Winding-Nonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

172

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-06 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

47% 31% -$222

Crypto

23% 69% -$54

Politics

23% 33% +$258

Sports

7% 60% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	9	$282	160	160	+0	Yes	+$6	01-17 16:43
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$282	647	230	+417	Yes	+$177	06-02 13:50
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$258	620	619	+0	Yes	+$154	06-10 20:15
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	10	$231	4,746	0	+4,746	No	-$14	01-02 13:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	2	$169	134	134	+0	Yes	+$45	03-03 11:21
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	9	$146	313	100	+213	Yes	-$20	01-15 22:38
ere nac nec 2026 01 17 draw	6	$104	60	60	+0	No	+$3	01-17 22:00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$80	600	100	+500	No	+$2	07-19 21:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$75	100	100	+0	Yes	+$42	07-17 12:34
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	5	$67	100	100	+0	Yes	+$41	03-05 21:47
will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$61	711	0	+711	No	-$61	07-19 19:59
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	1	$50	342	0	+342	No	-$50	03-31 18:21
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	1	$49	75	0	+75	Yes	+$26	03-24 11:41
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	1	$45	62	0	+62	Yes	+$17	02-27 11:29
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	3	$42	91	21	+70	No	-$1	03-06 14:20
bl2 boc svd 2026 01 18 svd	1	$38	50	0	+50	No	-$38	01-18 14:11
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$38	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$38	07-20 12:08
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	3	$32	62	45	+16	No	+$3	03-30 11:46
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$30	30	30	+0	No	$0	01-15 20:53
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	6	$30	77	5	+72	No	-$20	01-16 16:49
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	3	$30	52	38	+14	No	+$4	03-25 17:31
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	12	$27	51	21	+30	Yes	-$1	01-17 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:15 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Down	+$1	01-11 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:45 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Up	+$1	01-11 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:45 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Up	+$1	01-11 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 14:00 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Down	+$1	01-10 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:15 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Up	+$1	01-11 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 14:30 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Down	+$1	01-10 14:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 13:45 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Down	+$0	01-10 13:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:30 UTC	2	$26	0	50	-50	Down	+$0	01-11 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 15:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x574dac…
10-05 11:56:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x33131e…
09-29 19:33:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xae3bf3…
09-29 12:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x211aca…
09-23 23:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf4d42d…
09-23 23:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x62e5a6…
09-23 23:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x73bd55…
09-23 23:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0fb5d2…
09-23 23:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbbb51e…
09-23 23:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb5b5bb…
09-23 23:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x41f9a1…
09-23 23:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xec25d4…
09-23 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9a1665…
09-23 23:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x33334c…
09-23 23:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x1672a8…
09-23 22:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x52ad7d…
09-23 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x323546…
09-23 22:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3913eb…
09-23 22:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x25b33d…
09-23 22:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa93548…
09-23 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9ece81…
09-23 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4996ec…
09-23 22:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa9cb67…
09-23 22:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd9c1d6…
09-23 22:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa5bbea…
09-23 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xacb5ba…
09-23 22:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6ad8d4…
09-23 22:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8fb8c3…
09-23 22:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa4d2d2…
09-23 22:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5ad686…
09-23 22:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x02ba47…
09-23 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xc8d1fb…
09-23 21:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x53bbf6…
09-23 21:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x44f34d…
09-23 21:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xf1b6c8…
09-23 21:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa034d1…
09-23 21:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd721ab…
09-23 21:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7db549…
09-23 21:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c9b85…
09-23 21:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4c0e98…
09-23 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd207e8…
09-23 20:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x233238…
09-23 20:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xafb919…
09-23 20:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x720389…
09-23 19:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5ddae2…
09-23 19:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5cecec…
09-23 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3247a5…
09-23 19:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xda2c20…
09-23 17:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b43af…
09-23 17:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xebd914…
09-23 17:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60e12c…
09-22 15:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7937a1…
09-22 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdbf8fc…
09-22 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c6558…
09-22 15:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfb908e…
09-22 15:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x850322…
09-22 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x168be5…
09-22 14:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x002897…
09-22 14:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1271b8…
09-22 14:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x658f94…
09-22 14:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xcbac96…
09-22 13:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6323ee…
09-22 13:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb170aa…
09-22 13:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x23cdd5…
07-20 12:08:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2,500	1¢	$18	0x57d485…
07-20 11:34:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0x0eebb9…
07-19 21:43:06	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xc235b4…
07-19 19:59:21	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xc011ae…
07-19 12:27:46	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	561	9¢	$52	0xf98397…
07-18 23:00:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	770	1¢	$6	0xc7aa7a…
07-18 21:50:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	342	2¢	$8	0xaff2fb…
07-17 12:34:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xc75cb1…
07-17 12:34:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x785410…
06-15 15:58:12	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x037557…
06-15 15:52:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x376044…
06-15 15:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcbfce1…
06-15 15:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7a3f59…
06-15 15:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x748c99…
06-15 15:08:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x1eefb8…
06-15 15:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x9d8d93…
06-15 15:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x35972e…
06-14 20:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3fe372…
06-14 19:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xcb389c…
06-14 19:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x36fbad…
06-14 16:19:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa0f50d…
06-13 09:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4fae91…
06-13 09:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7abc40…
06-13 09:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9351ef…
06-13 08:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfff271…
06-12 16:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x3fb62a…
06-12 16:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6d2ed4…
06-12 15:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x86df0d…
06-11 14:26:39	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x19bc6c…
06-10 20:15:09	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0x7c7ec5…
06-10 20:14:37	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xab0702…
06-10 20:13:55	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2ab4c9…
06-10 20:13:36	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xcae6ed…
06-08 13:19:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee6258…
06-05 23:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x70731d…
06-04 19:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x67f54a…