Valid-Cafe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$4.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-16 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$2

Other

22% — —

Tech

15% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		-20	$-19	96¢	$-19	$-0	06-16 18:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	6	$131	82	82	+0	open	—	03-04 16:29
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	5	$129	90	71	+19	open	—	07-16 04:35
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	3	$119	100	32	+68	open	—	03-11 20:53
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	4	$86	87	0	+87	open	—	01-31 16:26
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	6	$81	52	52	+0	open	—	01-31 16:22
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-17 03:55
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 16:30
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	2	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	07-16 04:37
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	01-31 10:10
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$65	67	0	+67	open	—	01-15 11:43
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	7	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	06-26 22:54
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	01-31 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	05-29 21:57
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	2	$57	63	0	+63	open	—	07-08 06:41
bun dor pau 2026 01 17 dor	2	$55	41	41	+0	open	—	01-17 16:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	04-17 13:46
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 17:18
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 421	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	03-25 20:46
bun koe bay 2026 01 14 bay	2	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	01-14 21:22
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-08 22:56
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-20 14:52
bitcoin above 74k on march 5	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-05 15:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	03-28 08:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 15:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	04-26 07:46
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	01-28 07:26
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	3	$38	41	0	+41	open	—	02-09 05:37
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	3	$38	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 10:51
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	05-04 11:42
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	3	$38	43	0	+43	open	—	03-06 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 05:02:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0735d8…
07-16 04:37:20	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9ce981…
07-16 04:35:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	56	77¢	$43	0xaf9af0…
07-15 04:51:41	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xfb33ff…
07-08 06:41:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1d4d47…
07-06 22:08:20	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xf7e8e7…
07-04 11:21:01	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x475190…
07-01 20:01:38	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x562806…
07-01 20:01:14	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x174459…
07-01 19:50:23	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xed68de…
07-01 19:43:32	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa561ad…
07-01 19:42:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xe11d03…
07-01 19:36:25	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4c3250…
06-26 22:54:47	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x7c4fb8…
06-26 17:11:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x93d8ee…
06-26 15:59:14	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x0ca03b…
06-26 15:59:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xd1bfdd…
06-26 15:57:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x528c7b…
06-19 06:31:07	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9237f9…
06-16 18:58:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xb809c2…
06-07 17:29:55	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x2a7633…
06-05 19:22:39	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x820a42…
06-01 21:20:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5c9b8e…
06-01 20:59:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6ac34e…
06-01 15:15:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xe1f9ef…
06-01 15:07:16	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xecb13c…
06-01 15:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x237df6…
05-31 06:32:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb3e4d5…
05-29 21:57:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbede1e…
05-16 06:38:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcd34c6…
05-13 18:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x371345…
05-07 04:17:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x8d3016…
05-06 12:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xccbe3d…
05-06 06:06:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x616a48…
05-04 11:42:34	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6caa6e…
05-02 13:40:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xde777f…
05-02 06:31:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa49fca…
05-01 19:20:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x745071…
05-01 18:49:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x60a640…
04-27 17:18:32	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x2e98dd…
04-26 07:46:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb5d537…
04-26 06:13:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0b1ebe…
04-25 14:36:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2b9876…
04-25 08:31:22	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x8589c6…
04-25 07:23:36	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x7e6374…
04-23 06:46:08	bitcoin above 76k on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xeb0952…
04-22 15:36:00	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x62e196…
04-18 15:47:44	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xc7f82b…
04-18 15:27:42	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3b5bdd…
04-18 14:27:34	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x8604cc…
04-18 13:52:28	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x8485cf…
04-18 13:32:54	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0c6314…
04-18 06:19:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x43b958…
04-17 13:46:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x83276a…
04-17 04:21:40	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x987038…
04-17 04:12:38	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	83¢	$23	0xaa7745…
04-17 03:55:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc53aa1…
04-16 04:34:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x85f02f…
04-13 11:00:19	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x854c8e…
04-13 04:36:19	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x76fe7a…
04-13 04:32:33	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc49145…
04-13 04:31:33	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x175a96…
04-12 16:30:19	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x485d9a…
04-11 10:18:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x4c1367…
04-10 08:29:25	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9f387d…
04-10 06:57:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc7ed50…
04-06 21:39:29	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x15efcb…
04-06 19:15:21	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4e587e…
04-06 19:08:31	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa28718…
04-06 19:08:31	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x6a108c…
04-06 16:45:31	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x659005…
04-06 16:30:35	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x4583e5…
04-06 16:27:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x5f7106…
04-03 12:47:31	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x7b14ba…
04-03 09:01:05	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x7a5ab5…
04-03 08:12:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x58fd8f…
04-01 22:41:03	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x5edb88…
04-01 09:46:25	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xca449d…
04-01 07:41:45	bitcoin above 66k on april 1	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb3b42a…
03-30 18:52:59	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x9720bb…
03-29 06:38:10	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x24c3ea…
03-28 10:04:19	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b7c0d…
03-28 08:20:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x78ab49…
03-28 08:13:53	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x5fc736…
03-27 15:12:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1a9fca…
03-26 05:47:17	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x30e816…
03-26 05:47:05	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9e59e1…
03-25 20:46:19	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 421	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$23	0x0124f4…
03-25 08:56:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 25	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x434490…
03-24 22:54:51	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 421	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x23b004…
03-24 14:50:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xa3863e…
03-24 14:16:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed60d9…
03-22 07:28:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3882e9…
03-21 07:27:01	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc8cc21…
03-21 06:52:21	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1b1e88…
03-21 06:39:47	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x21ea51…
03-21 06:19:41	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4b2fcb…
03-20 11:14:19	will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x75b18b…
03-19 16:15:21	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x493442…
03-18 07:16:17	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4817b1…