Glossy-Century — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.18K

Unrealized P&L

+$278

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

519

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$128.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

$3.33K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

59% 53% +$7,949

Sports

33% 49% +$2,373

Crypto

6% 41% -$487

Politics

1% 11% -$659

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,408	$1,000	97¢	$1.4K	+$371	06-15 15:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+1,261	$1,000	90¢	$1.1K	+$141	10-16 13:13
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+2,343	$250	13¢	$306	+$56	10-21 14:51
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+476	$200	32¢	$155	-$45	08-25 10:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+2,222	$200	6¢	$144	-$56	08-11 10:43
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+455	$200	26¢	$116	-$84	07-29 14:47
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+312	$200	30¢	$95	-$105	07-20 03:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$1.9K	5,022	0	+5,022	Yes	-$1,900	10-22 10:48
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$1.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	No	+$1,325	02-24 07:03
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	3	$1.2K	1,512	756	+756	Spain	+$407	06-21 08:04
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$1000	1,199	0	+1,199	No	+$199	04-01 09:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$1000	1,261	0	+1,261	open	—	10-16 13:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$1000	1,408	0	+1,408	open	—	06-15 15:50
England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	2	$900	1,591	0	+1,591	Over	+$691	09-26 12:46
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$900	1,343	0	+1,343	Como 1907	-$900	10-21 17:49
epl wes wol 2026 04 10 wes	1	$800	1,455	0	+1,455	Yes	+$655	04-10 18:54
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$800	1,224	0	+1,224	Yes	+$424	07-08 02:18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$800	1,367	0	+1,367	Yes	+$567	07-19 12:22
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	3	$800	1,148	0	+1,148	No	+$348	08-03 10:44
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$739	441	441	+0	Yes	+$139	09-09 14:03
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$706	1,657	1,657	+0	open	—	10-21 09:35
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$700	1,346	0	+1,346	Under	+$646	10-18 14:28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	1	$700	1,321	0	+1,321	No	+$621	10-14 14:00
ucl asm1 psg 2026 02 17 psg	1	$700	1,029	0	+1,029	Yes	+$329	02-17 19:30
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$700	1,014	0	+1,014	Knicks	+$314	04-28 13:36
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$700	1,029	0	+1,029	England	+$329	07-01 16:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$610	395	395	+0	Yes	+$180	07-08 02:16
epl bou sun 2026 02 28 bou	2	$600	1,130	0	+1,130	No	-$600	02-28 12:45
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$598	508	508	+0	AFC Bournemouth	-$2	08-23 13:28
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	2	$550	989	0	+989	Ghana	+$439	07-04 02:54
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	1	$500	1,163	0	+1,163	Yes	-$500	10-03 14:48
ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 spread away 1pt5	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Newcastle United FC	-$500	02-18 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	5	$500	972	0	+972	Up	+$472	10-16 12:19
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	1	$500	781	0	+781	Yes	+$281	03-01 10:14
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	1	$500	988	0	+988	Yes	+$488	09-18 17:20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?	1	$500	658	0	+658	No	+$158	09-18 17:20
atp zverev fokina 2026 10 16 set handicap home 1pt5	1	$500	1,024	0	+1,024	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	-$500	10-16 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:01:18	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x0a62b3…
10-24 16:37:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	976	41¢	$400	0x3df5be…
10-22 10:48:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,091	24¢	$500	0x5897fc…
10-21 17:49:45	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	597	67¢	$400	0x3f0ba4…
10-21 17:49:33	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0xed6c71…
10-21 14:51:06	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	893	11¢	$100	0xf7bda0…
10-21 14:50:48	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,450	10¢	$150	0x926b35…
10-21 09:35:44	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x91e3ae…
10-21 09:35:18	Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,657	12¢	$206	0xa8300e…
10-21 09:34:48	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x821c09…
10-20 15:50:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0x59ab96…
10-20 15:50:11	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x383e7c…
10-20 15:49:54	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x4cbe3c…
10-19 16:05:05	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	781	64¢	$500	0xfc54a9…
10-19 05:23:59	Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,657	30¢	$500	0x2823e2…
10-18 14:28:56	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,346	52¢	$700	0x9073fa…
10-16 13:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x208254…
10-16 13:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x139da3…
10-16 13:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x76352e…
10-16 13:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe4cb7e…
10-16 13:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xe10e5b…
10-16 13:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x2bbfbe…
10-16 13:13:16	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0x1061dc…
10-16 13:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xce8bec…
