Mortified-Reorganisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

361

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 11-14 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

73% 33% -$149

Crypto

16% 51% +$30

Sports

9% 37% +$3

Politics

2% 33% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on November 14?	No	+3	$3	87¢	$3	$0	11-14 14:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	+3	$3	86¢	$3	$0	11-14 14:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	+3	$3	80¢	$3	$0	11-14 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	18	$102	52	52	+0	No	$0	04-02 06:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	36	$87	63	63	+0	Yes	+$17	05-18 22:23
bitboy convicted	10	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-01 03:10
val geng ge1 2026 04 03	6	$23	30	15	+15	Global Esports	+$1	04-03 08:51
val gm fut1 2026 04 02 game1	5	$23	25	25	+0	Gentle Mates	-$1	04-02 17:51
val th1 navi1 2026 04 03	10	$20	45	34	+11	Natus Vincere	+$1	04-03 18:26
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$20	0	40	-40	cancelled	+$0	05-18 07:55
val gm fut1 2026 04 02	5	$20	38	38	+0	FUT Esports	-$4	04-02 17:51
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$19	13	8	+5	No	+$0	04-03 18:45
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	8	$18	22	12	+10	Yes	+$5	04-04 08:54
val th1 navi1 2026 04 03 game2	7	$18	30	9	+21	Natus Vincere	+$2	04-03 17:20
val vit gx 2026 04 02 game2	2	$17	11	11	+0	Team Vitality	+$1	04-02 16:12
lol navi sk 2026 03 30	5	$17	26	0	+26	Natus Vincere	+$9	03-30 17:22
val t1 var 2026 04 03	5	$15	29	16	+13	T1	-$4	04-03 11:07
atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	2	$15	23	23	+0	Karim Bennani	+$9	03-30 16:06
col1 mif foc 2026 03 30 foc	8	$15	56	54	+2	No	+$0	03-31 01:06
nba phi mia 2026 03 30 1h moneyline	5	$14	26	7	+19	76ers	+$12	03-30 23:30
lol th vit 2026 03 30 game1	6	$13	30	0	+30	Team Vitality	-$13	03-30 18:52
gtm mrq com 2026 03 29 mrq	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$5	03-30 16:07
wta rakotom maneiro 2026 03 30	3	$11	22	22	+0	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	-$1	03-30 22:16
atp kopriva medjedo 2026 03 30	3	$10	12	12	+0	Vit Kopriva	$0	03-30 22:15
ere her exc 2026 03 20 her	3	$10	28	0	+28	No	-$10	03-20 12:46
rus ter ros 2026 03 21 ter	2	$10	24	0	+24	Yes	+$14	03-20 11:43
arg ban tig 2026 03 20 ban	3	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	+$21	03-20 12:39
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$0	05-18 09:14
arg vel lan 2026 03 21 vel	3	$10	22	0	+22	No	-$10	03-20 11:41
mls tor clb 2026 03 21 tor	2	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	+$16	03-20 11:36
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$0	05-18 09:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$9	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-22 11:19
atp gill cadenas 2026 03 30	2	$9	6	6	+0	Felix Gill	+$3	03-30 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:43:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x7426d4…
11-14 14:34:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1b854d…
11-14 14:33:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 November 9-15?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe40349…
11-14 14:24:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x00420e…
11-14 11:01:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 November 9-15?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7e7f82…
11-13 03:42:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9231ed…
11-13 02:46:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3db372…
11-12 17:29:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on November 12?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x73ceaa…
11-12 13:13:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on November 12?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x465633…
11-11 02:27:15	Heat vs. Jazz	Heat	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xfbb755…
11-11 00:19:58	Heat vs. Jazz	Heat	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x64bdf4…
11-10 12:47:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 10?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x77d69e…
11-10 01:44:28	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x842f9c…
11-10 01:29:13	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x773623…
11-09 22:49:10	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x19d978…
11-09 19:16:43	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x972343…
11-09 18:08:49	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x641b26…
11-09 14:48:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2f0d8d…
11-09 09:55:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x320eae…
11-09 09:09:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1b7640…
11-09 08:17:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 10?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x169f64…
11-09 08:08:45	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6668b5…
11-09 07:52:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeb2685…
11-09 02:27:55	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on November 9?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x5c9a28…
11-09 00:51:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x435bb1…
11-09 00:07:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 8?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x456d37…
11-09 00:03:12	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on November 9?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x339a97…
11-08 23:19:40	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 9?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x59814f…
11-08 23:06:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0f2c21…
