	150	150	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 06:37
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	10	$168	133	133	+0	Yes	-$2	04-07 06:51
will nflx dip to 70 in february	2	$168	100	100	+0	No	-$6	02-17 14:50
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	9	$160	186	186	+0	Up	-$2	04-21 09:45
xagusd up or down on april 21 2026	6	$160	150	150	+0	Down	-$2	04-21 08:07
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	5	$153	89	89	+0	No	-$6	06-09 09:35
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	11	$150	151	151	+0	No	$0	05-22 10:54
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$147	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12?	11	$146	160	160	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 10:05
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	4	$138	100	100	+0	No	-$2	07-02 08:07
lol hle1 drx 2026 04 24	21	$127	750	750	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$7	04-24 11:08
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$125	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-12 10:19
lol nip al 2026 04 22	2	$121	250	245	+5	Anyone's Legend	-$18	04-22 11:45
cs2 bca shk 2026 04 24	4	$118	500	500	+0	Sharks	-$8	04-24 12:14
Spain snap election called by October 31?	2	$117	67	67	+0	Yes	+$17	10-06 10:52
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	6	$113	60	60	+0	No	$0	06-03 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?	9	$110	118	118	+0	No	-$1	06-25 09:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 23:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5cc21d…
10-20 09:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x82d7cc…
10-20 08:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x79ebd8…
10-20 07:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x49c38f…
10-20 07:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7b5d8c…
10-20 07:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xe49f7f…
10-20 07:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x75569a…
10-20 07:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x398f93…
10-20 07:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x929544…
10-20 07:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb4df57…
10-20 07:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xff8a7a…
10-20 07:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb895d6…
10-20 06:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x604a39…
10-20 06:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x37cf00…
10-20 06:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xf12431…
10-20 06:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x11acd7…
10-20 06:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x235c75…
10-20 06:11:19	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x41079d…
10-20 06:09:29	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xeeaa96…
10-20 06:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfe3a18…
10-19 06:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xf5e290…
10-19 06:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe7a482…
10-19 06:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe0eea3…
10-19 06:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x9747ee…
10-19 06:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x66deb8…
10-16 10:33:37	texas senate favorite on november 2	Paxton	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xa55ad6…
10-16 10:04:58	texas senate favorite on november 2	Paxton	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x34979b…
10-16 08:36:10	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xaf7cb8…
10-16 08:31:45	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbe2770…
10-16 08:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa94260…
10-16 08:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$14	0xa94260…
10-16 06:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2cdddf…
10-16 06:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x712b96…
10-16 06:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xc365cf…
10-16 06:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xcfb4e5…
10-16 06:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7683dc…
10-16 06:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf2930f…
10-16 06:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc47003…
10-15 09:39:26	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xd2da59…
10-15 09:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1f0abc…
10-15 09:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x3bdd74…
10-15 09:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xd8c8d1…
10-15 09:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x6a311c…
10-15 08:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe33b33…
10-15 08:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x342838…
10-15 08:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x85d62a…
10-15 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	No	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x25ae52…
10-15 08:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xe465b5…
10-15 08:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4abbf0…
10-15 08:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x96ef0f…
10-15 08:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb0318b…
10-15 06:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xc59588…
10-15 06:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x89e151…
10-15 06:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe9ef6d…
10-15 06:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x49021b…
10-15 06:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0d3db0…
10-14 09:48:04	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xe503a0…
10-14 08:54:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xc1be0a…
10-14 08:54:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x44cd79…
10-14 08:16:23	will the openai spy be accused of working for anthropic by december 31 20261014120000010	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf4b686…
10-14 07:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xeda1cb…
10-14 07:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xbdc0ed…
10-14 07:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9105d8…
10-14 06:59:56	will the openai spy be accused of working for anthropic by december 31 20261014120000010	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x4c5bd0…
10-14 06:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0xa8705a…
10-14 06:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x75dfa1…
10-14 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x65955b…
10-14 06:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2f5f53…
10-14 06:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0a0882…
10-14 06:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe9c560…
10-08 07:39:10	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xc888b4…
10-08 06:46:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x97f70e…
10-08 06:45:36	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xc94bdd…
10-08 06:39:23	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 62 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9b4801…
10-08 06:22:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xfb304a…
10-08 06:22:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x657644…
10-07 07:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x29a10a…
10-07 06:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x42253c…
10-07 06:45:38	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xba569c…
10-07 06:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7cfde7…
10-07 06:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x129c55…
10-07 06:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xac0bef…
10-07 06:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x6b70cc…
10-07 06:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x080175…
10-07 06:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x438081…
10-07 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x16954e…
10-07 06:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xb00789…
10-07 06:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x3fa60c…
10-07 06:20:35	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x9b1d81…
10-07 06:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xcebd5b…
10-07 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc7fd2f…
10-06 10:52:57	Spain snap election called by October 31?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x7df792…
10-06 10:15:24	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5d380e…
10-06 09:56:43	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x040980…
10-06 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x3b76cb…
10-06 07:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x753b67…
10-06 07:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x43190d…
10-06 06:34:30	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a phantom?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x4c138e…
10-06 06:24:54	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a phantom?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x92bdf3…
10-05 09:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?	No	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x65dcbc…