Vacant-Fishery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.27K

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

1,496

Trades

7,054

lifetime

Volume

$95.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$71

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 01:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Other

59% 33% -$2,646

Sports

22% 42% -$957

Politics

14% 42% +$110

Crypto

3% 35% -$83

Tech

2% 70% +$127

Pop-Culture

1% 17% +$180

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will russia capture dobropillia by december 31 2026	Yes	+160	$40	26¢	$42	+$2	08-27 09:59
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+300	$11	6¢	$18	+$7	10-26 00:43
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+205	$7	4¢	$9	+$2	10-26 00:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+32	-$9	6¢	$2	+$11	08-16 03:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 4?	30	$2.5K	1,445	1,445	+0	Yes	+$51	07-04 14:49
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	31	$1.9K	1,498	1,498	+0	Yes	+$124	08-31 12:23
will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	25	$1.8K	1,383	1,383	+0	Yes	-$245	08-18 00:02
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	22	$1.5K	1,572	1,420	+152	Yes	-$110	09-03 16:00
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	27	$1.4K	1,605	1,605	-0	open	—	10-24 03:12
will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	7	$1.1K	589	589	+0	No	+$63	08-04 02:22
will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	13	$1.1K	701	701	-0	open	—	08-19 15:06
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 6 2026 1159 pm et	5	$1.1K	1,365	0	+1,365	Yes	-$1,065	09-05 07:43
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?	23	$1.0K	812	812	+0	Yes	+$204	07-31 01:00
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	34	$1.0K	1,787	1,787	+0	No	+$76	06-04 05:43
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	71	$1.0K	1,887	1,648	+239	No	-$336	06-25 23:40
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	16	$985	995	995	+0	Yes	-$59	09-03 03:04
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?	91	$975	4,745	4,164	+581	No	+$82	07-27 08:20
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?	75	$952	12,029	3,958	+8,071	No	-$106	06-17 01:03
Will Elon post "Border" on X this week?	13	$933	516	516	+0	No	+$66	08-24 04:23
grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	22	$867	673	673	-0	No	+$73	08-11 14:54
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 4 2026 1159 pm et	10	$821	713	713	+0	No	-$13	09-04 07:28
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	28	$805	1,321	1,321	+0	Yes	+$144	08-28 02:23
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	172	$790	2,032	2,033	-1	No	+$65	05-31 06:04
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	25	$736	2,112	2,112	+0	No	+$10	05-27 13:55
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	12	$701	438	438	+0	open	—	06-03 10:47
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	39	$698	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$27	05-24 12:05
next google gemini flash lite model 3pt6 released by september 30 2026	13	$683	477	477	+0	No	+$29	08-17 13:05
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	9	$677	497	459	+38	Yes	+$11	08-15 21:52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?	9	$643	830	830	+0	No	+$1	06-01 12:39
will jung hoo lee be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533471	8	$625	353	353	+0	No	+$62	08-04 02:22
will milo yiannopoulos be deported by september 15 2026 523	6	$612	370	370	+0	Yes	+$56	08-29 17:24
cs2 run2 ent2 2026 07 23 game2	3	$606	600	600	+0	cancelled	-$6	07-28 03:42
will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	10	$598	370	370	+0	No	+$32	08-05 22:42
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of May 4 2026?	7	$583	731	637	+93	Yes	-$70	05-04 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:39:53	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xc250b8…
10-26 01:35:03	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x632903…
10-26 00:43:47	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x2c3b02…
10-26 00:41:12	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	616	4¢	$26	0xd80291…
10-25 18:12:48	Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbfebdf…
10-25 13:56:12	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xaa0e43…
10-24 04:24:23	Spread: Saints (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa9b987…
10-24 03:12:05	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	98¢	$184	0xade48d…
10-23 04:21:08	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x195705…
10-23 01:58:00	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa3a06f…
10-22 03:11:54	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$2	0x73a888…
10-22 03:11:45	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x4ed668…
10-22 03:11:33	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x448821…
10-22 03:11:33	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x3c466e…
10-22 03:11:24	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7662d9…
10-22 03:11:21	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xd50a90…
10-22 03:11:21	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x45290c…
10-22 03:11:18	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0xd7449d…
10-22 03:11:09	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x07b4f2…
10-22 03:11:08	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa6f6e5…
10-22 03:11:08	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x71a189…
10-22 03:11:08	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x5e5f91…
10-22 03:11:02	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x967e7c…
10-22 03:11:00	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x3e0107…
10-22 03:11:00	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x14f403…
