Straight-Waterspout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

295

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-14 14:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 12:23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 09:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:03
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:09
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 30corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 12:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:09
highest temperature in istanbul on april 2 2026 19corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 17:44
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 16c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 13:09
highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 54 55f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 01:33
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:08
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:29
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa6117…
11-02 14:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x64176c…
11-01 09:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x45093f…
10-31 15:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x00ff7c…
10-30 14:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64b046…
10-29 17:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1f691…
10-29 09:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21024e…
10-28 07:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a4c8c…
10-27 08:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5e2bf…
10-26 09:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1834c1…
10-24 11:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x121dd4…
10-22 10:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20f284…
10-20 07:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad3919…
10-19 09:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacc597…
10-18 09:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12f0bb…
10-17 14:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14803b…
10-16 09:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdff2d1…
10-15 09:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d93d0…
10-14 09:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85fecc…
10-13 14:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24f5b0…
10-13 09:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac5585…
10-12 08:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a9b5a…
10-11 08:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8cc99…
10-08 08:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77f1c6…
10-07 15:20:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0918ba…
10-06 08:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17fdd7…
10-04 15:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7f1f3…
10-03 08:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4b304…
10-02 11:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x131a23…
10-01 08:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f7261…
09-30 15:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5c942…
09-30 12:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24260f…
09-29 14:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec4e9a…
09-28 09:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f7f29…
09-27 08:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cb19a…
09-25 12:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93a58a…
09-24 08:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a4360…
09-23 07:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb65fbe…
09-22 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x360dc6…
09-21 09:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76e431…
09-20 05:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab7acc…
09-19 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe2e7b…
09-18 06:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36cb87…
09-17 04:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fc432…
09-16 08:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8c738d…
09-15 09:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f6ee…
09-14 08:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e7200…
09-12 16:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01a274…
09-11 07:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd42edb…
09-10 08:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34bfd3…
09-09 09:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2a510…
09-08 15:36:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8beedf…
09-08 06:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45c865…
09-07 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba8825…
09-06 17:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37250b…
09-06 09:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d9cdd…
09-05 01:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe63901…
09-03 09:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35cd20…
09-02 07:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1762d9…
08-30 08:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec3902…
08-29 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x612770…
08-28 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5ea40…
08-27 08:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1c2d4…
08-26 08:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2deb12…
08-25 09:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bcb5a…
08-24 09:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf797c…
08-23 14:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf17d95…
08-22 08:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x658f8d…
08-21 07:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ab130…
08-20 08:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3c4db…
08-19 11:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ee4fd…
08-18 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x103ab2…
08-17 07:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa59f56…
08-16 11:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0df91…
08-15 09:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x324878…
08-14 06:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc615d0…
08-13 07:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a1d33…
08-12 07:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45221b…
08-11 06:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6ca2e…
08-10 07:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc68574…
08-09 01:23:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ca2c8…
08-08 07:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2686…
08-07 01:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7107b6…
08-06 06:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4d871…
08-05 07:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5ecc3…
08-04 08:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b4b22…
08-03 07:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f28c3…
08-02 01:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5ad3e…
08-01 07:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x532ff9…
07-31 08:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d0ccc…
07-30 06:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2ee5f…
07-29 07:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b576a…
07-28 06:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x100307…
07-27 08:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x893d37…
07-26 07:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46be85…
07-25 08:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9a6df…
07-24 10:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0054b4…
07-23 08:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x625e4d…
07-22 01:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c232e…
07-21 09:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x869414…