Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$172

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

455

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$148

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-24 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 45% +$417

Other

29% 28% -$67

Politics

23% 31% -$171

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	-110	-$104	95¢	$-104	+$0	09-24 15:24
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	-54	-$38	81¢	$-44	-$6	09-24 15:39
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	+$0	09-24 15:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$1.7K	1,956	1,956	+0	No	+$39	03-11 12:39
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	19	$1.5K	1,520	1,520	+0	No	-$15	02-04 21:23
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	17	$1.3K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$148	03-06 11:12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	9	$857	853	853	+0	Yes	-$33	02-28 15:04
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	14	$836	845	842	+3	Yes	-$31	02-19 00:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$760	829	826	+2	Yes	-$16	02-28 17:02
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	10	$646	642	498	+144	Yes	-$62	02-24 08:45
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	15	$639	629	629	+0	No	+$10	02-04 11:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$613	705	705	+0	Yes	+$21	02-26 09:10
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$610	628	621	+7	Yes	+$279	02-28 08:19
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	10	$499	660	657	+3	No	-$22	03-08 18:34
tsla above 430 on january 30 2026	14	$451	261	517	-256	Yes	-$112	01-30 02:41
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	2	$451	0	457	-457	No	-$6	09-24 15:24
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$445	761	761	+0	Yes	+$15	02-24 05:50
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	13	$439	370	370	+0	Yes	+$44	01-23 14:58
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	7	$421	451	451	+0	Yes	+$12	01-27 09:00
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	7	$408	362	360	+1	No	-$22	02-04 16:30
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	3	$399	280	280	+0	Yes	-$10	01-30 15:09
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	2	$390	231	231	+0	No	+$68	02-02 12:33
msft above 465 on january 30 2026	5	$372	440	397	+43	No	+$29	01-26 15:11
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	16	$360	635	635	+0	No	+$103	01-29 06:29
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	8	$341	322	236	+86	Yes	-$75	03-04 16:55
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	9	$332	275	275	+0	No	+$82	01-29 15:29
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$302	191	191	+0	No	+$7	02-13 02:04
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	3	$301	175	175	+0	No	+$38	02-27 18:51
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$284	170	169	+1	No	+$35	02-05 12:47
will solana dip to 120 in january 2026	3	$275	485	214	+270	Yes	-$78	01-25 16:20
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$257	489	489	+0	No	-$26	02-08 02:22
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$247	264	261	+3	No	+$5	01-29 20:11
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$239	237	237	+0	Yes	+$5	01-29 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 15:39:50	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	54	70¢	$38	0xb1d16a…
09-24 15:27:18	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x8e8395…
09-24 15:25:27	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdc2800…
09-24 15:25:11	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x772138…
09-24 15:24:47	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	377	100¢	$376	0x87a6aa…
09-24 15:24:29	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xb0882c…
09-24 15:15:42	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1c8c86…
08-11 05:52:24	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	80	93¢	$75	0x2b3fb0…
06-15 13:22:30	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x1e58ab…
06-15 13:22:12	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x329960…
05-20 13:26:50	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x7131d8…
05-20 13:26:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x87eb9a…
03-29 03:02:56	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	422	0¢	$1	0xdc51fe…
03-17 07:37:07	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x103588…
03-17 07:36:45	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xa33e05…
03-17 06:26:45	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xf82a03…
03-17 06:25:47	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x0ad173…
03-17 04:58:11	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xe745c1…
03-16 08:40:47	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x9f67b0…
03-11 12:39:31	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	536	51¢	$273	0xb5975f…
03-08 18:34:07	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	68	9¢	$6	0x774444…
03-06 11:12:41	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x34ed37…
03-06 10:09:19	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xb081a4…
03-06 08:13:59	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	74	23¢	$17	0x7342ff…
03-04 16:55:29	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x7d954a…
03-03 04:42:11	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	97	68¢	$66	0x8463d0…
03-02 16:50:05	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0xf4c901…
02-28 20:50:15	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	30¢	$17	0xd78b8d…
02-28 17:02:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	257	22¢	$57	0x29a28f…
02-28 17:02:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	259	23¢	$59	0x6019ff…
02-28 15:04:05	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x08c2c8…
