Darling-Lobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$926

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

341

Trades

1,074

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$283

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-28 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

60% 47% -$208

Politics

19% 30% -$79

Crypto

12% 30% -$611

Sports

5% 49% -$12

Tech

4% 35% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+368	$195	75¢	$276	+$81	08-18 09:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+60	$4	9¢	$5	+$1	08-12 09:22
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+60	$3	1¢	$1	-$2	08-14 16:19
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+50	$11	1¢	$1	-$10	06-15 13:03
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+100	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	08-17 08:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	33	$3.0K	2,200	4,400	-2,200	No	+$33	02-14 12:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$2.4K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$14	03-21 14:29
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$1.8K	924	924	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 13:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	19	$1.3K	912	1,512	-600	No	+$50	03-01 09:08
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$1.2K	600	800	-200	Yes	-$32	03-04 13:17
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	13	$1.2K	630	630	+0	Yes	+$14	03-06 14:27
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	8	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	-0	No	-$163	01-16 06:05
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	9	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$176	02-04 09:11
cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Texas Longhorns	+$0	03-19 12:51
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	11	$1.1K	582	582	+0	Yes	$0	02-25 17:12
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	9	$1.1K	518	603	-85	No	-$3	02-24 12:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	17	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Yes	-$165	03-20 14:19
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	2	$978	500	500	+0	No	+$21	02-20 16:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$938	600	600	+0	Yes	-$10	02-18 12:12
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	7	$897	485	485	+0	No	+$24	03-23 13:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	26	$896	620	1,020	-400	Yes	-$2	02-16 06:21
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$878	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$174	01-24 12:02
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	2	$873	440	440	+0	No	+$6	03-25 14:23
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	17	$826	600	600	+0	Yes	-$38	01-29 04:45
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	2	$820	2,000	2,000	+0	Houston Cougars	-$20	03-20 13:23
amzn close above 215 on february 9 2026	5	$766	300	500	-200	No	-$21	02-09 16:51
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	15	$751	600	1,200	-600	No	+$69	02-10 13:32
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	20	$733	1,745	1,745	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	+$35	04-05 11:07
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$720	500	500	+0	No	+$0	03-17 10:41
Elsa FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$718	360	360	+0	Yes	+$0	01-21 14:41
spx up or down on march 12 2026	3	$709	250	500	-250	Down	-$13	03-12 16:42
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	2	$676	420	417	+3	Rajasthan Royals	+$23	04-04 17:23
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$654	450	450	+0	No	-$18	02-20 11:14
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	17	$643	600	600	+0	No	+$0	01-25 10:37
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	6	$616	540	540	+0	Punjab Kings	+$18	05-23 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 15:57:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdca7cc…
08-18 09:04:07	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	53¢	$195	0xd237cd…
08-17 08:21:04	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xeab323…
08-14 16:19:10	Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x24d02b…
08-14 10:43:24	Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x9fab86…
08-12 09:22:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0xc09cff…
08-08 17:30:54	crichundred sou man 2026 08 08	Manchester Super Giants	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x1e9688…
08-08 16:43:01	crichundred sou man 2026 08 08	Manchester Super Giants	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbbeefb…
08-08 10:06:34	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x63d93b…
08-05 17:15:24	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6aa892…
08-05 15:46:11	crichundred man wel 2026 08 05	Welsh Fire	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6618ea…
07-27 17:07:09	mlb bal det 2026 07 27	Detroit Tigers	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0d609e…
07-21 17:02:57	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 21	New York Yankees	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd7abd1…
07-20 16:25:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x65baed…
07-20 16:19:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe9c7fd…
07-17 11:50:39	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Zimbabwe	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xaf5ae3…
07-17 11:50:30	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Zimbabwe	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x1e5e92…
07-17 11:12:31	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Zimbabwe	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1d0d4a…
07-11 14:46:25	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 11	India	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6b8fa0…
07-11 11:18:13	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 11	Zimbabwe	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1bdeb5…
07-09 18:02:35	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x2c9157…
07-09 18:02:25	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	India	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x868b42…
07-06 13:21:26	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	Zimbabwe	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xbc93a4…
07-06 08:39:19	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	Zimbabwe	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x4a961c…
