Total-Fireplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$256

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

454

Trades

1,808

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$300

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

81% 20% -$423

Sports

19% 27% +$1,205

Politics

0% 100% +$265

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+5,000	$451	4¢	$207	-$244	10-27 20:22
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+2,500	$72	3¢	$76	+$4	10-21 03:12
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,030	$32	2¢	$16	-$16	10-04 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta anisimo pliskov 2026 02 09	4	$1.3K	1,282	1,282	+0	Pliskova	+$1,216	02-09 18:10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	37	$1.3K	5,501	0	+5,501	No	-$1,261	10-26 16:29
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-23?	13	$1.1K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1,580	10-23 20:30
uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 por1	2	$836	675	675	+0	Yes	+$513	03-12 21:42
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$675	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$175	04-19 13:38
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	3	$648	450	450	+0	Yes	+$198	03-29 20:18
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	18	$558	2,001	0	+2,001	Mbappé	-$558	10-24 02:55
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	19	$451	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-27 20:22
uel not mid1 2026 03 12 mid1	2	$423	365	365	+0	Yes	+$299	03-12 21:56
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	35	$402	4,299	2,299	+2,000	No	-$218	10-25 18:51
atp mensik sinner 2026 02 19	2	$363	330	330	+0	Mensik	+$297	02-19 21:48
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	3	$357	3,030	0	+3,030	No	-$357	10-16 00:00
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$344	960	0	+960	No	-$344	03-13 19:33
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	17	$326	650	400	+250	No	+$34	10-25 21:52
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	14	$314	2,280	0	+2,280	No	-$314	10-09 20:20
wta sasnovi eala 2026 02 04	2	$311	216	216	+0	Eala	+$121	02-04 19:20
sea pis bol 2026 03 02 bol	12	$305	835	0	+835	Yes	+$530	03-02 19:13
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$291	520	0	+520	Tampa Bay Rays	+$229	10-13 23:29
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	10	$290	800	0	+800	Yes	+$510	09-28 20:31
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	3	$285	250	250	+0	Yes	+$215	03-15 18:32
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	5	$284	1,200	0	+1,200	Rafael Jodar	+$916	05-31 12:51
atp humbert mannari 2026 02 04	2	$283	262	262	+0	Mannarino	+$241	02-04 20:43
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	3	$280	1,024	0	+1,024	No	-$280	04-04 15:45
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	5	$272	600	0	+600	Milwaukee Brewers	-$272	10-15 01:28
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	3	$264	1,572	0	+1,572	No	-$264	03-17 21:43
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$250	500	0	+500	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$250	10-06 13:47
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	6	$250	500	0	+500	Yes	+$250	10-21 20:04
wta siniako badosa 2026 02 15	3	$250	1,074	0	+1,074	Badosa	-$250	02-16 16:37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	5	$249	2,070	0	+2,070	No	-$249	04-25 12:45
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea	2	$244	2,858	0	+2,858	Karen Khachanov	-$244	05-24 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:22:36	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	2,290	4¢	$82	0x1bbbc0…
10-27 20:02:38	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	435	4¢	$16	0x05d5fb…
10-27 10:40:59	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x217830…
10-27 08:26:59	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xd67ddc…
10-27 08:26:59	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0xbdbee0…
10-27 08:26:59	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	146	33¢	$48	0x7e3dfa…
10-27 08:26:59	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	117	33¢	$39	0x213443…
10-27 08:26:59	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	206	33¢	$68	0x0fb5d5…
10-27 08:05:47	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xfe8cbe…
10-26 23:05:32	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	182	16¢	$29	0x43224f…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0xdbfb58…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	236	16¢	$38	0xc3d10c…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x9e5505…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0x8f59bc…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	278	16¢	$45	0x513d2f…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4b52ce…
10-26 23:05:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0x45880e…
10-26 23:05:11	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf2dded…
10-26 23:05:11	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xabdf90…
10-26 23:05:09	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	102	16¢	$16	0xd31b74…
10-26 23:04:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1b0576…
10-26 22:55:08	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xfd45ab…
10-26 20:04:32	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	212	13¢	$28	0xf1e9f2…
10-26 20:04:32	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xaf49ad…
10-26 20:04:32	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0x7a485a…
10-26 19:56:44	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x33f527…
10-26 19:11:24	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	124	10¢	$12	0x0ab1f7…
10-26 19:11:23	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x59bdf0…
