Winged-Merit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$371

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

121

Trades

860

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 09-30 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 45% +$373

Other

10% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:10 UTC	11	$630	619	618	+1	Down	+$595	04-18 22:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$398	211	211	-0	No	-$2	05-03 19:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	9	$189	90	134	-44	Yes	-$15	05-04 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 21:15 UTC	33	$117	125	102	+23	Down	-$14	04-22 21:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:05 UTC	44	$112	147	132	+15	Up	-$3	04-19 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:45 UTC	39	$111	133	114	+19	Down	+$10	04-19 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:20 UTC	44	$88	137	54	+84	Up	-$30	04-19 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:40 UTC	22	$78	70	66	+4	Down	+$48	04-19 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:30 UTC	21	$67	82	51	+31	Up	+$8	04-19 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:40 UTC	23	$58	83	63	+20	Down	-$6	04-19 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$57	76	76	+0	Up	+$43	05-17 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:25 UTC	7	$57	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	04-19 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:35 UTC	31	$56	130	115	+15	Down	-$11	04-19 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:20 UTC	8	$54	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	04-19 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:10 UTC	20	$49	67	52	+15	Down	+$5	04-21 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:05 UTC	6	$48	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	04-19 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:40 UTC	8	$45	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	04-19 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:10 UTC	25	$44	225	174	+50	Down	-$21	04-19 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:45 UTC	12	$41	63	39	+25	Up	+$5	04-19 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$40	36	36	+0	Up	+$6	05-17 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$39	93	33	+60	Down	+$13	05-17 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:55 UTC	10	$37	30	29	+1	Down	+$19	04-19 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 20:25 UTC	7	$37	30	15	+15	Up	-$7	04-19 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	2	$35	26	26	+0	Down	+$16	09-30 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:00 UTC	12	$33	35	25	+10	Down	+$14	04-21 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:15 UTC	16	$32	60	7	+53	Up	-$22	04-21 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$32	25	25	+0	Up	+$16	05-17 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$31	23	23	+0	Up	+$13	05-17 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$31	74	24	+50	Down	+$11	05-17 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:55 UTC	2	$30	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	04-18 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 00:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	63	23¢	$14	0x6d3efc…
09-30 00:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xfca8bd…
09-30 00:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0992a8…
09-30 00:46:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd34e51…
09-30 00:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x862e14…
09-30 00:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xed6d4e…
09-30 00:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xe4304e…
09-30 00:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xaa253e…
09-30 00:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x24e19d…
09-30 00:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xe04825…
05-18 23:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	81	35¢	$28	0xf61ead…
05-18 23:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd23f7…
05-18 23:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x994b88…
05-18 23:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x055af2…
05-18 23:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5cc6bb…
05-18 23:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x19d35e…
05-18 23:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xfd30d0…
05-17 22:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa73d2f…
05-17 22:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x51a5ac…
05-17 22:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x140459…
05-17 22:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x314088…
05-17 22:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x69faa7…
05-17 22:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfbafec…
05-17 22:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x4780a0…
05-17 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd0746e…
05-17 22:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb74b69…
05-17 22:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x277a37…
05-17 22:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xd2277a…
05-17 22:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcc89e0…
05-17 22:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x4ad892…
05-17 22:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xad3ffb…
05-17 22:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf31b35…
05-17 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc419fe…
05-17 22:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa47c2e…
05-17 22:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x74b38d…
05-17 22:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9314dc…
05-17 22:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xadf8b6…
05-17 22:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x88862d…
05-17 22:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x95fd8b…
05-17 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x161c9d…
05-17 22:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd2d81e…
05-17 22:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2be08d…
05-17 22:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbf719b…
05-17 22:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe33dad…
05-17 22:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x25fe62…
05-17 22:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x55762e…
05-17 22:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0x68299b…
05-17 22:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x23fb56…
05-17 22:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4c0b1c…
05-17 22:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa26877…
05-17 22:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7378e5…
05-17 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa0acbe…
05-17 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc55941…
05-17 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfec983…
05-17 21:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x1a0648…
05-17 21:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6f4bfe…
05-17 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf38bc5…
05-17 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xea835c…
05-17 21:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xc0736e…
05-17 21:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe63a65…
05-17 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x65e9b4…
05-17 21:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2e10a7…
05-17 21:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	93¢	$24	0x3d42f3…
05-17 21:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4a199b…
05-17 21:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaf15ba…
05-17 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xe1db0f…
05-17 21:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xef6a68…
05-17 21:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x2231da…
05-17 21:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	67	64¢	$43	0x2c20f7…
05-17 21:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xbeeac7…
05-17 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x96255b…
05-17 21:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x17ebae…
05-04 11:44:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x46a05d…
05-04 11:43:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x1e2c75…
05-04 11:43:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xc45e1a…
05-04 11:43:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	229	6¢	$14	0xfddb1a…
05-04 11:43:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	SELL	111	14¢	$15	0x03e568…
05-04 11:43:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xb1417e…
05-04 11:43:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	134	82¢	$109	0x9ea8b7…
05-04 03:19:12	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x47ed8b…
05-04 03:06:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf156f7…
05-04 03:01:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xa25356…
05-04 03:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xdfeb5e…
05-04 03:00:04	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0eba0f…
05-04 02:58:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe98f8e…
05-04 02:57:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5638dd…
05-04 02:56:04	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x9d1acc…
05-04 02:52:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x054af3…
05-04 02:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaee617…
05-04 02:44:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x587edc…
05-04 02:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xadd205…
05-04 02:25:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x305054…
05-04 02:23:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x658708…
05-04 02:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x528596…
05-04 02:08:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbd3ccb…
05-04 02:02:32	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x31ffa3…
05-04 02:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x398711…
05-04 01:33:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xba266c…
05-04 01:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa296e3…
05-04 01:30:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd45490…