Deadly-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

295

Trades

1,054

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-15 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	8	$1.2K	893	893	+0	Up	+$375	05-05 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$990	602	602	+0	open	—	05-15 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$945	536	536	+0	open	—	04-30 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$588	1,292	0	+1,292	Up	$-588	05-05 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	7	$577	743	204	+539	open	—	04-30 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$539	619	232	+387	Down	$-261	05-05 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$500	1,437	0	+1,437	open	—	05-15 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$485	447	223	+223	open	—	05-04 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$440	779	0	+779	Up	$-440	05-08 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$414	350	175	+175	open	—	04-30 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$400	614	0	+614	Down	+$214	05-05 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$400	444	0	+444	open	—	04-30 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$392	635	0	+635	Up	+$243	05-13 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$385	322	322	+0	open	—	05-15 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$369	483	141	+342	open	—	04-30 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$341	550	550	+0	Down	$-59	05-05 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$329	238	238	+0	open	—	05-15 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$327	526	192	+333	open	—	05-15 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$300	473	0	+473	open	—	05-04 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$284	406	406	+0	Down	$-116	05-05 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$278	782	782	+0	open	—	04-30 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$261	192	192	+0	Down	+$61	05-05 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$250	439	0	+439	open	—	04-30 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$243	153	153	+0	Up	+$43	05-05 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$200	741	0	+741	Down	+$541	05-12 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$200	341	0	+341	open	—	04-30 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$200	233	0	+233	open	—	04-30 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$199	180	180	+0	open	—	05-15 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$150	254	0	+254	open	—	04-30 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$143	372	0	+372	open	—	05-15 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	372	38¢	$143	0x26aab9…
05-15 17:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	479	21¢	$100	0x0e66c1…
05-15 17:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x369aa9…
05-15 17:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb0b7df…
05-15 17:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	380	53¢	$200	0xab3466…
05-15 17:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x9cd385…
05-15 17:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	192	66¢	$127	0x55efd0…
05-15 17:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xbc0622…
05-15 17:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	153	87¢	$134	0xcc995d…
05-15 17:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0x369fe8…
05-15 17:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	84	52¢	$44	0x458645…
05-15 17:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x119fab…
05-15 17:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	136	89¢	$121	0x8cdc3a…
05-15 17:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	136	68¢	$93	0x626e1d…
05-15 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x6425cb…
05-15 17:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x5e16cf…
05-15 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x5de8da…
05-15 17:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	90	64¢	$58	0x7fdda0…
05-15 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	90	46¢	$42	0xce5b40…
05-15 17:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	180	55¢	$100	0x2f9e6f…
05-15 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	602	98¢	$590	0x39cbd8…
05-15 16:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x2c072b…
05-15 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	295	68¢	$200	0x915e9b…
05-14 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe9e140…
05-14 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7e8a11…
05-14 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x62b39e…
05-14 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x0f6657…
05-14 10:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0ff630…
05-14 10:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xdaf31f…
05-14 09:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc1c8d3…
05-14 09:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x911e3c…
05-14 09:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xbc9d7f…
05-14 08:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2f1adc…
05-14 08:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8f3236…
05-14 06:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8287b7…
05-14 06:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1e697f…
05-14 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe66489…
05-14 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xe0bfb9…
05-14 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc4fdbf…
05-14 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xbd5f6b…
05-14 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x9002ce…
05-14 06:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe1cc91…
05-14 06:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xac684c…
05-14 06:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9d5764…
05-14 06:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x508dc9…
05-14 05:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd4bebc…
05-14 05:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x738486…
05-14 05:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2196ad…
05-14 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe0a1f6…
05-14 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x7ed801…
05-14 05:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc6fbb6…
05-14 05:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa1d089…
05-14 05:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x93ba63…
05-14 05:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x847b2c…
05-14 05:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x071ec2…
05-14 05:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xed1f7e…
05-14 05:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x7dc9fa…
05-14 05:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6fcd1f…
05-14 05:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6beb70…
05-14 05:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x32cc84…
05-14 05:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf78c48…
05-14 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdb6797…
05-14 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x91344f…
05-14 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4c0ba1…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xe5af48…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x95f2d1…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6267b4…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5dadf1…
05-14 05:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xa13c60…
05-14 03:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7abe54…
05-14 03:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0xae04fd…
05-14 03:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x903088…
05-14 03:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xb9d64c…
05-14 03:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0x6a6bfe…
05-14 02:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x9fc174…
05-14 02:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x40dac0…
05-14 02:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x40edb1…
05-14 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd57d57…
05-14 01:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc08d18…
05-14 01:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xfb8595…
05-14 01:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xf59ef4…
05-14 01:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xed4a05…
05-14 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x96a415…
05-14 01:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xac5ac4…
05-14 01:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd2dd4e…
05-14 01:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd0a973…
05-14 01:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9a47f4…
05-14 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x19d00c…
05-14 00:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9de529…
05-14 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe1f990…
05-14 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x27bc0f…
05-14 00:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xedec66…
05-14 00:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xc8e15d…
05-13 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x831446…
05-13 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7364a2…
05-13 23:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x17c94f…
05-13 22:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x52df8b…
05-13 21:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xb04374…
05-13 21:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9fddb7…
05-13 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x414375…