Tight-Inscription-Woodshed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$800

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-05 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$8

Crypto

25% 75% $-1

Politics

19% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$22	16	9	+7	open	—	05-20 23:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 23:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 21:36
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	2	$19	12	12	+1	open	—	05-24 10:07
wti closes above 96 on june 3 2026	3	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	06-03 20:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	2	$18	12	11	+1	open	—	05-19 07:22
wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	3	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	06-04 18:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 23:11
wti closes above 94 on june 4 2026	3	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	06-04 12:41
nvda above 220 on june 5 2026	2	$16	11	9	+2	open	—	06-04 11:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	3	$16	13	12	+1	open	—	05-20 11:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	4	$15	17	16	+2	open	—	05-21 10:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 23:11
Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)	2	$15	18	10	+8	open	—	05-21 02:08
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	2	$15	12	9	+3	open	—	05-21 17:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-31 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-17 23:12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	3	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	06-01 08:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$14	13	9	+4	open	—	05-20 20:11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-19 21:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?	3	$13	12	12	+1	open	—	06-01 11:35
wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	2	$13	10	8	+3	open	—	06-04 14:59
will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	2	$12	10	7	+3	open	—	06-03 23:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$11	8	6	+2	open	—	05-24 10:07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?	2	$11	8	5	+3	open	—	06-01 13:13
meta above 610 on june 5 2026	2	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	06-04 07:15
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 10:28
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 21:20
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$10	12	4	+9	open	—	05-20 20:02
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$10	10	7	+3	open	—	05-21 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 03:17:15	amzn above 255 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa03977…
06-05 03:03:57	amzn above 255 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xe63830…
06-05 02:54:03	amzn above 255 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xdb0d3c…
06-04 23:09:21	amzn above 255 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xa8cd1f…
06-04 18:43:12	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xd42474…
06-04 18:40:12	msft above 420 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6c4045…
06-04 18:39:51	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x0a8250…
06-04 15:00:04	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x311a42…
06-04 14:59:46	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x7b6f72…
06-04 12:41:58	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x15b016…
06-04 12:41:42	wti closes above 94 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xa4da9c…
06-04 11:59:51	wti closes above 94 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0xf58e55…
06-04 11:40:24	wti closes above 94 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2ee874…
06-04 11:40:00	nvda above 220 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x50592c…
06-04 07:15:58	meta above 610 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2c6467…
06-04 00:31:00	will trump say soybean during wisconsin events 20260602174202015	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xfc7c7e…
06-03 23:19:54	will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x8a5d38…
06-03 22:50:01	nvda above 200 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x2a3efc…
06-03 22:49:19	nvda above 195 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xdcb1c4…
06-03 20:46:48	wti closes above 96 on june 3 2026	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb21e30…
06-03 20:08:33	wti closes above 96 on june 3 2026	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x81f48b…
06-03 20:01:43	meta above 610 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd9fbe4…
06-03 19:03:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x1be4ca…
06-03 19:03:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xedf1d1…
06-03 19:03:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xba738e…
06-03 19:01:48	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcafe57…
06-01 13:13:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x5070ce…
06-01 11:35:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x932465…
06-01 11:26:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x27defb…
06-01 11:25:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xb5358b…
06-01 08:44:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x2fcaee…
06-01 08:34:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x9767cf…
06-01 08:33:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x2552ee…
06-01 08:33:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x71ec7a…
06-01 07:21:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x2f7d15…
06-01 04:33:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x47d299…
06-01 03:17:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5d063d…
05-31 22:48:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $195?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb2359f…
05-31 21:20:33	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd3adc3…
05-31 21:19:48	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0592b6…
05-31 21:14:40	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3e7d8a…
05-31 21:13:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb9d951…
05-31 18:16:36	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x11439e…
05-31 18:16:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xf0fb53…
05-31 18:15:03	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x919ddd…
05-31 18:15:02	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x7bba59…
05-26 02:39:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x271d0b…
05-24 16:39:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xb5813d…
05-24 10:09:53	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfdf193…
05-24 10:09:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x9b8c41…
05-24 10:07:24	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xfb685f…
05-24 10:07:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xdb6874…
05-21 17:55:15	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xb0a507…
05-21 11:01:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x4d5957…
05-21 11:01:28	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x0e647c…
05-21 11:01:24	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xa5c1e5…
05-21 10:46:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x7ef890…
05-21 10:43:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0a0589…
05-21 10:40:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x99ed44…
05-21 10:04:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x813b9e…
05-21 10:04:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0xdd9937…
05-21 04:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfe6e6d…
05-21 02:08:46	Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)	Seattle Storm	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xdb5380…
05-21 01:13:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x97ec00…
05-21 00:00:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb9a3fe…
05-21 00:00:15	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x0f0075…
05-20 23:58:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7a7945…
05-20 23:33:16	Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)	Seattle Storm	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x9692ab…
05-20 20:11:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x2678ba…
05-20 20:02:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xf25fa8…
05-20 19:22:02	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x2005c3…
05-20 19:04:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x3f0863…
05-20 19:04:06	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x22e65d…
05-20 13:08:24	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x747d3e…
05-20 12:51:08	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Virtus.pro	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x35be83…
05-20 12:27:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x82a3d7…
05-20 12:02:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1590dc…
05-20 11:50:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xfe6e28…
05-20 11:31:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x0a02ff…
05-20 11:29:49	Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x6530e6…
05-20 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9cd7c3…
05-20 02:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x607fb7…
05-19 23:51:50	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5d2190…
05-19 21:36:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xda25c2…
05-19 21:19:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x26b61f…
05-19 11:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc18935…
05-19 10:48:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x7e962c…
05-19 07:22:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x70a850…
05-18 07:46:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x0489de…
05-18 07:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x42d4c9…
05-18 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x041dce…
05-18 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xbad09d…
05-18 02:17:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xae7a21…
05-18 01:49:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x69fc42…
05-18 01:44:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xc6e616…
05-18 01:14:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x6059df…
05-18 00:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x28e86b…
05-18 00:33:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xd7c337…
05-17 23:50:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd7ed36…
05-17 23:43:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	7,740	0¢	$8	0xaf0d67…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	44	$3.47M	9,381	06-06 04:48
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	42	$6.68K	807	06-05 18:12
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	40	$41.7K	788	06-05 15:03
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	40	$26.8K	7,537	06-04 20:58
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	35	$79.2K	8,300	06-05 20:24
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	34	$235.8K	3,851	06-06 04:47
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	34	$41.1K	539	06-05 15:03
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	27	$131.7K	1,615	06-04 20:49