Third-Lout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-11 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 69% +$42

Other

31% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$325	190	188	+2	open	—	04-18 02:25
btc updown 4h 1775491200	3	$311	248	242	+6	open	—	04-06 18:56
highest temperature in warsaw on april 13 2026 14c	2	$245	148	145	+2	open	—	04-13 17:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	4	$241	203	203	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 09:09
btc updown 5m 1775446800	2	$235	139	137	+3	open	—	04-06 03:45
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	4	$224	125	123	+2	open	—	04-05 17:56
btc updown 4h 1775433600	2	$208	110	109	+1	open	—	04-06 04:00
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	2	$198	116	116	+1	open	—	04-08 01:35
highest temperature in warsaw on april 22 2026 16c	10	$164	100	99	+1	open	—	04-22 17:32
btc updown 5m 1775452500	2	$149	189	183	+6	open	—	04-06 05:19
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	2	$112	100	98	+2	open	—	04-21 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?	2	$93	104	101	+3	open	—	04-25 11:27
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	4	$77	48	48	+0	open	—	04-24 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	2	$76	49	48	+1	open	—	04-27 17:45
highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 17c	4	$68	50	49	+1	open	—	04-23 15:57
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	2	$67	90	0	+90	open	—	04-17 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	2	$63	90	87	+3	open	—	04-26 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	1	$37	90	0	+90	open	—	04-27 14:58
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	11	$27	30	24	+6	open	—	04-17 06:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 04:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	6	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	05-10 23:59
btc updown 5m 1774565400	2	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	03-26 22:54
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	7	$18	21	18	+3	open	—	04-02 19:20
btc updown 5m 1774568700	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 23:50
btc updown 5m 1774571400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 26?	3	$12	15	10	+5	open	—	04-26 10:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$12	108	8	+100	open	—	05-01 17:53
btc updown 5m 1774569300	2	$11	16	15	+0	open	—	03-26 23:57
btc updown 5m 1774565700	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	03-26 22:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	Up	$-10	05-10 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:01:58	xrp updown 4h 1781179200	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x657c0c…
06-11 08:02:07	xrp updown 4h 1781164800	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc6bac9…
06-10 20:01:22	xrp updown 4h 1781121600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcfb866…
06-10 16:13:34	xrp updown 4h 1781107200	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbf8333…
06-09 08:03:48	xrp updown 4h 1780992000	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x08046f…
06-09 08:02:01	xrp updown 4h 1780992000	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2b49dc…
06-09 08:00:49	xrp updown 4h 1780992000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd1d6c…
06-06 11:59:22	xrp updown 4h 1780747200	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x502e85…
06-05 07:58:57	xrp updown 4h 1780646400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1c4085…
06-05 07:58:19	eth updown 4h 1780646400	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x16c184…
06-05 07:57:54	eth updown 4h 1780646400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x587b08…
06-05 04:03:16	xrp updown 4h 1780632000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x29382e…
06-04 23:58:43	xrp updown 4h 1780617600	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xae2dfc…
06-04 16:03:39	xrp updown 4h 1780588800	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x55d165…
06-04 11:57:54	xrp updown 4h 1780574400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4a555f…
06-04 11:57:51	xrp updown 4h 1780574400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a7e37…
06-04 08:34:57	xrp updown 4h 1780560000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x164439…
06-04 08:34:52	xrp updown 4h 1780560000	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x7c6891…
06-04 08:34:00	xrp updown 4h 1780560000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa516fc…
06-04 08:32:12	xrp updown 4h 1780560000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf00257…
06-04 04:10:43	xrp updown 4h 1780545600	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9a1d7…
06-02 11:58:50	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc7ce22…
06-01 20:26:53	xrp updown 4h 1780344000	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa8cf4e…
06-01 15:44:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3ada87…
06-01 12:11:10	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x89d5af…
06-01 12:00:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfdef3e…
06-01 11:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6e61e2…
06-01 11:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8ad7ad…
06-01 07:57:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x172372…
06-01 00:12:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0ad4ca…
05-31 21:14:07	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xdbe472…
05-31 21:11:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd14fe8…
05-31 20:54:34	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9bbf02…
05-31 20:48:35	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xd77c92…
05-31 20:44:44	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2242e1…
05-31 19:56:30	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71463c…
05-31 13:43:13	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x471af6…
05-31 07:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfb41cd…
05-30 20:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x069a0b…
05-30 01:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbe5610…
05-28 19:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5bdee4…
05-28 19:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x31ef49…
05-26 16:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x87411f…
05-26 16:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x97b479…
05-26 16:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x79fe68…
05-26 16:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa46056…
05-26 13:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8e09be…
05-26 13:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc31724…
05-26 08:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x076e6f…
05-26 08:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x043671…
05-26 08:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3d810d…
05-26 08:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x273411…
05-26 08:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xee08c4…
05-26 08:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0b47cd…
05-26 00:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e57ed…
05-26 00:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32fb21…
05-25 20:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1df72f…
05-25 16:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x97db1c…
05-25 16:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x93175f…
05-25 16:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x07dc01…
05-25 16:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x0fe64c…
05-25 16:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3de984…
05-25 16:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x91412a…
05-25 12:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xee8495…
05-25 12:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f0d1c…
05-25 12:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8319ed…
05-25 12:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xde904d…
05-25 07:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf2196f…
05-25 07:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e50d2…
05-25 07:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a1409…
05-25 00:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8e0710…
05-25 00:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9c2489…
05-24 20:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa74545…
05-24 20:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x31a45c…
05-24 20:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x0be7a9…
05-24 20:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7e5a88…
05-24 20:08:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xe24369…
05-24 20:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x977c06…
05-24 20:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x4d56b5…
05-24 20:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x769ccb…
05-24 12:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f919f…
05-24 08:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc51398…
05-24 08:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x4fdcfd…
05-24 08:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdb44f8…
05-24 08:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x59d6ff…
05-24 04:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf4ea18…
05-23 15:41:21	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8450c5…
05-23 12:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3ffe16…
05-23 11:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc62c4e…
05-23 11:25:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x90a56d…
05-23 08:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x70449b…
05-23 08:23:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe994c7…
05-23 08:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4072c3…
05-23 07:47:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d445c…
05-23 07:46:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa3dd79…
05-23 07:45:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbeac89…
05-23 07:45:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe79d5a…
05-23 07:36:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2fe50f…
05-23 07:36:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbb430b…
05-23 07:35:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xd0d53d…