Third-Lout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

646

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-01 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 69% +$42

Other

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$325	190	188	+2	open	—	04-18 02:25
btc updown 4h 1775491200	3	$311	248	242	+6	open	—	04-06 18:56
highest temperature in warsaw on april 13 2026 14c	2	$245	148	145	+2	open	—	04-13 17:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	4	$241	203	203	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 09:09
btc updown 5m 1775446800	2	$235	139	137	+3	open	—	04-06 03:45
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	4	$224	125	123	+2	open	—	04-05 17:56
btc updown 4h 1775433600	2	$208	110	109	+1	open	—	04-06 04:00
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	2	$198	116	116	+1	open	—	04-08 01:35
highest temperature in warsaw on april 22 2026 16c	10	$164	100	99	+1	open	—	04-22 17:32
btc updown 5m 1775452500	2	$149	189	183	+6	open	—	04-06 05:19
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	2	$112	100	98	+2	open	—	04-21 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?	2	$93	104	101	+3	open	—	04-25 11:27
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	4	$77	48	48	+0	open	—	04-24 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	2	$76	49	48	+1	open	—	04-27 17:45
highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 17c	4	$68	50	49	+1	open	—	04-23 15:57
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	2	$67	90	0	+90	open	—	04-17 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	2	$63	90	87	+3	open	—	04-26 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	1	$37	90	0	+90	open	—	04-27 14:58
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	11	$27	30	24	+6	open	—	04-17 06:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 04:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	6	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	05-10 23:59
btc updown 5m 1774565400	2	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	03-26 22:54
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	7	$18	21	18	+3	open	—	04-02 19:20
btc updown 5m 1774568700	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 23:50
btc updown 5m 1774571400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-27 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 26?	3	$12	15	10	+5	open	—	04-26 10:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$12	108	8	+100	open	—	05-01 17:53
btc updown 5m 1774569300	2	$11	16	15	+0	open	—	03-26 23:57
btc updown 5m 1774565700	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	03-26 22:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	Up	$-10	05-10 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:24:05	eth updown 4h 1782921600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x946b09…
07-01 01:05:34	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x428e0e…
07-01 01:03:53	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x162976…
06-30 07:49:37	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 30	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3b37ce…
06-29 21:05:35	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xd00927…
06-29 20:56:20	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x17470c…
06-29 12:23:56	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x447df3…
06-29 12:11:11	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x336b1e…
06-28 13:57:19	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce0b46…
06-28 13:57:17	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0b2974…
06-28 13:41:29	btc updown 5m 1782654000	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x95c18e…
06-28 13:40:25	btc updown 5m 1782654000	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x218b31…
06-28 13:36:53	btc updown 5m 1782653700	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdd0abe…
06-28 10:29:20	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x5c9a31…
06-28 10:25:23	eth updown 5m 1782642300	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x21c549…
06-28 10:25:01	eth updown 5m 1782642300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x680ec9…
06-28 09:59:59	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1a97c1…
06-28 05:15:53	eth updown 5m 1782623700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1bdee4…
06-28 05:11:47	eth updown 5m 1782623400	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xbf43a5…
06-28 05:09:41	eth updown 5m 1782623400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2fe19e…
06-28 05:02:20	eth updown 5m 1782622800	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x0aebf5…
06-28 05:01:31	eth updown 5m 1782622800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2aef7e…
06-28 05:01:17	eth updown 5m 1782622800	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x69bb32…
06-28 04:58:44	eth updown 5m 1782622800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x09aa43…
06-28 04:58:38	eth updown 5m 1782622800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08c74a…
06-28 04:49:37	eth updown 5m 1782622200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x105502…
06-28 04:42:05	eth updown 5m 1782621600	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x9d5909…
06-28 04:39:34	eth updown 5m 1782621600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23d65a…
06-28 04:31:14	eth updown 5m 1782621000	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x9b85fe…
06-28 04:30:16	eth updown 5m 1782621300	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xed199b…
06-28 04:30:04	eth updown 5m 1782621300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf60116…
06-28 04:29:43	eth updown 5m 1782621000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc876e9…
06-28 04:29:08	eth updown 5m 1782620700	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x81334a…
06-28 04:27:02	eth updown 5m 1782620700	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x14637b…
06-28 04:21:40	will ethereum reach 1600 on june 28	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3eb94e…
