Overlooked-Fun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

102

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$332

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-15 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

70% 46% -$25

Crypto

18% 37% -$4

Sports

11% 28% -$8

Tech

1% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	06-19 13:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-16 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$4	06-23 21:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	06-18 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	06-28 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?	2	$7	21	7	+14	No	-$7	06-14 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 20?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-20 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-22 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	06-20 23:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$6	503	3	+500	No	+$0	05-30 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$6	13	4	+9	Down	-$2	05-18 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-23 21:49
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?	2	$6	7	7	+0	No	-$4	05-24 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	3	$6	16	10	+6	No	+$0	06-26 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 17:47
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	3	$6	7	7	+0	Lynn Vision	$0	05-21 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$6	19	9	+10	Down	$0	05-18 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$2	06-20 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	06-21 20:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	06-19 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	06-21 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-21 20:33
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	1	$4	0	7	-7	Yes	-$2	06-15 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	1	$4	9	0	+9	No	-$4	06-23 21:53
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$4	27	0	+27	No	-$4	05-24 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?	2	$4	17	0	+17	No	-$4	06-19 20:12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4	10	21	-11	No	+$2	07-09 09:53
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4	34	69	-34	No	+$2	07-09 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 18:37:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0xccbe48…
08-10 08:20:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf1a05f…
07-09 09:53:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x1391ee…
07-09 09:53:37	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x012346…
07-04 11:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x96f679…
07-04 11:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x4fea13…
07-02 14:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee0f54…
07-02 11:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20343a…
07-02 11:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf67228…
06-29 21:42:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x6a4bff…
06-29 21:42:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x87523a…
06-29 21:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd03bb1…
06-29 21:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0bb68c…
06-29 21:39:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xceb795…
06-29 11:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x34af21…
06-28 15:25:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xff1f93…
06-28 15:24:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3dbc0b…
06-28 15:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5167d0…
06-28 15:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7aaa80…
06-28 15:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x24e2ef…
06-26 11:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdd68f9…
06-26 11:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xee6472…
06-26 11:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x536ec8…
06-26 11:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x279a71…
06-26 11:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0e14bc…
06-26 11:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xc0d423…
06-25 15:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf40945…
06-25 15:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x69a1da…
06-25 15:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0cb22b…
06-23 21:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc903b8…
06-23 21:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa5e7eb…
06-23 21:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x231e64…
06-23 13:20:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x9ea997…
06-22 20:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe29697…
06-22 20:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x1f5f36…
06-22 20:45:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x5d68dc…
06-22 20:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 22?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa363b9…
06-22 20:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9eb20b…
06-21 21:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 22?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb89041…
06-21 21:17:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x02d062…
06-21 21:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x315f15…
06-21 21:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc4fcb8…
06-21 20:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x497196…
06-21 20:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa96638…
06-21 20:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3393b7…
06-21 20:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x196376…
06-20 23:35:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x09da27…
06-20 23:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5cb0da…
06-20 23:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe7983f…
06-20 23:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4fda03…
06-20 23:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0f6502…
06-20 23:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9bf3ba…
06-20 23:23:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3eb6d1…
06-20 23:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x8f18b4…
06-20 23:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x85b73a…
06-20 23:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 20?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x441e22…
06-19 20:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7ca112…
06-19 20:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0b8a91…
06-19 20:10:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2c79ba…
06-19 20:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4f100c…
06-19 20:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 20?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x130f5c…
06-19 20:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x4e611b…
06-19 20:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe71566…
06-19 13:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ec98e…
06-19 13:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x941b55…
06-19 09:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x07c1c1…
06-19 08:48:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3f7c43…
06-18 18:48:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x279d95…
06-18 18:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0d0c03…
06-18 18:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xab5290…
06-18 18:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x25edec…
06-18 18:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf78f25…
06-18 18:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9746f8…
06-18 18:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4aa717…
06-17 17:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8ac4d4…
06-17 17:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0646bb…
06-17 17:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaba217…
06-16 17:55:25	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xd49459…
06-16 17:53:52	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x8d29e1…
06-16 17:53:38	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2bf366…
06-16 17:53:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba6a55…
06-15 15:57:42	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd1e58c…
06-15 15:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9b7c10…
06-15 15:57:42	Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x8db3ef…
06-15 15:57:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x458792…
06-15 15:57:42	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x109711…
06-15 15:57:40	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xbf39d4…
06-15 15:57:40	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x28b805…
06-15 15:57:40	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x257e6f…
06-14 10:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9ff925…
06-14 10:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x675f90…
06-13 19:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x829b15…
05-31 19:03:04	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc51805…
05-31 18:55:45	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x031bd7…
05-30 22:58:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6acaf6…
05-30 18:50:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0a72ae…
05-30 18:50:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5b7017…
05-30 18:49:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xacb9c7…
05-27 17:43:45	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe20201…
05-24 19:15:01	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x51fb2b…