Peaceful-Phosphate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

274

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 11:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:31
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:21
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0a81d…
10-27 08:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b17e2…
10-26 09:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac8f0e…
10-24 11:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb11b7…
10-22 10:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f07b8…
10-20 07:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x347547…
10-19 09:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc941df…
10-18 09:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e8a5b…
10-17 14:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c26d3…
10-16 08:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab5e64…
10-15 09:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66ca2f…
10-14 09:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f69aa…
10-13 09:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06bb36…
10-12 08:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba3a80…
10-11 08:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x185767…
10-08 08:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51d7ca…
10-07 14:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10fb2f…
10-06 07:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b02f5…
10-04 15:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb94f08…
10-03 07:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x183151…
10-02 11:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa997d…
10-01 08:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4485da…
09-30 12:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x683542…
09-29 14:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cd562…
09-28 09:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3ec7…
09-27 08:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa41822…
09-25 12:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18269f…
09-24 08:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0ee8d…
09-23 07:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c778c…
09-22 08:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f40ed…
09-21 09:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe220e9…
09-20 05:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0539f…
09-19 08:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce0315…
09-18 06:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134912…
09-17 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5d005…
09-16 08:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08ffe0…
09-15 09:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9af011…
09-14 08:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa26447…
09-12 16:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf81a0…
09-11 07:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b7436…
09-10 06:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf919f…
09-09 02:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x088350…
09-08 02:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d3f64…
09-07 08:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc79e1…
09-06 17:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ff8bb…
09-06 09:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad32a9…
09-05 01:03:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd390aa…
09-03 09:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x260797…
09-02 07:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc031a4…
08-30 08:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x529dbc…
08-29 07:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x940db5…
08-28 08:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6f4a4…
08-27 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x541c75…
08-26 08:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10dde3…
08-25 09:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61c271…
08-24 09:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e95d7…
08-23 14:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52cb3c…
08-22 08:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec69d0…
08-21 07:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x318f6a…
08-20 08:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x685053…
08-19 11:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf6f9a…
08-18 08:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf84a7b…
08-17 07:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a24d1…
08-16 11:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d41ca…
08-15 09:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5fdd4…
08-14 06:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b8e1d…
08-13 07:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c42bd…
08-12 07:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1bf7e…
08-11 06:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2f573…
08-10 06:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81b595…
08-09 01:21:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f3251…
08-08 07:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46da2e…
08-07 01:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb22f9…
08-06 06:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb4c7f…
08-05 07:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1e48d…
08-04 08:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecdafa…
08-03 07:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01c90e…
08-02 01:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc37c4…
08-01 06:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x962e3b…
07-31 08:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5ef06…
07-30 06:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc7fdd…
07-29 06:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x549720…
07-28 06:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8988a…
07-27 08:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22a166…
07-26 06:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x355993…
07-25 07:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x429f20…
07-24 09:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedde0d…
07-23 07:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40db4d…
07-22 01:51:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf6f4d…
07-20 23:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x169711…
07-20 07:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50f197…
07-18 23:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7eb5a6…
07-18 00:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2b0bf…
07-17 06:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b4295…
07-15 22:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57ec6f…
07-15 07:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd01865…
07-14 07:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xdebc26…
07-13 07:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x510613…
07-12 02:15:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x60a66c…
07-11 07:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb262c6…