Hard-Leveret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$136

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-17 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 22% $-25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$14	33	13	+20	open	—	05-15 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$11	187	0	+187	Up	$-11	05-12 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	82	0	+82	open	—	05-15 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$7	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$7	22	0	+22	Up	$-7	05-13 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	58	0	+58	Up	+$2	05-12 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Up	$-5	05-12 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-12 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$3	10	4	+6	open	—	05-17 14:14
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$3	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-17 14:05
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$2	26	0	+26	open	—	05-15 18:48
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 18:52
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$2	67	0	+67	Up	$-2	05-12 17:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-13 09:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-13 08:35
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	18	0	+18	Up	$-2	05-12 17:21
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 19:26
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	13	0	+13	Up	$-1	05-13 09:13
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-13 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-13 09:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-12 17:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-1	05-13 09:14
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-13 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 14:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb96d0d…
05-17 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x003f86…
05-17 14:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0a8987…
05-17 14:08:26	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x99a608…
05-17 14:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xaf9a85…
05-17 14:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6bace0…
05-17 14:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b4e6b…
05-17 14:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x83ec7e…
05-15 19:26:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2dd0d6…
05-15 19:09:44	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x3da67b…
05-15 19:06:03	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x3da3c2…
05-15 18:52:21	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x44296a…
05-15 18:48:16	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xaa1a49…
05-15 18:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x0395a9…
05-15 18:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x33a34d…
05-15 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1d1af6…
05-15 18:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0x3630ee…
05-15 18:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe24da8…
05-15 18:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2946e2…
05-15 18:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd9144b…
05-13 09:15:57	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x895d2d…
05-13 09:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1398be…
05-13 09:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x26614c…
05-13 09:13:02	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf3f621…
05-13 09:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x708162…
05-13 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x797aa1…
05-13 09:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xc30026…
05-13 09:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x46c47d…
05-13 09:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd1ad35…
05-13 08:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf5a622…
05-13 08:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc94b9b…
05-13 08:52:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc8eb6e…
05-13 08:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x658be9…
05-13 08:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf3f49e…
05-13 08:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x600f3e…
05-13 08:43:27	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9565e…
05-13 08:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7082cc…
05-13 08:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfbd6d4…
05-13 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf41aa…
05-13 08:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0fddc0…
05-13 08:35:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x80f7fe…
05-13 08:35:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc5b104…
05-12 17:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x4eec30…
05-12 17:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x3d4498…
05-12 17:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x605ccb…
05-12 17:21:28	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x04447b…
05-12 17:18:31	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad8fab…
05-12 17:17:46	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc710ae…
05-12 17:17:00	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbe6b79…
05-12 17:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7fb7de…
05-12 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1e9dae…
05-12 17:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa44bd7…
05-12 17:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5ee723…
05-12 17:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5bf02c…
05-12 17:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c8a77…
05-12 17:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe961f9…