02-28 11:31:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0xed006d…
02-28 11:15:25	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x30c1ab…
02-28 10:30:11	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0x6433a8…
02-28 08:57:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	292	46¢	$135	0x1d2628…
02-28 08:19:15	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	267	94¢	$252	0x612992…
02-28 08:17:43	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb0f287…
02-28 08:00:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	58	44¢	$26	0xba1630…
02-28 07:56:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	305	50¢	$152	0x58c873…
02-28 07:40:31	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	81	9¢	$8	0xc3f27e…
02-28 06:53:41	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0xe015ec…
02-28 01:42:25	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x5e1245…
02-27 21:44:01	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0x4eb414…
02-27 18:51:59	Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x0499c4…
02-27 14:50:11	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	585	57¢	$333	0xcb1086…
02-27 05:00:56	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xa69dba…
02-26 23:35:32	Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x1d4325…
02-26 09:10:50	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	692	45¢	$312	0x9d5fbc…
02-25 08:29:34	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0x471ecd…
02-24 16:20:32	Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	88¢	$96	0x8346fd…
02-24 15:33:00	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0xf2e2b0…
02-24 14:19:04	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	129	36¢	$47	0x0bf805…
02-24 08:45:54	israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	No	BUY	141	36¢	$51	0x622868…
02-24 05:50:20	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$0	0x953a2d…
02-24 04:08:50	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	461	11¢	$51	0x1d09c3…
02-23 17:51:04	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	294	58¢	$170	0x065c99…
02-22 17:54:48	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xd96dea…
02-22 14:18:10	meta above 660 on february 27 2026	No	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0x34537e…
02-22 09:38:40	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	213	1¢	$2	0x45aae0…
02-21 23:28:20	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0xfc61ac…
02-21 23:25:28	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	705	42¢	$296	0xa78a24…
02-21 20:00:08	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	595	62¢	$369	0xa629a9…
02-21 05:43:50	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x7bd0b8…
02-21 03:09:06	meta above 680 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x70617a…
02-20 18:26:44	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$2	0x2d4cd2…
02-20 14:10:32	meta above 660 on february 27 2026	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xc6c622…
02-19 15:17:34	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	536	45¢	$242	0x48ac76…
02-19 01:33:38	Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x837883…
02-19 00:40:50	israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	Yes	SELL	79	61¢	$48	0x1b6227…
02-19 00:38:44	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	SELL	374	51¢	$192	0x7fbc95…
02-19 00:29:38	Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9280ff…
02-18 21:55:28	israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	Yes	SELL	238	62¢	$146	0x7f2986…
02-18 09:34:56	meta above 660 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x914863…
02-18 01:58:19	meta above 660 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xdb7455…
02-17 22:56:03	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	573	26¢	$149	0xd32118…
02-17 20:12:07	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	422	3¢	$12	0x572a09…
02-16 22:41:51	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0xce6821…
02-15 21:34:05	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf91fd2…
02-15 08:28:51	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	218	69¢	$150	0x07ec3f…
02-14 16:19:19	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0xe69100…
02-14 16:15:37	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x4759c6…
02-14 15:42:13	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	213	4¢	$8	0x577ba6…
02-14 14:53:23	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0xebe31f…
02-14 11:11:47	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	No	BUY	73	21¢	$16	0x6efad5…
02-14 07:00:27	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	24¢	$13	0x92c512…
02-14 06:47:01	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	465	10¢	$47	0x980365…
02-14 02:07:03	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$5	0x36d87f…
02-13 02:21:13	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	418	2¢	$6	0x16e146…
02-13 02:13:45	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	366	4¢	$15	0x29c9ce…
02-13 02:08:29	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0x6bc3d2…
02-13 02:04:23	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	191	81¢	$154	0xffd9f3…
02-12 01:59:49	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$4	0xa1bdb3…
02-11 17:40:07	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x230fe0…
02-11 15:12:43	Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0x7a8ab0…
02-11 04:17:27	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xeea52e…
02-10 06:42:19	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	345	83¢	$287	0xbb7d7e…
02-08 05:31:09	Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0xee6f31…
02-08 02:22:11	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	174	20¢	$35	0xa2d6c3…
02-07 15:41:45	Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x9f561d…
02-07 04:30:27	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	113	22¢	$25	0x40d950…