Descriptive-Narrative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$262

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

4,000

Trades

7,613

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-30 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% -$242

Other

1% 68% -$22

Sports

0% 20% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$107	71	71	+0	Down	+$7	07-21 13:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:10 UTC	8	$102	59	59	+0	Up	+$10	07-21 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 11:30 UTC	7	$71	63	63	+0	Down	-$26	07-14 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:00 UTC	9	$67	47	47	+0	Down	-$3	07-13 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	6	$64	47	47	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	2	$62	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	05-21 12:04
XRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$56	37	37	+0	Up	+$4	07-21 08:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:20 UTC	6	$55	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	07-21 07:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:45 UTC	8	$55	71	20	+51	Up	-$1	07-21 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$54	31	31	+0	Up	+$7	07-21 13:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:30 UTC	4	$51	32	26	+7	Up	$0	07-21 07:33
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:40 UTC	5	$50	61	0	+61	Down	-$7	07-21 07:43
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	6	$50	73	0	+73	Up	-$6	07-21 08:03
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:35 UTC	4	$50	75	0	+75	Down	-$2	07-21 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:20 UTC	11	$46	31	31	+0	Down	$0	07-13 14:24
XRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$45	37	23	+15	Up	$0	07-21 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:45 UTC	9	$43	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	07-14 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:30 UTC	3	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	09-27 16:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:45 UTC	5	$40	23	23	+0	Up	+$6	07-21 07:50
XRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	9	$40	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	07-21 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	6	$37	55	0	+55	Up	-$3	05-21 08:56
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	6	$34	39	8	+31	Down	-$19	07-21 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:40 UTC	6	$34	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	07-13 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:05 UTC	4	$32	20	20	+0	Up	$0	07-14 11:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:35 UTC	4	$32	50	0	+50	Up	-$32	07-21 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	2	$32	36	0	+36	Down	+$1	05-21 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 13:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:50 UTC	5	$32	49	0	+49	Down	-$19	07-21 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 11:15 UTC	11	$31	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	06-25 11:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	5	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	06-26 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x528231…
10-30 14:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xe05b8f…
10-30 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0ba13f…
10-30 13:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5ef5c2…
10-30 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc6070…
10-30 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x732b28…
10-30 13:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2fe438…
10-30 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x00df8d…
10-30 12:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac9ca9…
10-30 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x851a3c…
10-30 12:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x2f0168…
10-30 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x39f520…
10-29 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7df128…
10-28 18:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xaf6b46…
10-28 17:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xaf120e…
10-28 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x5faab7…
10-28 17:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x31b584…
10-28 17:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x61bc46…
10-28 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xaa4916…
10-28 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xde4c79…
10-28 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0f67eb…
10-28 15:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfea4c3…
10-28 15:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd15240…
10-28 15:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0x7f9583…
10-28 15:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc06ba…
10-28 14:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x858b72…
10-28 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf9c84b…
10-28 14:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x0e6adc…
10-28 14:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0ffa22…
10-28 14:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x351621…
10-28 14:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x98e10f…
10-28 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x436bde…
10-28 14:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6300ce…
10-28 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xc760fd…
10-28 14:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x797596…
10-28 13:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9631e…
10-28 13:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9c9810…
10-28 13:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x22c362…
10-28 13:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd17c7c…
10-28 13:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xeb15c5…
10-28 13:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2414bc…
10-28 12:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd1c8b3…
10-28 12:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2a7feb…
10-28 12:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0c386…
10-28 12:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x397838…
10-28 11:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x699b1d…
10-28 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd4b7a7…
10-28 11:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x22e97d…
10-28 11:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xfec3a7…
10-28 11:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xab5291…
10-28 11:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5fddae…
10-28 11:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xf858c0…
10-28 11:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfc40ce…
10-28 11:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x083871…
10-28 10:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x9ed1ee…
10-28 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa6efc8…
10-28 10:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x12180b…
10-28 10:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf4e4d0…
10-28 10:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7bd434…
10-28 10:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa06454…
10-28 10:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x2c3d67…
10-28 10:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x67fcac…
10-28 09:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x29d81b…
10-28 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x8131aa…
10-26 15:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x0ac035…
10-26 15:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x795973…
10-26 15:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x03657f…
10-26 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x57ee57…
10-26 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xba1be3…
10-26 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xde432e…
10-26 14:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x24abb9…
10-26 14:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc83afe…
10-26 14:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe95409…
10-26 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x9669e4…
10-26 14:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1b3dd8…
10-26 14:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xc7b2de…
10-26 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2890e2…
10-26 13:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xec4143…
10-26 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x378b24…
10-26 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x230da2…
10-26 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7abb47…
10-26 13:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x883a56…
10-26 13:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x38eb81…
10-26 13:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xcb48ed…
10-26 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4a6754…
10-26 11:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x242c52…
10-26 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x923c18…
10-26 09:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xfc1ca6…
10-26 09:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x7f6020…
10-26 08:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x712719…
10-26 08:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5545e2…
10-25 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa0ad23…
10-25 17:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1e1714…
10-25 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x019a3d…
10-25 16:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x184ccb…
10-25 16:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd1afbf…
10-25 16:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe4692d…
10-25 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6abe5e…
10-25 14:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5509e9…
10-25 14:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x23f727…