Reliable-Lap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,523

lifetime

Volume

$39.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% — —

Other

32% 96% $-139

Politics

4% 100% +$4

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	3	$589	729	0	+729	open	—	06-03 17:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$497	304	304	+0	open	—	02-26 10:18
btc updown 15m 1771068600	33	$472	703	246	+457	open	—	02-14 11:40
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	2	$404	360	360	+0	open	—	01-27 07:39
btc updown 15m 1772100000	30	$393	436	318	+118	open	—	02-26 10:05
btc updown 15m 1772047800	30	$381	399	386	+13	open	—	02-25 19:33
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$360	457	0	+457	open	—	06-03 17:00
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$350	418	0	+418	open	—	06-03 17:00
btc updown 15m 1771527600	16	$347	503	164	+339	open	—	02-19 19:11
btc updown 15m 1771597800	21	$313	511	169	+342	open	—	02-20 14:41
btc updown 15m 1770917400	17	$310	563	186	+377	open	—	02-12 17:41
btc updown 15m 1770937200	24	$304	493	96	+397	open	—	02-12 23:08
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	6	$301	430	0	+430	open	—	01-14 16:58
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	3	$300	637	0	+637	open	—	06-03 17:02
btc updown 15m 1770905700	27	$284	395	127	+268	open	—	02-12 14:25
btc updown 15m 1771507800	18	$281	283	212	+71	open	—	02-19 13:39
btc updown 15m 1770979500	20	$263	422	124	+298	open	—	02-13 10:56
btc updown 15m 1771546500	16	$254	402	109	+293	open	—	02-20 00:25
btc updown 15m 1771069500	16	$251	266	189	+77	open	—	02-14 11:55
Will "Guitar" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$247	270	0	+270	open	—	06-03 17:00
btc updown 15m 1771526700	22	$245	377	97	+280	open	—	02-19 18:56
btc updown 15m 1771609500	24	$240	335	128	+207	open	—	02-20 17:48
btc updown 15m 1770956100	13	$234	321	94	+227	open	—	02-13 04:21
will government be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	1	$223	241	0	+241	open	—	06-09 17:00
btc updown 15m 1770927300	17	$221	383	54	+329	open	—	02-12 20:18
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$220	256	0	+256	open	—	06-03 17:00
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$218	142	142	+0	open	—	01-03 17:02
Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	3	$217	419	0	+419	Yes	$-217	05-08 22:55
btc updown 15m 1772099100	15	$215	194	117	+77	open	—	02-26 09:50
btc updown 15m 1771508700	10	$215	272	99	+173	open	—	02-19 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:00:07	will government be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	241	92¢	$223	0xfffdee…
06-09 17:00:07	will imagine be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xd90310…
06-09 17:00:07	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8eafc8…
06-09 17:00:07	will texas be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	Yes	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0x65bad6…
06-09 17:00:07	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x35379d…
06-09 17:00:07	will tesla be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x350c69…
06-06 16:00:10	will mrbeast say dream during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409612	No	BUY	115	86¢	$99	0x6e602a…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say pro during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409602	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xf3bf71…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say best during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409606	Yes	BUY	94	86¢	$81	0xed786a…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say minecraft during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409592	Yes	BUY	128	81¢	$104	0xeb6ab3…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say race during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409597	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xe42ec3…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say chocolate during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409600	No	BUY	94	92¢	$86	0xc55f27…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say fortnite during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409593	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0xa7c1b7…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say youtube or youtuber during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409603	No	BUY	77	93¢	$71	0xa36fab…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say fight during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409598	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x9ef417…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say build during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409599	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6f17c1…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say simulate during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409596	No	BUY	78	91¢	$71	0x67bd79…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say survive during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409595	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x639902…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say darius during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409610	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5dd518…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say farm during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409601	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x54b9c7…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say lose or loser during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409605	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x544c49…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say roblox during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409594	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4ebcca…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say chase during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409608	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x4d84cc…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say karl during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409611	No	BUY	61	95¢	$57	0x372b10…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say win or winner during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409604	No	BUY	226	89¢	$200	0x200255…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say chandler during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409609	Yes	BUY	86	92¢	$79	0x1ee2da…
06-06 16:00:09	will mrbeast say hunt during his next gaming youtube video 20260604155409607	No	BUY	78	94¢	$74	0x162ac3…
06-03 17:02:43	Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xb878c2…
06-03 17:01:57	Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x719c0d…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xb6ca97…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	520	38¢	$200	0xb12bea…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Canada" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xac13e5…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	277	72¢	$200	0xa2c2d8…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	284	71¢	$200	0x6324d0…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Guitar" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	118	88¢	$103	0x479891…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x4439c0…
06-03 17:00:39	Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x149f62…
06-02 17:00:39	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	195	97¢	$189	0x7416da…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Guitar" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0xf1bed9…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	187	80¢	$150	0xed3b05…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	218	90¢	$197	0xda6a21…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0xcf7316…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xca8674…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Canada" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	151	92¢	$140	0xc24d13…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0xa4af7c…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	Yes	BUY	173	92¢	$160	0x74a8a0…
06-02 17:00:15	Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	208	92¢	$191	0x346dc5…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "World Cup" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x5744c2…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	221	90¢	$200	0x5427fb…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	112	94¢	$106	0x4b2850…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x436bb4…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x28d045…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "This Year" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x15caf9…
05-30 16:00:16	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x05211e…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xe7e429…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$65	0xd7ec2a…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0xd5f0b8…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xac862f…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x86e3de…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x6c5d31…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6140f3…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0x5bfd99…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x5332f4…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x10785d…
05-30 16:00:14	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x00a0c4…
05-27 20:51:23	Will "Basketball" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x77c4e8…
05-27 20:51:23	will green be said on the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$72	0x0e4039…
05-27 20:51:23	will gold be said on the lemonade stand podcast	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x0cfa0b…
05-19 17:00:40	Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc34a05…
05-19 17:00:40	Will "Amsterdam" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa87f7e…
05-19 17:00:40	Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x57f38b…
05-19 17:00:40	Will "Algorithm" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x472f2f…
05-19 17:00:40	Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x2a2fec…
05-08 22:55:57	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xc67894…
05-08 22:55:57	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x79c347…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfe4443…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "Miracle" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf577d9…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa3c54c…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5d2454…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3c8d46…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	289	69¢	$200	0x10df80…
05-08 22:52:25	Will "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x03440a…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Housing" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xfef3e6…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Epstein" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	No	BUY	183	97¢	$178	0xe91855…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe31cde…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xdd7e17…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Amazon" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbe24da…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Brain" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xba4bcb…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "China" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb776cd…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xaf50d4…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Scam" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x4f3a01…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Federal Reserve" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	No	BUY	189	94¢	$178	0x3c5ea1…
05-06 19:10:09	Will "Korea" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x1b620b…
05-05 17:01:18	Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 25+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	26	91¢	$23	0x1733f7…
05-05 17:00:34	Will "Corrupt" or "Corruption" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x73dff6…
05-05 17:00:32	Will "Fight" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xef67fa…
05-05 17:00:32	Will "Banana" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xe88445…
05-05 17:00:32	Will "Unbelievable" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0xdd9af9…
05-05 17:00:32	Will "Illegal" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xce959c…
05-05 17:00:32	Will "Apple" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xb47896…