(anonymous) 0x41e582…63415b Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$156
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
30
Trades
75
lifetime
Volume
$3.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$2.71K
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-27
last 11-04 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
79% 57% -$52
Other
20% 43% -$104
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? Yes +863 $100 96¢ $831 +$731 10-27 10:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +833 $100 97¢ $808 +$708 10-26 09:38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +636 $100 79¢ $505 +$405 10-27 03:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +225 $50 88¢ $197 +$147 10-26 11:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? Yes +128 $50 99¢ $128 +$78 10-27 10:31
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +93 $25 97¢ $89 +$64 10-28 04:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes +728 $100 6¢ $46 -$54 10-27 03:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,736 $100 2¢ $28 -$72 10-28 04:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,963 $150 1¢ $28 -$122 10-28 04:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +400 $40 6¢ $22 -$18 10-28 23:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +909 $200 1¢ $11 -$189 10-25 07:28
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +263 $10 3¢ $8 -$2 10-28 04:38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +301 $50 2¢ $5 -$45 10-26 11:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +1,002 $200 0¢ $2 -$198 10-25 07:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +272 $50 0¢ $0 -$50 11-02 07:06