Tempting-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$367

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-07 02:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% $-4

Politics

2% 100% +$6

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$15	5	20	-15	open	—	05-02 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$11	1	20	-19	open	—	04-29 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$6	2	6	-4	open	—	04-28 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$6	2	6	-4	open	—	04-28 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$6	0	11	-11	open	—	04-29 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	05-01 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$5	7	6	+0	open	—	04-25 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	04-29 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	04-29 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	05-03 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$5	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$4	1	5	-4	open	—	05-01 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 23:14
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$4	10	0	+10	Yes	+$6	04-26 08:55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf52a81…
05-07 02:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xfcf352…
05-07 02:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd2304b…
05-07 01:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x572d72…
05-07 01:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x4a1d9a…
05-05 23:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xed102f…
05-05 23:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x19490f…
05-05 23:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1cf6c6…
05-05 23:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x38e282…
05-05 23:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xa3f154…
05-05 22:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa9473c…
05-04 23:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb16898…
05-04 23:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4fc1d1…
05-04 23:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9aeded…
05-04 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd2bab6…
05-04 22:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x1e4b2f…
05-04 16:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d5f03…
05-04 16:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x02daab…
05-04 15:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd75ef8…
05-04 15:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x8abc50…
05-04 15:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc75169…
05-04 15:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2c0bea…
05-04 15:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x40fc2a…
05-04 15:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf7fc30…
05-04 15:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x57aef3…
05-04 15:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x07b21e…
05-04 15:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x675f76…
05-04 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x671271…
05-04 15:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xad7847…
05-04 15:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x36dcc3…
05-04 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2b3336…
05-04 12:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xb4c2c3…
05-04 12:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x93958e…
05-04 12:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x746b6d…
05-04 12:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x662090…
05-04 12:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x2f38c6…
05-04 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9e1911…
05-04 12:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe74322…
05-04 12:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x714ae9…
05-04 12:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x246154…
05-04 01:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xae2c2c…
05-04 01:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9117cc…
05-04 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x2650f5…
05-04 01:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c39e9…
05-03 23:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20b7f9…
05-03 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3dbf79…
05-03 23:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfc0bbb…
05-03 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc15838…
05-03 23:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9c9039…
05-03 23:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x52ea97…
05-03 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x18c511…
05-03 23:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x577020…
05-03 23:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xf8f9a2…
05-03 20:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf48703…
05-03 19:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe699d6…
05-03 19:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3483d8…
05-03 17:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa632e9…
05-03 17:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xea0b1d…
05-03 14:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x776a7d…
05-03 14:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9fdd66…
05-03 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf0ec25…
05-03 11:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x533f9b…
05-03 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x17ed5f…
05-03 11:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x191fac…
05-03 11:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xddeabf…
05-03 11:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x820f69…
05-03 11:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x75263e…
05-03 11:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x393c99…
05-03 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6da51f…
05-03 01:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8eec6d…
05-03 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x95c810…
05-03 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc531e1…
05-03 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x15cc04…
05-03 00:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x711ed2…
05-02 23:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x62c761…
05-02 23:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x788f2f…
05-02 23:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x794466…
05-02 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfd3fda…
05-02 23:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b221e…
05-02 23:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x0f96b7…
05-02 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa66043…
05-02 23:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa510b6…
05-02 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd210c1…
05-02 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x3e61bc…
05-02 20:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9f1a94…
05-02 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd9383f…
05-02 20:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x6bc323…
05-02 16:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x95dec4…
05-02 10:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x6c15f4…
05-02 10:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x57dd7a…
05-02 01:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x876bd3…
05-02 01:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x374f84…
05-02 01:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc15e7…
05-02 01:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x19aa48…
05-02 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9bac3b…
05-01 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb0fbdc…
05-01 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x35b15f…
05-01 23:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5dd6d3…
05-01 23:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3454f…
05-01 18:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa671e6…