Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$889

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$6.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-12 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

53% 24% -$723

Tech

32% 25% +$46

Politics

8% 29% -$98

Sports

5% 14% -$80

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$34

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	34	$712	774	721	+53	Yes	+$114	03-05 07:05
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	16	$594	1,687	1,186	+500	No	-$105	03-14 06:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	17	$495	3,504	3,504	+0	No	+$120	04-23 09:29
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	6	$460	868	373	+495	No	-$55	03-26 04:41
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	3	$382	217	217	+0	Yes	-$18	03-22 01:50
will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	8	$242	1,232	1,232	+0	No	-$20	03-11 21:05
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	10	$186	3,359	2,959	+400	No	-$6	03-07 00:40
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$181	259	259	+0	No	+$49	03-11 20:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$170	1,219	1,219	+0	No	-$25	03-11 08:27
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	9	$153	1,186	1,186	+0	No	-$117	03-26 12:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$151	241	241	+0	Yes	-$89	04-16 07:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$147	118	118	+0	Yes	+$7	04-03 23:44
will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	16	$145	1,807	1,807	+0	No	-$95	03-26 12:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$143	605	185	+420	No	+$9	03-31 06:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$121	2,825	1,094	+1,731	No	-$34	05-06 03:08
will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	9	$98	790	255	+535	No	-$43	03-12 10:56
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	28	$89	8,485	5,475	+3,010	Yes	-$60	02-02 16:49
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$87	73	73	+0	Lakers	-$1	04-24 10:26
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	2	$86	0	2,295	-2,295	No	+$86	05-12 02:56
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	3	$82	337	135	+202	No	-$21	04-14 05:13
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	3	$81	317	317	+0	Yes	-$26	04-24 03:43
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$75	154	149	+5	Yes	-$5	04-21 19:35
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$74	150	150	+0	No	-$34	04-21 18:20
will nvda reach 200 in march	2	$61	197	0	+197	No	-$61	03-16 19:26
will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	3	$57	795	0	+795	No	-$57	04-26 07:18
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$51	4,175	0	+4,175	No	-$51	02-15 21:08
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	5	$48	662	0	+662	No	-$48	03-12 08:38
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	3	$46	325	0	+325	No	-$46	03-26 23:49
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	2	$41	556	556	+0	No	-$9	03-13 05:53
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	7	$41	283	283	+0	No	+$1	05-04 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 02:56:44	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	248	15¢	$37	0x3ed5a8…
05-12 02:56:25	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,295	3¢	$40	0x35870c…
05-06 03:08:46	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	931	2¢	$14	0x99d832…
05-04 14:20:44	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0xa118f8…
05-04 09:17:36	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xc82af3…
05-04 08:11:00	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x54178d…
05-04 07:56:54	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xc17078…
05-04 06:31:06	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x1aa431…
05-04 03:13:38	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xfa1e27…
05-03 23:46:22	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	449	1¢	$6	0xdf5e3c…
05-03 11:50:34	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xcf97da…
05-03 10:31:54	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	8¢	$10	0xd2ae30…
05-03 01:39:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$22	0x1bd4da…
05-01 03:21:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x96796c…
05-01 03:17:42	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	7¢	$20	0xc82361…
05-01 03:14:06	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$46	0xedc4ba…
04-26 07:18:14	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	535	8¢	$44	0x61a95f…
04-26 02:28:30	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,094	4¢	$44	0xac01ad…
04-24 10:26:42	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,094	4¢	$42	0x6cc7d8…
04-24 10:26:02	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	73	58¢	$43	0xabe592…
04-24 10:25:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0x40bebc…
04-24 10:22:36	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x30ce78…
04-24 10:21:58	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	20¢	$14	0x5e386c…
04-24 03:43:18	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	SELL	317	9¢	$27	0x84edc1…
04-24 03:42:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,733	0¢	$7	0xfe857a…
04-23 12:03:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	226	4¢	$9	0x6089ed…
04-23 12:03:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0xbfc2ac…
04-23 09:37:32	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	72	18¢	$13	0x6325c0…
04-23 09:34:54	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x47b854…
04-23 09:32:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x54deab…
04-23 09:32:06	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x3a932a…