10-22 01:45:29	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	153	5¢	$7	0x730df0…
10-22 01:45:29	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	147	4¢	$7	0x3f9f18…
10-22 00:27:09	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Mavericks	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x106227…
10-22 00:22:32	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1f777f…
10-22 00:22:29	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xe9b22f…
10-22 00:22:12	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xbbd612…
10-22 00:22:08	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xeeedd1…
10-22 00:22:02	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa49341…
10-22 00:21:56	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x15cb72…
10-22 00:21:50	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xe06006…
10-21 15:38:11	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xed2c49…
10-20 15:28:29	Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x69054c…
10-20 12:23:32	Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x59a67a…
10-19 14:52:36	Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xd92bb9…
10-18 13:42:32	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x2ced1c…
10-18 12:57:23	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xee17b4…
10-18 09:44:38	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x0a5254…
10-10 14:09:39	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x610c8d…
10-04 13:24:50	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1,352	0¢	$3	0x417154…
10-04 07:50:16	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1,200	1¢	$7	0x66c05a…
10-04 06:06:22	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	413	1¢	$4	0x1d0969…
10-04 03:37:46	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xbf85f9…
10-04 02:57:46	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xa66df3…
10-04 02:57:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x97cd83…
10-04 02:57:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x082b6b…
10-04 02:44:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd29a9b…
10-04 02:44:34	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc4bf58…
10-04 02:44:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa8d07f…
10-04 02:44:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xa7ac2c…
10-04 02:44:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x9d44bd…
10-04 02:34:53	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xbb10c1…
10-04 02:34:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x722fc5…
10-04 02:34:38	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf6c0f9…
10-04 02:34:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x265c9e…
10-04 02:34:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x592d71…
10-04 02:34:37	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x19989f…
10-04 02:34:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1e5233…
10-04 02:32:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xbc2b52…
10-04 02:15:16	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3b931b…
10-04 02:01:31	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xc52129…
10-03 01:46:09	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xc97e55…
10-03 01:46:03	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xa93a96…
10-03 01:45:41	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x6f0df6…
10-03 01:33:38	saudi troops enter marib governorate by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x85dca6…
10-01 10:12:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xe5bd92…
10-01 09:44:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb77eb9…
10-01 09:15:33	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	73¢	$137	0x439ecd…
10-01 03:02:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x017c7f…
10-01 02:26:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xf6c21b…
10-01 02:24:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xabfcc9…
10-01 01:50:18	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xc25adc…
10-01 01:06:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x502b7b…
10-01 01:06:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 29.5 and 30 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x1743d4…
09-30 23:55:12	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x45fb41…
09-29 03:56:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xfd1b1e…
09-29 03:52:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x35bdda…
09-29 03:37:33	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xbd73bf…
09-29 03:28:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$6	0x03ac73…
09-29 02:39:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x19855c…
09-29 02:28:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xb7c561…
09-26 17:49:54	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x13ffe5…
09-24 14:26:50	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	137	76¢	$104	0x5c7371…
09-24 12:38:41	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x772206…
09-24 04:16:14	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	32¢	$13	0x912c3b…
09-24 02:17:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x582cb7…
09-24 02:16:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	21	68¢	$15	0x6cf5cc…
09-23 15:51:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x92dce8…
09-23 14:49:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x2543d4…
09-23 13:46:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xeb13b7…
09-23 10:06:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x3a506a…
09-23 09:19:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x99c038…
09-23 09:04:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	28	23¢	$6	0xa9f4db…
09-23 08:50:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x0517af…
09-23 08:42:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9fba9d…
09-23 08:41:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x25e9a9…