Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-14

last 09-19 04:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

63% 38% -$6

Politics

33% 44% -$1

Tech

4% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-18 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 04:03
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-07 12:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-18 14:55
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-15 23:44
spy up or down on august 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	08-21 06:28
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-28 19:50
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-16 07:45
will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-17 06:13
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-02 11:53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 08:14
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-14 12:46
Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-01 04:35
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-17 23:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-23 09:20
will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	08-18 08:06
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-20 22:25
will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-19 12:56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-24 22:19
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-01 13:09
kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	08-14 20:50
will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026 from september 2	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-02 21:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	08-18 16:23
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-21 16:04
will ewy dip to 178 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 15:49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-16 22:12
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-14 03:47
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-24 02:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 04:03:46	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xcade42…
09-18 14:55:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x072e90…
09-16 07:45:01	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc150da…
09-15 23:44:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x414d11…
09-07 12:41:36	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xcfbd76…
09-03 08:14:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x832d8f…
09-02 21:44:31	will ewy dip to 175 by august 31 2026 from september 2	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xca68ff…
09-02 11:53:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x31b272…
09-01 13:09:58	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xbee140…
09-01 04:35:24	Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x17dd93…
08-28 19:50:46	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x95966b…
08-24 22:19:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x10a4eb…
08-24 02:18:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xda4ae1…
08-23 09:20:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0916f7…
08-21 16:04:55	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6b9598…
08-21 06:28:34	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9ec92d…
08-20 22:25:45	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x12d955…
08-19 12:56:40	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x25de01…
08-18 16:23:01	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf2ceb3…
08-18 08:06:00	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5a5475…
08-17 23:50:43	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x19ffde…
08-17 15:49:27	will ewy dip to 178 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbba600…
08-17 06:13:22	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x501586…
08-16 22:12:09	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xac7a61…
08-14 20:50:16	kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9cac53…
08-14 12:46:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x10b16c…
08-14 03:47:54	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x04ff06…