04-23 09:30:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,733	0¢	$9	0xb8f1c5…
04-23 09:29:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	30¢	$84	0x07d7e4…
04-23 09:29:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0xdd691d…
04-23 09:28:54	Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	87	5¢	$4	0x9d40ce…
04-21 19:35:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	19¢	$53	0x1bcdb7…
04-21 19:35:02	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	SELL	149	23¢	$35	0x480088…
04-21 18:20:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0xd10ee8…
04-21 16:49:38	gpt 5pt5 released by april 21 2026 173 332	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x34cee2…
04-21 16:49:32	gpt 5pt5 released by april 21 2026 173 332	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xd27de3…
04-17 02:36:04	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0x81d068…
04-17 02:28:34	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3,683	1¢	$24	0x0cb788…
04-16 15:39:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	183	6¢	$11	0xaf0259…
04-16 07:36:04	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0xfca4ca…
04-16 07:26:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	241	13¢	$31	0xa8c3d8…
04-16 07:23:08	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	No	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xcc091b…
04-14 05:35:35	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x16a8f9…
04-14 05:34:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	846	6¢	$52	0x4516a6…
04-14 05:32:29	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x74f5b3…
04-14 05:30:49	gpt 5pt5 released by april 21 2026 173 332	Yes	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0x518c1d…
04-14 05:13:49	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$2	0x588f1a…
04-13 12:03:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xe073cb…
04-13 12:02:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x595544…
04-13 11:45:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x780d28…
04-12 14:04:27	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x1b4952…
04-12 14:03:55	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x58b0a1…
04-11 20:20:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	7¢	$11	0xe6ae63…
04-11 17:36:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x11e1c5…
04-11 17:23:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0xe40fb5…
04-11 17:02:37	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x514b9e…
04-11 17:01:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x10cbfb…
04-11 15:56:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	753	7¢	$56	0xb593f2…
04-11 13:34:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	890	7¢	$62	0xe5168f…
04-07 06:52:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	4¢	$15	0xaf5e37…
04-07 06:52:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x83fc32…
04-07 06:52:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	901	4¢	$39	0xe4b620…
04-07 01:02:03	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$18	0xea0f01…
04-06 13:05:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x18fccb…
04-06 11:56:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdb8149…
04-05 22:50:05	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	21¢	$17	0xa7f8d7…
04-04 09:07:59	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	998	2¢	$19	0x4dc3f0…
04-03 23:44:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x550cfd…
04-03 23:44:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0x1f0417…
04-03 23:43:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xcc8d93…
04-03 23:29:43	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,683	0¢	$10	0x76404a…
04-02 00:19:25	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	135	22¢	$30	0x274886…
03-31 06:57:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	338	3¢	$10	0x3034ac…
03-29 05:05:00	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe71258…
03-26 23:49:45	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x1d26c5…
03-26 13:00:13	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xab34c2…
03-26 12:59:47	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	Yes	SELL	1,186	2¢	$18	0x73b7cb…
03-26 12:58:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$20	0xd45836…
03-26 12:58:31	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x93c010…
03-26 12:57:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	94	61¢	$58	0xd3df87…
03-26 12:56:33	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,307	0¢	$4	0xa885f7…
03-26 12:21:57	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xd4f446…
03-26 12:21:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	489	7¢	$36	0x5a5cae…
03-26 07:17:15	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	No	BUY	104	33¢	$34	0x26d06a…
03-26 06:12:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	489	6¢	$31	0x442e5e…
03-26 04:41:59	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x02d1b6…
03-24 21:30:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x205437…
03-24 21:30:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x924121…
03-22 01:50:17	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	83¢	$155	0xfee589…
03-18 06:27:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	Yes	BUY	243	7¢	$17	0x8e6447…
03-18 06:06:49	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x0893e8…
03-18 06:06:47	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$1	0x680388…
03-17 19:29:31	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x7d65be…
03-16 19:26:57	will nvda reach 200 in march	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x5944b8…
03-16 19:25:37	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xd5aa71…
03-16 19:25:29	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xb7ef2a…