06-28 04:07:19	ethereum above 1490 on june 28 2026 1am et	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x047b9e…
06-27 21:03:38	ethereum up or down june 27 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5b71df…
06-27 20:03:02	ethereum up or down june 27 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4b627d…
06-27 18:59:35	ethereum up or down june 27 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9abcb…
06-27 17:55:28	ethereum up or down june 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x27950a…
06-26 21:57:22	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x233504…
06-26 21:42:29	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x9b19f0…
06-26 20:59:35	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3e63dc…
06-26 19:56:50	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x447a1e…
06-26 18:59:35	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa24d3a…
06-26 18:02:43	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1fd7c6…
06-26 17:10:43	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xce9780…
06-26 15:59:17	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6b3c63…
06-26 12:31:35	will ethereum reach 1600 on june 26	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xde11c0…
06-25 13:45:43	eth updown 5m 1782395100	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xd3e029…
06-25 13:44:43	eth updown 5m 1782395100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x416eb0…
06-24 09:10:43	eth updown 5m 1782292200	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x5eb0fa…
06-24 09:10:22	eth updown 5m 1782292200	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd0391b…
06-24 09:08:14	eth updown 5m 1782291900	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1b88c2…
06-24 09:05:41	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x79731f…
06-24 09:01:29	eth updown 5m 1782291600	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x81d148…
06-24 09:00:41	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x85d0f2…
06-24 08:59:40	eth updown 5m 1782291600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7ea4e…
06-24 08:58:22	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb09e7d…
06-24 08:41:46	eth updown 5m 1782290400	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x6dc4ae…
06-24 08:40:59	eth updown 5m 1782290400	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x687c6a…
06-24 08:07:46	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2508d4…
06-24 08:01:07	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 24	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf80a0b…
06-23 07:49:40	eth updown 4h 1782201600	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa7ab73…
06-23 07:49:34	eth updown 4h 1782201600	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1d7146…
06-23 07:42:31	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 23	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc0082a…
06-23 00:51:05	eth updown 4h 1782172800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8c86ec…
06-21 10:41:26	will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 21	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1cfa51…
06-21 02:25:56	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 20	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1645fe…
06-20 08:24:01	ethereum up or down june 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xafb104…
06-20 08:19:35	will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 20	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf32801…
06-20 08:07:25	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 20	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd3df6b…
06-19 07:34:05	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 19	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf95201…
06-18 08:26:43	will ethereum reach 1800 on june 18	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd2c008…
06-17 16:37:55	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd87089…
06-17 16:09:34	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9660d4…
06-17 10:17:22	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb2bd7…
06-17 08:04:23	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc5767d…
06-17 08:03:14	ethereum up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7a5b83…
06-17 07:59:11	xrp up or down june 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x865dae…
06-16 11:46:13	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x480c2c…
06-16 11:36:01	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd4519f…
06-16 11:35:55	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6c7e58…
06-16 11:34:12	xrp updown 4h 1781596800	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xcf4154…
06-16 11:02:57	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x05f94b…
06-16 09:55:43	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x51306a…
06-16 09:05:00	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x16144f…
06-16 09:03:45	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x89fd24…
06-16 09:03:40	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x8c20f0…
06-16 09:03:07	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2961f7…
06-16 09:02:34	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb6c8de…
06-16 08:01:30	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa0dcc5…
06-16 08:01:28	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17c6e8…
06-16 07:55:52	xrp updown 4h 1781596800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x021d3b…
06-15 11:59:18	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf5c545…
06-15 09:57:07	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7b7fd1…
06-15 08:58:30	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x947dd9…
06-15 07:53:15	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x9fe98d…
06-15 07:04:22	ethereum up or down june 15 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3bf25e…
06-14 20:06:13	xrp updown 4h 1781467200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0b3991…