Worried-Shoelace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

124

Trades

3,744

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-19 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 73% $-28

Other

20% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes		-47	$-35	79¢	$-37	$-2	06-17 22:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes		+0	$-0	88¢	$0	+$0	06-16 00:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	6	$102	72	72	+0	open	—	06-18 11:39
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	2	$87	57	57	+0	open	—	06-19 12:59
cbb pvam fl 2026 03 20	10	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-21 03:28
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	40	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	01-09 07:26
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$54	41	41	+0	open	—	06-17 22:47
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	4	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	06-12 09:39
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	4	$38	36	36	+0	open	—	06-13 00:27
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	3	$35	0	47	-47	open	—	06-17 22:47
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	16	$35	124	124	+0	open	—	01-01 09:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$30	17	17	-0	open	—	01-16 09:33
nfl lac den 2026 01 04	7	$25	74	74	+0	open	—	01-04 17:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	01-23 12:52
btc updown 15m 1775686500	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-08 22:29
nba was lac 2026 01 14	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	01-15 05:35
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	5	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 14:39
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 13:44
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 13:29
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 12:03
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 16:56
elc bbr wre 2026 01 01 wre	5	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	01-01 13:11
nba nyk sac 2026 01 14	3	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	01-15 03:33
highest temperature in dallas on january 7 78 79f	2	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	01-07 11:46
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	12	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	01-07 02:24
nba okc hou 2026 01 15	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	01-16 02:54
btc updown 15m 1775092500	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-02 01:29
btc updown 15m 1775466900	2	$12	8	7	+0	open	—	04-06 09:29
btc updown 15m 1775093400	2	$12	8	7	+0	open	—	04-02 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 12:59
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-03 23:59
btc updown 15m 1775421900	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-05 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 12:59:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0x892c94…
06-18 21:55:14	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	57	78¢	$44	0xa7c126…
06-18 11:39:16	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0xeac24f…
06-18 11:38:01	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x1d8b0b…
06-18 11:37:52	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xd6bb4f…
06-18 11:36:58	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0x26028a…
06-17 22:47:43	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf08e1b…
06-17 22:47:34	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf22149…
06-16 09:53:37	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x759773…
06-16 07:32:00	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x306136…
06-16 07:08:09	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x4f546e…
06-16 07:04:54	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xa6fe8b…
06-16 00:29:18	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe09f14…
06-14 09:01:16	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x740d6a…
06-13 21:32:57	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0xf24117…
06-13 21:32:33	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x3ab644…
06-13 00:27:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x40513e…
06-12 22:44:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x955ec1…
06-12 22:42:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x902487…
06-12 20:40:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x78bf37…
06-12 09:39:00	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x77a7af…
06-12 09:07:22	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x15277f…
06-12 08:07:42	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x3cb413…
06-12 04:03:57	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xb7286f…
06-12 00:14:28	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x47435b…
06-12 00:14:19	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xf6b046…
06-12 00:03:19	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xe8690b…
06-11 22:51:31	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x30c96a…
06-10 18:51:31	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0xbd9c2e…
06-10 18:50:10	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x91251d…
06-10 18:49:55	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xf86b99…
06-05 07:12:21	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xed5313…
06-05 06:59:43	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6756fa…
06-05 06:20:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3c95c1…
06-05 02:59:45	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf490e0…
06-05 02:21:01	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5a7aa7…
06-04 13:20:48	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x75b086…
06-04 09:59:43	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54938e…
06-04 09:21:28	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x419377…
06-04 05:59:46	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc4c919…
06-04 05:08:16	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe7b1c0…
06-04 01:59:46	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x50658a…
06-04 01:16:27	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0fbe76…
06-04 00:59:43	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7995f3…
06-04 00:26:55	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x723747…
06-03 23:59:43	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfa05f1…
06-03 23:03:49	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x32cada…
06-03 22:59:45	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x476c33…
06-03 22:12:27	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa17c25…
06-03 19:59:48	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x734ce4…
06-03 19:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3f2b1…
06-03 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac3af3…
06-03 16:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xad616c…
06-03 15:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x875254…
06-03 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xeeb907…
06-03 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a24d1…
06-03 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5cbb6f…
06-03 03:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0791cb…
06-03 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x92ddd2…
06-02 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x492139…
06-02 22:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2ce70a…
06-02 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6b32c9…
06-02 19:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc01ca9…
06-02 19:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x506e5d…
06-02 15:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5cfacf…
06-02 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x951775…
06-02 14:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdec9d7…
06-02 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x75080e…
06-02 09:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x89d729…
06-02 09:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0a5829…
06-02 07:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xefb2bd…
06-02 06:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x32610b…
06-02 06:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7c48ec…
06-02 02:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd8da7b…
06-02 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ce1a8…
06-01 21:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x552d09…
06-01 21:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x67cd17…
06-01 16:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xeedbb0…
06-01 15:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x946d9f…
06-01 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x58eff4…
06-01 14:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb0828c…
06-01 14:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7ca19a…
06-01 13:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3159ff…
06-01 13:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xca50e9…
06-01 12:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7810c1…
06-01 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdb9fc0…
06-01 10:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c9203…
06-01 10:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a71cb…
06-01 07:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6c8967…
06-01 07:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7ab2fe…
06-01 06:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9a25bc…
06-01 06:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf5fea1…
06-01 04:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e3bee…
06-01 03:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb82d6c…
05-31 23:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5a2b4a…
05-31 16:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x12dc62…
05-31 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0569d8…
05-31 01:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd094f5…
05-30 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5afb9f…
05-30 14:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3bbf21…