10-26 19:11:21	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf631a0…
10-26 19:11:20	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0xdef9f5…
10-26 19:08:59	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb70bd4…
10-26 19:08:57	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x85946e…
10-26 19:05:23	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x9d9664…
10-26 19:05:23	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6a4b42…
10-26 19:05:21	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	146	10¢	$15	0xe6cc9d…
10-26 19:04:38	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xebe5cd…
10-26 18:51:45	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdcea75…
10-26 18:49:09	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x58d13f…
10-26 18:45:32	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb0f08f…
10-26 18:45:29	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe6570e…
10-26 18:45:29	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x108535…
10-26 18:45:29	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x03b1f6…
10-26 18:45:24	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe1ca21…
10-26 18:45:24	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x43e421…
10-26 18:45:23	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7955c1…
10-26 18:44:48	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x535b41…
10-26 18:41:29	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa805c7…
10-26 18:38:33	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	886	10¢	$89	0xd1ba16…
10-26 18:32:41	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0x5ea414…
10-26 18:10:06	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x79a6b4…
10-26 17:53:17	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	235	10¢	$24	0x20e759…
10-26 17:52:00	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x47a1a5…
10-26 17:50:18	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe8b28f…
10-26 17:38:50	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	134	10¢	$13	0x99081f…
10-26 16:47:41	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	153	42¢	$64	0x283fa9…
10-26 16:42:27	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x437276…
10-26 16:35:14	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	2,990	3¢	$102	0x0f7ebe…
10-26 16:29:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x1a6e01…
10-26 16:27:50	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1a088c…
10-26 16:27:47	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x215490…
10-26 12:44:20	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	61	25¢	$15	0x324643…
10-26 12:04:48	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe9aef9…
10-26 12:00:41	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	279	25¢	$70	0x7ae545…
10-26 11:48:51	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7b4c78…
10-26 11:48:41	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x5f9a9e…
10-26 11:40:51	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	203	25¢	$51	0x57eee9…
10-26 11:22:50	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xebb3fe…
10-26 11:20:14	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4b57a0…
10-26 11:20:05	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa020a2…
10-25 21:53:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xefd698…
10-25 21:53:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	651	2¢	$10	0xb3fb94…
10-25 21:53:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$2	0x705c8c…
10-25 21:53:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x9a2440…
10-25 21:53:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$2	0x8aecaa…
10-25 21:52:20	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xfcac36…
10-25 21:52:20	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	210	20¢	$42	0xd82e01…
10-25 21:51:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x668682…
10-25 21:40:56	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	45¢	$36	0xd498bc…
10-25 21:40:56	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	97	45¢	$44	0xbb27c8…
10-25 21:40:54	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x18d41d…
10-25 21:40:51	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	94	45¢	$42	0x84656b…
10-25 21:40:50	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	54	45¢	$24	0x2aef33…
10-25 21:40:48	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2cc7e9…
10-25 21:40:29	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xbb76cd…
10-25 21:40:12	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x92ce27…
10-25 21:40:06	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x044469…
10-25 21:40:03	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x61f0fc…
10-25 21:40:02	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe1c79d…
10-25 21:39:47	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x2baa20…
10-25 21:39:33	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xd0aca1…
10-25 21:13:05	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	379	24¢	$91	0xdb7142…
10-25 21:08:53	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4cd886…
10-25 18:51:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	491	16¢	$79	0xf1b451…
10-25 18:50:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xad3cc9…
10-25 18:50:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	169	16¢	$27	0x9bf6bd…
10-25 18:50:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	168	16¢	$27	0x3ba9bc…
10-25 18:50:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x8eb460…
10-25 18:50:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe7ad42…
10-25 16:22:50	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1,215	1¢	$15	0xfebd96…
10-25 16:00:17	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x12aba8…