Clear-Cut-Derrick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$656

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

7,204

Trades

16,591

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-30 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% -$634

Other

2% 64% -$17

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-30 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	29	$63	43	43	+0	Down	+$7	05-16 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	22	$62	61	61	+0	Up	-$1	06-14 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:40 UTC	61	$61	173	0	+173	Up	-$15	06-09 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:05 UTC	59	$59	153	0	+153	Down	+$44	06-09 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:50 UTC	58	$58	161	0	+161	Up	+$3	06-09 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:10 UTC	23	$58	44	44	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 10:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:20 UTC	20	$58	49	43	+6	Up	-$4	06-14 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:45 UTC	4	$58	50	50	+0	Up	+$28	07-20 23:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:40 UTC	4	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$28	07-20 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	7	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$28	07-20 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:25 UTC	7	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$28	07-20 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:25 UTC	10	$57	50	50	+0	Down	+$28	07-20 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:25 UTC	54	$54	162	0	+162	Up	-$13	06-09 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	14	$53	188	188	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:05 UTC	50	$50	132	0	+132	Up	+$23	06-09 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:55 UTC	11	$48	45	25	+20	Down	+$2	08-06 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:40 UTC	47	$47	238	0	+238	Down	-$6	06-09 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:05 UTC	46	$46	126	0	+126	Down	-$10	06-09 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	44	$44	105	0	+105	Down	-$5	05-16 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:10 UTC	15	$44	31	31	+0	Down	+$7	06-09 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:10 UTC	43	$43	150	0	+150	Down	-$16	06-09 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:10 UTC	41	$41	83	0	+83	Up	+$6	06-09 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:50 UTC	28	$40	51	33	+18	Up	-$4	06-08 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:40 UTC	13	$39	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	06-14 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:40 UTC	16	$39	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	06-09 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:00 UTC	19	$39	39	39	+0	Down	-$1	06-09 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 23:50 UTC	27	$38	75	12	+64	Up	-$15	06-05 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:05 UTC	16	$37	26	26	+0	Down	+$4	06-09 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	37	$37	72	0	+72	Up	+$2	06-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	11	$37	95	16	+78	Down	-$5	06-02 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4a666b…
10-30 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xba3ac7…
10-30 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x275429…
10-30 08:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe567f4…
10-30 08:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd2ce88…
10-30 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdf92e4…
10-30 08:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xb58335…
10-30 08:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x69e6aa…
10-30 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x41ab89…
10-30 08:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xd66400…
10-30 08:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdc00de…
10-30 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf29fc2…
10-30 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd6649f…
10-30 07:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x6f13f4…
10-30 07:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xfceafb…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0e6256…
10-30 07:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7d6fe3…
10-30 07:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa1e3ba…
10-30 01:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xa73a00…
10-30 01:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xba0633…
10-30 01:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb98866…
10-30 01:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x754175…
10-30 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x148b4e…
10-30 00:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9616ca…
10-30 00:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0a6289…
10-30 00:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x102fe2…
10-30 00:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x056f2d…
10-30 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe9f2f0…
10-30 00:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xd6111a…
10-30 00:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xacb9ca…
10-30 00:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6a7175…
10-30 00:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x69ead3…
10-30 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc00910…
10-30 00:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x72ec78…
10-29 23:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x328b67…
10-29 23:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6473e8…
10-29 23:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xce6abe…
10-29 23:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9171a4…
10-29 23:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0d21a1…
10-29 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x554b29…
10-29 22:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$3	0xfc2dcc…
10-29 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x0c74b4…
10-29 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x631f64…
10-29 21:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x27a380…
10-29 21:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9c4062…
10-29 21:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xcb8820…
10-29 21:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x44e3f2…
10-29 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbbf376…
10-29 21:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x4deefa…
10-29 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x53b773…
10-29 21:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xdb0afd…
10-29 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd28465…
10-29 21:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xb2444a…
10-29 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x61689c…
10-29 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x95b44b…
10-29 21:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x8554e5…
10-29 21:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xcdedf0…
10-29 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xc8aa19…
10-29 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xf04c32…
10-29 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xeece43…
10-29 21:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xd6d4e0…
10-29 21:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7038f3…
10-29 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x444404…
10-29 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x47d97c…
10-29 21:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xe31fde…
10-29 21:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd1342d…
10-29 20:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x629645…
10-29 20:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x5fb68e…
10-29 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x705430…
10-29 20:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xcc2682…
10-29 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xc39cfd…
10-29 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xbb8e72…
10-29 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdf7337…
10-29 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1f0753…
10-29 20:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x92db4b…
10-29 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x1bedd0…
10-29 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0fcebc…
10-29 20:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xb41885…
10-29 19:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6674a7…
10-26 14:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd649b7…
09-07 10:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	129	21¢	$27	0x6766df…
09-07 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc5be8c…
08-25 09:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x452e30…
08-20 11:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeb8574…
08-08 00:48:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf2741c…
08-08 00:47:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc75494…
08-08 00:47:54	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xea5bc4…
08-08 00:47:54	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x22695d…
08-08 00:47:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xbdba06…
08-08 00:47:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x49f014…
08-08 00:47:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x818cfa…
08-07 21:38:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x53c858…
08-07 21:38:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x55c7e9…
08-07 21:37:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6a3be9…
08-07 21:37:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa72725…
08-07 21:37:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x2a1073…
08-07 21:37:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x196d4a…
08-07 21:37:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x349cc8…
08-07 21:37:43	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb0dcad…
08-07 21:37:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x291a30…