11-08 22:10:52	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 9?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a14c3…
11-08 21:58:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x483065…
11-08 03:21:58	Fresno State vs. Utah State	Utah State	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x30bc9d…
11-07 09:03:48	Fresno State vs. Utah State	Utah State	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x80760d…
11-07 01:32:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfcca29…
11-06 18:32:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6493b…
11-06 18:32:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on November 6?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5c016e…
11-06 14:55:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5069f7…
11-06 14:50:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on November 6?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc387ef…
11-06 09:51:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1c761a…
11-06 03:24:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf84533…
11-06 02:51:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xecc4a0…
11-05 23:11:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa8b880…
11-05 16:47:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x98b6af…
11-05 15:23:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x2d1bfc…
11-05 15:19:13	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x761be1…
11-05 14:50:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe62f0c…
11-05 12:52:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x18ef9c…
11-05 12:07:40	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb86029…
11-05 00:02:24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb3df8d…
11-05 00:02:12	Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x4fab85…
11-04 23:48:54	Hawks vs. Wizards	Hawks	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xbde9c1…
11-04 23:05:25	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xce431c…
11-04 23:01:58	Hawks vs. Wizards	Hawks	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa417d0…
11-04 22:18:31	Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d16c5…
11-04 19:48:13	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: RB Leipzig O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x2befc0…
11-04 17:42:51	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9685d9…
11-04 16:49:34	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: RB Leipzig O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x323fc2…
11-02 01:53:46	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Under	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x4dcb24…
11-02 01:32:04	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcbb594…
11-02 01:22:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xbf6401…
11-02 01:17:12	Senators vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x4f5690…
11-02 00:29:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5525b7…
11-02 00:26:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5444ac…
11-02 00:11:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x576d86…
11-02 00:08:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdaabf0…
11-02 00:00:30	Pelicans vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf1c8e9…
11-01 23:14:36	Oilers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x269e00…
11-01 23:13:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf6408c…
11-01 23:06:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x312504…
11-01 22:45:46	Oilers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c6efd…
11-01 22:33:28	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x017e99…
11-01 22:13:49	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xefc6e7…
11-01 22:02:51	Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xc3d949…
11-01 22:01:09	Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xdd8888…
11-01 20:52:09	Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd0af77…
11-01 20:11:24	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc2e7d4…
11-01 19:12:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaddaf7…
11-01 19:10:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xd1e4b2…
11-01 18:59:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x197f42…
11-01 18:45:25	Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x77d3bd…
11-01 18:01:07	Senators vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4a48b0…
11-01 18:00:46	Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc51f36…
11-01 16:36:09	Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x034d8e…
11-01 16:30:10	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xc5d139…
11-01 14:40:04	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf90878…
11-01 14:39:39	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1443bc…
11-01 14:32:57	Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa45e6…
11-01 14:32:34	Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x07da1e…
11-01 14:09:58	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c9713…
11-01 14:09:36	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x25414e…
11-01 13:24:12	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb6a8f…
11-01 13:23:43	Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x75443f…
11-01 13:12:37	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x91cb2f…
11-01 13:12:09	SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x8b6115…
11-01 13:10:52	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4f5127…
11-01 13:10:30	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x49b148…
11-01 12:05:04	Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x14073f…
11-01 12:03:42	Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xabb23a…
11-01 10:40:04	Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa264d7…
11-01 10:25:46	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x387244…