Third-Crisp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

285

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:49
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	23	+23	No	-$23	05-15 04:57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:42
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:37
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-21 23:46
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:12
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:02
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 74 75f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-20 02:24
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:42
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 64 65f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 00:46
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:16
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:33
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-17 15:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:38
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:37
highest temperature in karachi on april 16 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:11
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x187057…
10-31 09:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ef9e…
10-30 09:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x427947…
10-29 08:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87b4cb…
10-28 05:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34a100…
10-27 08:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c65cd…
10-26 09:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0c2b2…
10-24 10:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x722a23…
10-22 10:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x056a0b…
10-20 04:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x115ddf…
10-19 08:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f0593…
10-18 08:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad7982…
10-17 09:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb71d1e…
10-16 08:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda51a4…
10-15 08:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f9abd…
10-14 08:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe98843…
10-13 08:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2b405…
10-12 08:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3cdeb…
10-11 07:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34dba7…
10-08 08:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4ade…
10-07 13:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40846d…
10-06 07:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb388a8…
10-04 10:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x493cca…
10-03 05:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x075c55…
10-02 07:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61f477…
10-01 08:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5b17…
09-30 12:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26728a…
09-29 09:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0be25…
09-28 09:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f6d14…
09-27 08:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6905…
09-25 08:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aae57…
09-24 08:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf7b2a…
09-23 05:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x712061…
09-22 07:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91beae…
09-21 08:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c359e…
09-20 05:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51bf87…
09-19 07:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebdc09…
09-18 01:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7aff8a…
09-17 03:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d1115…
09-16 07:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x181042…
09-15 08:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41c38b…
09-14 08:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x082d1b…
09-12 10:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5a562…
09-11 07:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa92f2a…
09-10 02:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcda6da…
09-09 01:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f9910…
09-08 01:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa479d5…
09-07 08:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeeddc6…
09-06 17:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44c2e9…
09-06 08:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fc154…
09-05 09:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc055cc…
09-04 09:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb612bc…
09-03 09:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeae01c…
09-01 09:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd5bf8…
08-30 08:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x547336…
08-29 07:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x995b7e…
08-28 06:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x796ec2…
08-27 07:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb38812…
08-26 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x686c0a…
08-25 07:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02e732…
08-24 09:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb70a7…
08-23 14:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02413a…
08-22 07:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x946fd7…
08-21 03:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9972…
08-20 08:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22b8c5…
08-19 08:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e1312…
08-18 04:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58c2a9…
08-17 07:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf215ef…
08-16 10:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6090db…
08-15 09:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaf892…
08-14 06:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4046fd…
08-13 07:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbe8cf…
08-12 07:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e01c3…
08-11 03:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f511c…
08-10 00:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05f8d4…
08-09 01:13:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80b8d1…
08-08 07:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8ee01…
08-07 00:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6303dd…
08-06 00:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfba71f…
08-05 07:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcc045…
08-04 07:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4dff9…
08-03 01:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d07d5…
08-02 01:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48a43a…
08-01 00:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x013565…
07-31 07:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9b8de…
07-30 06:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3501ed…
07-29 06:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34c0ca…
07-28 05:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581b54…
07-27 07:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9866a…
07-26 06:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e06b…
07-25 01:01:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0db63d…
07-24 08:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5cd29…
07-23 02:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa94a8…
07-22 01:42:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6176b2…
07-20 23:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f97ab…
07-20 02:16:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x449d50…
07-18 22:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5ff7c…
07-17 23:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a2b06…
07-17 06:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a0310…
07-16 07:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa438d7…