Corrupt-Feeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$144

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

132

Trades

1,021

lifetime

Volume

$307.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$301

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-04 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

47% 44% -$9,784

Other

46% 33% -$18,199

Sports

4% 100% +$570

Tech

3% 0% -$2,175

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes		-6,830	-$161	0¢	$-17	+$144	05-09 10:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	74	$13.2K	15,642	15,642	+0	Yes	-$3,050	02-12 10:10
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$12.2K	8,400	8,400	+0	No	+$3,292	01-31 00:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	26	$10.5K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$39	02-15 13:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	11	$10.4K	8,686	8,686	+0	No	+$3,724	01-31 00:29
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$9.9K	18,000	0	+18,000	Yes	-$9,900	02-23 05:10
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$322	02-19 11:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$208	02-23 04:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$78	03-03 11:22
nothing ever happens january 581	24	$9.0K	9,918	7,599	+2,319	No	-$1,441	01-12 08:48
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	8	$8.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$1,318	01-31 00:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$7.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	-$50	02-22 04:01
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$7.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$120	01-09 13:30
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	51	$7.2K	5,000	2,619	+2,381	Yes	+$119	02-19 13:09
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	15	$7.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$2,461	01-24 05:16
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	28	$6.4K	9,859	9,859	+0	Yes	+$529	01-23 08:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	39	$6.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$109	02-23 04:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$6.3K	4,500	4,500	+0	Yes	-$351	02-12 02:55
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	31	$6.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$625	02-15 16:03
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	82	$6.1K	17,583	17,583	+0	No	-$1,190	02-20 02:41
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$5.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$479	01-31 00:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$5.8K	5,024	3,000	+2,024	Yes	-$1,446	01-20 06:13
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	3	$5.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$648	02-15 15:13
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	6	$5.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$423	02-19 06:49
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	6	$4.9K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$417	01-21 08:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$4.9K	3,932	3,932	+0	Yes	-$1,574	03-01 04:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	7	$4.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$0	01-14 09:11
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	25	$4.5K	4,200	4,200	+0	No	+$336	01-09 07:41
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$4	02-15 14:55
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$4.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$176	02-25 10:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$4.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$250	02-15 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 10:39:55	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xd85a9e…
07-04 10:39:46	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x60bb70…
07-04 10:39:34	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xb8e7a0…
07-04 10:39:25	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x55ab2c…
07-04 10:38:53	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xd372a8…
07-04 10:38:41	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xa0d6a5…
07-01 00:13:16	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xd6c388…
07-01 00:13:01	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xf1b58c…
07-01 00:12:46	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x74fbd9…
07-01 00:12:19	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe90047…
07-01 00:11:35	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3b7052…
07-01 00:11:11	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xcddb8a…
07-01 00:10:59	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x661546…
07-01 00:10:35	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x68d44d…
07-01 00:10:17	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x7f1c10…
07-01 00:10:07	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x612b7d…
06-28 04:02:56	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x2f8c43…
06-28 04:02:47	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x265feb…
06-28 04:02:37	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xb42b0f…
06-28 04:02:14	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x47bd73…
06-27 06:09:22	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x224efa…
06-27 06:09:10	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x6effba…
06-27 06:09:02	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x07efe5…
06-27 06:08:50	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xabc502…
06-27 06:08:41	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x312b74…
06-27 06:08:31	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x50fd1a…
06-26 08:07:46	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x4b883f…
06-26 08:07:34	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xa82add…
06-26 08:07:19	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3ce2ff…
06-26 08:07:08	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xac9e1b…
06-26 08:06:58	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xab11ba…
06-26 08:06:47	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x6bb289…
06-25 10:09:40	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xa96104…
06-25 10:09:23	Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x0eed09…
06-25 10:09:10	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x7ceaea…
06-25 10:09:01	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xd8645b…
06-25 10:08:50	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x23d264…
06-25 10:08:41	Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x3185ae…
06-25 10:08:31	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0x950460…
06-25 10:08:20	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	174	11¢	$20	0xf1c79f…
06-25 10:08:10	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x43c016…
06-23 13:09:34	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xdc576c…
06-23 13:09:17	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x5c6a90…
06-23 13:09:01	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x37fb30…
06-23 13:08:49	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x6147c4…
06-23 13:01:35	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x72d663…
06-23 13:01:23	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x6a9edf…
06-23 13:01:11	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x7b5cff…
06-23 13:01:02	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xf3c5d5…
06-14 11:44:27	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	291	48¢	$140	0x8a6b51…
06-13 16:28:03	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x7a9dbd…
05-30 13:24:27	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	347	55¢	$191	0x503284…
05-09 10:45:38	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	6,830	2¢	$161	0xa52493…
03-03 15:09:33	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	3,993	11¢	$445	0xb0bdca…
03-03 14:06:15	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	229	92¢	$211	0x084972…
03-03 12:47:35	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x80183a…
03-03 11:31:41	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x399d36…
03-03 11:26:37	will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	106	78¢	$83	0xe5bc39…
03-03 11:24:15	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	1,255	92¢	$1,155	0x35770d…
03-03 11:22:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,500	97¢	$2,428	0xc4f2f5…
03-01 04:10:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	1,875	42¢	$788	0x13da9c…
03-01 04:10:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	168	42¢	$71	0x5022d7…
03-01 04:09:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	1,889	42¢	$793	0x26809d…
02-26 07:27:36	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	73¢	$3,650	0x77c535…
02-25 15:10:26	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	1,681	96¢	$1,608	0x971e72…
02-25 10:57:50	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,250	99¢	$1,239	0x413de6…
02-24 17:19:14	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,969	0xf6448a…
02-24 08:03:20	will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	SELL	448	46¢	$206	0x939b87…
02-24 08:03:20	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x925e38…
02-24 07:43:32	will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x3dcbb2…
02-24 07:02:06	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	1,500	92¢	$1,380	0x9a0022…
02-24 06:50:06	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	35	47¢	$16	0x0625d3…
02-24 06:48:12	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xbb6068…
02-24 06:47:06	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xe70fa5…
02-24 06:45:58	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x9584be…
02-24 06:45:08	will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xb5953b…
02-24 06:44:52	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	85	47¢	$40	0xa757cf…
02-24 06:44:52	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x92eb60…
02-23 05:10:36	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18,000	55¢	$9,900	0x77b79c…
02-23 04:52:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	5,000	97¢	$4,854	0x2e6f15…
02-23 04:43:26	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	3,500	89¢	$3,132	0xcfedea…
02-23 04:42:40	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x76a824…
02-22 04:54:42	will france win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x2d144b…
02-22 04:32:14	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x2ed76b…
02-22 04:29:46	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x8fbe58…
02-22 04:29:46	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x445bbd…
02-22 04:29:44	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0xb70288…
02-22 04:29:44	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x2459b1…
02-22 04:29:42	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	480	81¢	$389	0xc67564…
02-22 04:29:34	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4ae6d1…
02-22 04:29:32	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0x0c2757…
02-22 04:29:28	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,218	81¢	$986	0x76d5b8…
02-22 04:01:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	61¢	$1,830	0x17cc19…
02-21 08:26:22	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	137	0¢	$0	0xedc77d…
02-21 08:11:48	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	748	0¢	$2	0x78fec3…
02-21 08:09:04	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	113	0¢	$0	0x041bc8…
02-21 08:07:52	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x5f684e…
02-21 07:31:46	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xa3a686…
02-21 07:26:18	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	234	0¢	$1	0xd80a6e…
02-21 07:20:28	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0xddea81…