Decisive-Misrepresentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$174

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-09 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 64% $-0

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$3	12	8	+3	open	—	05-15 20:22
Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-31 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	05-14 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 22:11
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	06-06 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$2	3	1	+2	open	—	05-14 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	open	—	05-14 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	open	—	05-14 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 22:04
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-07 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-11 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 00:01
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-07 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 19:56
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 16:32
Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-03 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:31:01	fif arg isl 2026 06 09 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x73d879…
06-09 05:25:16	fif fij van 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7c76af…
06-08 20:29:01	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xea59d5…
06-08 15:52:21	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9ae743…
06-08 15:51:58	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc677e1…
06-07 17:14:30	Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)	Kosovo	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x2999b4…
06-07 15:44:37	Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)	Kosovo	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd5b309…
06-07 14:18:33	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Cyprus	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x29825e…
06-07 11:33:46	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Cyprus	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xced29f…
06-06 18:31:12	fif pan bih 2026 06 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1f619d…
06-06 13:35:51	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Belgium	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf20986…
06-06 13:35:10	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Tunisia	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x2d8221…
06-06 11:53:10	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Tunisia	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7a7d43…
06-05 17:45:52	fif rus bur 2026 06 05 spread home 2pt5	Russia	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfe6d15…
06-05 13:09:54	Spread: China PR (-2.5)	China PR	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x0d5383…
06-05 11:50:33	Spread: China PR (-2.5)	China PR	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8c50c8…
06-04 21:18:49	Spread: Czechia (-1.5)	Czechia	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdc9590…
06-04 21:18:03	Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	Serbia	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1af12e…
06-04 14:14:10	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 spread home 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd46689…
06-03 15:36:46	Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)	Gibraltar	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b10ac…
06-03 11:36:01	Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4c3ef7…
06-02 23:01:32	Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe14099…
06-02 13:58:52	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4456b1…
06-02 11:30:26	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9b2ca3…
06-01 13:32:48	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x34824d…
05-31 12:10:13	Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xf2d293…
05-29 23:24:22	Brazil vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb40df2…
05-29 23:14:29	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5d5e9e…
05-15 20:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xf85dca…
05-15 20:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2ec05d…
05-15 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x4bf30e…
05-15 20:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab8fe5…
05-15 20:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xef20e3…
05-15 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x45d062…
05-15 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xb25f67…
05-15 20:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd8239f…
05-15 20:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc84d2b…
05-15 20:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x309772…
05-15 20:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe1bd43…
05-15 20:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x78da4b…
05-15 20:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaae515…
05-15 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe01eb2…
05-15 20:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x06d3b1…
05-15 19:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xddd52e…
05-15 19:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x27b14d…
05-15 19:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xca0a66…
05-15 19:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ade16…
05-15 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x25d137…
05-15 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2192be…
05-15 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfd6a60…
05-15 18:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x71a67d…
05-15 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xee34b2…
05-14 23:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xc49deb…
05-14 23:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x15b53a…
05-14 23:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xef03fa…
05-14 23:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa35221…
05-14 23:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x776df5…
05-14 23:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa52d62…
05-14 23:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x2805f8…
05-14 23:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb1c9a4…
05-14 23:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xf5975d…
05-14 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7f1a05…
05-14 23:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x66ccd3…
05-14 23:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xd5c3f0…
05-14 23:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc0a491…
05-14 23:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1d2d91…
05-14 22:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x917a14…
05-14 22:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3f3db0…
05-14 21:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x460577…
05-14 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x86f023…
05-14 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xf5135b…
05-14 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa7dc11…
05-14 21:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdc15f7…
05-14 21:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0c4fa8…
05-14 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xad45d1…
05-14 21:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x21bdeb…
05-14 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc9e040…
05-14 20:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdc43ac…
05-14 20:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x07a5d2…
05-14 20:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x76108e…
05-14 20:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7f67c3…
05-14 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76417f…
05-14 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x9906e5…
05-14 20:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5201d6…
05-14 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfade00…
05-14 19:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xba270e…
05-14 19:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xfbc9c9…
05-14 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa1635b…
05-14 17:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x829251…
05-14 17:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4d1f72…
05-14 17:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x45b69d…
05-14 17:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6a1d20…
05-14 17:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x194aa5…
05-14 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xfef8a1…
05-14 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d5c08…
05-14 16:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x95f0c4…
05-14 16:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x13b3f0…
05-13 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x20e82b…
05-13 01:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6964e7…
05-13 00:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x360adc…