Meager-Incarnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

654

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-04 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-1

Sports

14% 100% +$1

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+94	$5	15¢	$14	+$9	07-04 00:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	12	$253	193	189	+4	open	—	04-24 00:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$197	122	121	+1	open	—	04-25 03:44
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?	13	$182	207	203	+5	open	—	04-13 15:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	4	$144	97	95	+1	open	—	04-14 08:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$126	155	152	+3	open	—	04-27 13:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$118	110	55	+55	open	—	01-29 01:10
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	3	$93	83	83	+0	open	—	03-06 05:01
spx up or down on april 17 2026	9	$93	139	86	+52	open	—	04-17 12:16
spx up or down on april 16 2026	6	$84	299	169	+131	open	—	04-16 16:36
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	4	$68	51	50	+1	open	—	04-17 12:37
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$53	61	38	+23	open	—	03-31 01:36
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$52	68	0	+68	open	—	01-14 10:52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of April 20 2026?	5	$51	55	54	+1	open	—	04-24 00:56
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	10	$48	293	0	+293	open	—	06-06 02:43
ng up or down on april 14 2026	14	$42	82	61	+21	open	—	04-15 01:12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$40	43	43	+0	open	—	01-15 03:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$32	66	64	+2	open	—	04-07 13:37
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$31	34	34	+0	open	—	03-12 11:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$31	31	31	+0	open	—	03-24 01:23
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$25	112	112	+0	open	—	02-11 03:43
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 total 220pt5	4	$25	30	19	+12	open	—	04-16 00:17
spx up or down on april 20 2026	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 00:31
spx up or down on march 30 2026	3	$24	72	11	+61	open	—	03-30 18:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$24	455	455	+0	open	—	02-11 03:42
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$23	31	31	+0	open	—	03-24 01:23
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	01-27 04:27
spy up or down on june 8 2026	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	06-08 01:05
nba orl phi 2026 04 15 total 220pt5	4	$22	24	20	+5	open	—	04-16 00:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 00:56
will italy win the 2026 world baseball classic	6	$21	588	340	+249	open	—	03-17 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:58:11	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x8f6c4c…
06-26 11:45:43	kbo lg lot 2026 06 26	LG Twins	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda600d…
06-26 11:45:26	kbo lg lot 2026 06 26	LG Twins	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbdaa6e…
06-26 11:21:22	kbo lg lot 2026 06 26	LG Twins	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8582a0…
06-16 12:05:51	kbo lot ssg 2026 06 16	SSG Landers	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe412d2…
06-16 11:43:31	kbo lot ssg 2026 06 16	SSG Landers	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x965824…
06-16 04:18:54	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe25457…
06-16 02:56:09	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f5233…
06-14 01:14:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd40dec…
06-11 06:01:00	kbo doo lot 2026 06 11	Doosan Bears	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7ac360…
06-11 03:17:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	9	29¢	$2	0x5dbb36…
06-11 02:59:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaf2840…
06-11 02:58:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd89140…
06-10 12:14:18	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0xae3149…
06-09 03:20:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3b5569…
06-09 03:10:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbd3371…
06-09 02:51:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe28d16…
06-09 02:50:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3fb488…
06-09 00:51:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd9b8e4…
06-09 00:46:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x04a042…
06-08 01:05:33	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xf0c6f3…
06-07 08:02:25	kbo han lot 2026 06 07	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x91b938…
06-07 07:16:00	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x18c623…
06-06 03:17:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfc7111…
06-06 03:10:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x855fcc…
06-06 02:43:16	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xeed4d4…
06-06 02:42:52	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdd453f…
06-04 09:47:10	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x960dff…
06-04 09:16:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4893a3…
06-04 09:16:45	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0ccbc7…
06-04 09:16:09	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xcbc68d…
06-04 07:48:25	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfbad5f…
06-04 07:41:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xeaa4fb…
06-04 04:14:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xff7728…
06-04 03:14:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7bb403…
06-04 02:51:57	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbbd4ba…
06-04 01:46:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8c12fe…
06-04 01:42:24	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4961b3…
06-03 10:00:47	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x59c3f4…
06-03 10:00:21	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x596ffa…
06-03 09:59:53	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2ee75f…
06-03 08:54:31	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc7c893…
06-03 08:53:56	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x28a404…
06-03 08:52:03	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1bff5f…
06-02 03:16:07	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x54eb8e…
06-02 02:55:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 2?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd7f2e1…
06-02 01:46:55	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x764de2…
06-01 13:53:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xe931dc…
06-01 13:52:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x2a3ca1…
06-01 11:54:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x340961…
06-01 11:29:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xadb8c9…
06-01 09:41:22	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7292fa…
06-01 00:17:18	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x40322e…
05-31 02:11:08	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x475a33…
05-29 01:49:39	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x56cb01…
05-29 01:43:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa9f2ab…
05-18 01:21:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91573b…
05-13 10:11:36	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants	NC Dinos	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf030e4…
05-10 01:15:19	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd28054…
05-03 02:21:26	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd306ff…
05-03 02:21:04	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xdde229…
05-03 02:20:20	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0682b9…
05-03 02:16:02	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x9c281b…
05-02 06:45:12	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb53c96…
05-02 06:38:52	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4806a6…
05-02 06:32:00	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xc34b07…
05-02 01:43:14	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0cdc65…
05-02 01:23:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x32829a…
05-02 01:22:50	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e4e7c…
05-02 00:03:24	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6f4764…
05-01 09:53:08	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x066f3c…
05-01 09:52:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xfd544d…
05-01 09:52:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x992680…
04-30 08:25:34	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xe854e5…
04-30 03:44:54	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x47fb08…
04-30 03:15:40	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5753f8…
04-30 02:54:22	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x258ecc…
04-30 01:39:50	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8c8e07…
04-30 01:39:30	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb1dff1…
04-30 00:42:26	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb3947b…
04-30 00:39:48	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6768ef…
04-29 13:44:34	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x95f6da…
04-29 00:42:26	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x59f776…
04-29 00:41:38	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb688b3…
04-29 00:31:06	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x05f1a1…
04-28 15:03:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x08ae63…
04-28 13:10:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x53cd70…
04-28 04:52:22	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5a1abf…
04-28 01:48:50	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbffc8a…
04-27 13:46:38	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1cfb3a…
04-27 13:43:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xbbc38a…
04-27 13:43:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x83cdc0…
04-27 13:28:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf0ce59…
04-27 13:16:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1b7eab…
04-27 02:28:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2a9075…
04-27 02:09:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x06a1cd…
04-26 03:25:46	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbdefc1…
04-26 02:09:46	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe24b7d…
04-26 01:33:48	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0a9144…
04-25 13:06:14	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13d848…