07-06 08:37:58	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	Zimbabwe	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x695b09…
07-06 08:22:04	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 06	Zimbabwe	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x67e377…
06-29 16:32:50	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x569fc3…
06-28 08:42:17	bitcoin above 59200 on june 28 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x688fae…
06-26 18:11:59	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3af861…
06-26 18:11:07	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa8536a…
06-26 18:08:58	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa81af4…
06-20 17:16:32	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf9c510…
06-20 17:15:37	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe17744…
06-20 17:01:19	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5c7dd0…
06-19 10:51:13	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 19	Bangladesh	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x8beff1…
06-19 08:35:56	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 19	Bangladesh	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x4e492c…
06-19 08:28:46	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 19	Bangladesh	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xdbf7f3…
06-19 08:13:10	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 19	Bangladesh	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xb5e00a…
06-18 18:14:59	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x4c0693…
06-18 18:09:20	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8830b7…
06-18 18:08:29	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc82038…
06-18 17:49:22	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x95c2a3…
06-18 17:44:14	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xa373d2…
06-18 17:40:31	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1c8cca…
06-18 17:39:32	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7505db…
06-17 19:13:02	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xcc1d16…
06-17 18:09:20	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x2bd94d…
06-17 18:03:58	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x0a80d7…
06-17 17:56:31	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa011a7…
06-17 17:54:32	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x5a95f9…
06-17 17:49:17	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x2f1fb7…
06-17 17:45:02	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x560bad…
06-17 17:05:43	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xecb971…
06-17 16:47:35	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x2e9a9d…
06-17 16:45:59	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x2763ea…
06-17 16:45:14	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x98ded1…
06-17 16:41:01	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x5d267c…
06-17 16:40:34	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x6abbf7…
06-17 16:40:17	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x081772…
06-17 16:39:31	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x954b58…
06-17 16:38:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x02b6be…
06-16 18:28:07	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xd4f48c…
06-16 18:27:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xabef44…
06-16 18:13:05	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x69a588…
06-16 11:53:25	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x5c1b1d…
06-15 16:29:27	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x022bab…
06-15 16:18:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xcf0fb0…
06-15 16:06:06	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6e349a…
06-15 16:02:12	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1d3eec…
06-15 13:33:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2f2a23…
06-15 13:03:03	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x686a1f…
06-15 13:02:18	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x392797…
06-15 13:01:34	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x012de7…
06-15 13:00:48	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x0927b3…
06-15 12:59:58	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xee80ff…
06-15 12:59:21	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x271a7d…
06-15 12:58:43	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x8ff772…
06-14 17:56:36	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1fde6a…
06-14 17:53:36	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1b5900…
06-14 12:54:21	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xca7925…
06-14 07:26:49	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4bd42d…
06-13 11:02:28	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x372bc0…
06-13 11:00:43	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x6991ee…
06-13 10:59:18	Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2dd9c9…
06-13 10:58:49	Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe23282…
06-13 10:39:52	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd9ea0a…
06-11 18:02:49	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x796d63…
06-09 17:27:31	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x348ff4…
06-09 17:20:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xc36484…
06-08 21:25:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	260	93¢	$242	0x37d982…
06-07 14:02:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	260	92¢	$239	0x7c7eeb…
06-05 14:43:52	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	Aurora	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d02db…
06-04 17:41:43	crict20blast som gla 2026 06 04	Somerset	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xadce1e…
06-04 16:40:46	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1c45af…
06-03 15:06:45	Dota 2: by Owl Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs	VooDooSh Club	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x150280…
06-02 10:12:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x5a9ab5…
06-02 09:22:04	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7397bc…
05-31 17:38:04	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0406a4…
05-31 06:59:47	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x7658dd…
05-30 13:26:00	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	132	36¢	$47	0xed32e4…