This-Arrogance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$532

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

116

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-24 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% -$132

Crypto

33% 72% -$359

Sports

27% 0% -$41

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	2	$3.9K	4,142	4,142	+0	76ers	-$41	04-30 10:02
LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	13	$1.3K	2,101	2,101	+0	Aeterna Esports	-$100	04-30 07:47
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5	2	$1.1K	1,084	1,084	+0	Under	+$0	04-24 22:50
epl bou lee 2026 04 22 bou	3	$1.0K	1,034	1,034	+0	No	-$10	04-22 15:41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	2	$705	500	500	+0	FaZe	-$15	05-01 04:04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	2	$602	647	647	+0	Team Falcons	-$6	04-24 22:51
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	2	$540	1,000	1,000	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$0	04-29 10:22
Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	3	$389	607	607	+0	Sandro Kopp	+$0	04-27 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	11	$329	409	21	+388	Up	-$61	05-24 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$300	346	0	+346	Up	-$85	05-24 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:50 UTC	10	$259	181	180	+1	Down	-$25	03-25 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:35 UTC	3	$190	118	101	+17	Up	+$8	03-25 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:15 UTC	2	$182	92	92	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:10 UTC	2	$167	92	92	+0	Down	+$15	03-24 01:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:15 UTC	7	$141	178	63	+114	Up	-$55	03-23 18:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC	7	$139	244	161	+83	Up	-$87	04-08 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:35 UTC	8	$122	87	86	+1	Down	+$2	03-22 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:30 UTC	3	$108	91	57	+34	Up	+$6	03-25 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:25 UTC	2	$104	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 01:50 UTC	2	$100	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	03-22 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:05 UTC	1	$92	92	0	+92	Down	+$1	03-24 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	5	$84	78	28	+51	Up	+$5	05-24 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:55 UTC	1	$82	106	0	+106	Down	-$82	03-25 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 03:05 UTC	4	$74	52	37	+15	Up	$0	03-21 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	10	$73	63	63	+0	Down	+$3	05-23 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:05 UTC	3	$72	44	33	+12	Up	-$8	03-24 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 00:25 UTC	4	$72	50	29	+21	Up	-$15	03-22 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:20 UTC	2	$68	44	44	+1	Down	+$20	03-23 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 02:50 UTC	5	$67	36	34	+2	Up	+$1	03-22 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	7	$67	37	37	+0	Down	+$7	03-21 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xe399a8…
05-24 20:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xe9387d…
05-24 20:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x6d580f…
05-24 20:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xeb1090…
05-24 20:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x18a2e0…
05-24 20:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa86354…
05-24 20:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb0b40e…
05-24 20:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8ac4bc…
05-24 20:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9ab318…
05-24 20:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xa0157c…
05-24 20:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x1dae18…
05-24 20:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8e454d…
05-24 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x99e703…
05-24 20:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc6cdeb…
05-24 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x022859…
05-24 20:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x77ae87…
05-24 20:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x032b41…
05-24 20:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde40d5…
05-24 20:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4545ed…
05-24 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x896500…
05-24 20:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc220c8…
05-24 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcaf662…
05-24 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x30d660…
05-24 20:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf2651f…
05-24 20:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1ecd28…
05-24 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x3a743d…
05-24 20:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x54e61b…
05-24 12:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf11fe2…
05-24 12:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x10166e…
05-24 12:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7aa1e5…
05-24 12:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xb24905…
05-24 12:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3cc5c3…
05-24 12:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0xd853f4…
05-24 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8f7e9e…
05-24 02:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd39658…
05-24 02:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x6a28b5…
05-24 02:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4cc11e…
05-24 02:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x675b29…
05-24 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xccdbcc…
05-24 02:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xee50a2…
05-24 00:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x35a2d1…
05-24 00:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc55111…
05-24 00:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb85a80…
05-24 00:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xea91b3…
05-24 00:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x0a817c…
05-24 00:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2c2557…
05-24 00:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbaeb8d…
05-24 00:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9d88f2…
05-23 23:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x8b7844…
05-23 23:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa1236c…
05-23 22:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf74e31…
05-23 22:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5490ca…
05-23 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x78d59e…
05-23 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9105c4…
05-23 22:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xf0c430…
05-23 22:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2b4464…
05-23 22:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x463bbe…
05-23 22:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x59a6ff…
05-23 22:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0x297cf6…
05-23 22:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x6fe7eb…
05-23 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6ec9ad…
05-23 22:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x26e373…
05-23 22:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x05e6d6…
05-23 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xe11aa6…
05-23 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfb69a6…
05-23 22:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x30a1d3…
05-23 22:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xadf02b…
05-01 04:04:22	Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	G2	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0x163001…
05-01 03:47:00	Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	G2	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x388783…
04-30 10:02:16	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	76ers	SELL	4,142	46¢	$1,905	0x954d00…
04-30 10:02:10	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	4,142	47¢	$1,947	0xc1df87…
04-30 08:20:38	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6d93e0…
04-30 07:47:36	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	476	24¢	$114	0xbcacf5…
04-30 07:47:34	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	124	24¢	$30	0x4b67dc…
04-30 07:47:30	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2ad6ab…
04-30 07:47:26	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x5b53aa…
04-30 07:47:26	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	55	25¢	$14	0x3321b0…
04-30 07:47:26	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x055d5e…
04-30 07:47:18	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	127	27¢	$34	0xf1a9fa…
04-30 07:47:10	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0xf45b10…
04-30 07:47:02	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	896	32¢	$287	0xdd7596…
04-30 07:46:58	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x40f203…
04-30 07:46:56	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	SELL	325	33¢	$107	0x0938bf…
04-30 07:46:36	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0xcdf036…
04-30 07:46:34	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	BUY	1,601	34¢	$544	0x6ba6fd…
04-30 04:22:06	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd24690…
04-29 10:22:14	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0xe771bf…
04-29 10:22:06	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0x1c23a9…
04-27 19:21:18	Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	Sandro Kopp	SELL	607	32¢	$194	0x124a2b…
04-27 19:21:04	Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	Sandro Kopp	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x578c3d…
04-27 19:21:04	Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	Sandro Kopp	BUY	600	32¢	$192	0x254146…
04-27 15:04:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa48cc4…
04-27 15:04:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7074b3…
04-27 00:54:16	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb23150…
04-24 22:51:02	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	647	46¢	$298	0x78291d…
04-24 22:50:58	Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1,084	51¢	$553	0x58a9a7…
04-24 22:15:10	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	647	47¢	$304	0xe579dd…
04-24 22:07:52	Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,084	51¢	$553	0xf837a3…
04-22 15:41:06	epl bou lee 2026 04 22 bou	No	SELL	1,034	50¢	$517	0x3eb134…
04-22 14:13:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x16fa4c…