10-16 13:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xcd3a8d…
10-16 13:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x4b26ef…
10-16 13:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x5684f7…
10-16 12:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x18fe2a…
10-16 12:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2c6553…
10-16 12:49:58	atp zverev fokina 2026 10 16 set handicap home 1pt5	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1,024	49¢	$500	0x960a6d…
10-16 12:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xab9d61…
10-16 12:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xad41f3…
10-16 12:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xa89b2c…
10-16 12:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x5620f9…
10-16 12:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x923bc3…
10-16 12:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x25e775…
10-16 12:34:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xc303c2…
10-16 12:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9a1236…
10-16 12:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x9aa068…
10-16 12:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	115	54¢	$62	0x8da8d8…
10-16 12:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xe7f1b5…
10-16 12:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x794631…
10-16 12:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x010fe9…
10-16 12:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xdfccd4…
10-16 12:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	316	32¢	$100	0xcc9eb7…
10-16 12:27:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xc9ce58…
10-16 12:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xdddd03…
10-16 12:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x59b80f…
10-16 12:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0e4a31…
10-16 12:18:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xe56b84…
10-16 12:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6326d4…
10-16 12:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x9e9876…
10-16 12:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xb1af7f…
10-16 12:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xb7bd4c…
10-16 12:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x15fc1a…
10-16 12:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x71351f…
10-16 12:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x225293…
10-16 12:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xf93170…
10-16 12:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9bf94e…
10-15 14:48:01	AFC Bournemouth vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x227d4e…
10-15 14:47:41	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	BUY	726	55¢	$400	0x39487c…
10-15 14:47:26	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	1,184	17¢	$200	0xfa67d8…
10-14 18:00:55	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xd4f397…
10-14 14:00:33	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1,321	53¢	$700	0xd48f3b…
10-08 17:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x12c303…
10-08 17:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xad96ed…
10-08 17:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xd8e6b4…
10-08 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x399e88…
10-08 17:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xde9016…
10-08 17:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xe473b5…
10-08 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x29815e…
10-06 12:29:45	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0xf49b1c…
10-06 12:28:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x963982…
10-03 14:48:20	Will England win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0xff4798…
10-01 16:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf21d65…
10-01 16:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x7e6a01…
10-01 16:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	475	23¢	$108	0x501a32…
10-01 16:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	475	5¢	$25	0x75ced8…
10-01 16:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xdcee78…
10-01 16:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x631d6c…
10-01 15:56:42	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x5446d2…
09-29 14:54:56	afcq cv rwa 2026 09 29 spread home 1pt5	Rwanda	BUY	814	61¢	$500	0xf19e36…
09-29 14:54:44	afcq gha gam 2026 09 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xd58347…
09-29 14:43:53	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x5ce18a…
09-29 14:43:20	Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Croatia	BUY	732	41¢	$300	0x36c9f8…
09-29 13:58:51	Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x9f7e68…
09-28 13:13:14	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xca60af…
09-28 12:53:30	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	769	52¢	$400	0xada60f…
09-27 13:55:20	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0x4cb5a8…
09-27 10:34:59	Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xccd08d…
09-27 10:34:39	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x933901…
09-26 20:38:20	Spread: United States (-1.5)	United States	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x81d19e…
09-26 19:35:20	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x610eb5…
09-26 12:46:23	England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	714	56¢	$400	0x5ffff8…
09-26 09:52:27	England vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0xe326b6…
09-26 09:52:05	England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0xee719f…
09-25 13:13:17	Türkiye vs. France: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x41e6a5…
09-24 13:49:14	Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0x9d7015…
09-23 16:00:41	uwcl fcb pfc 2026 09 23 spread home 4pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	418	48¢	$200	0x1f7628…
09-22 15:10:33	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x954bfc…