Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$534

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

235

Trades

2,634

lifetime

Volume

$143.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$518

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 11-01 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

53% 38% -$220

Politics

32% 38% -$191

Sports

11% 50% -$11

Tech

4% 0% -$111

Crypto

0% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+238	$229	100¢	$238	+$8	11-01 08:57
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+200	$187	96¢	$192	+$5	10-11 14:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+200	$97	44¢	$88	-$9	11-01 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	132	$7.0K	6,605	6,505	+100	Yes	-$15	07-29 17:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	86	$6.5K	5,284	5,284	+0	No	-$12	07-29 17:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	118	$5.2K	5,170	4,970	+200	open	—	11-01 19:54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	88	$4.4K	5,050	5,050	+0	Yes	+$12	08-12 06:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	74	$4.1K	4,345	4,270	+75	No	-$50	10-25 20:24
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	57	$4.0K	3,800	3,800	+0	No	-$17	07-15 13:30
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	68	$3.7K	3,041	3,041	+0	No	-$3	07-12 04:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	40	$3.7K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$7	07-07 17:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	35	$3.5K	3,000	2,800	+200	No	-$2	08-27 22:21
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	40	$3.4K	2,388	2,388	+0	No	+$2	07-29 00:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	32	$2.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	11-01 16:17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$2.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	-$1	07-04 07:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	18	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	10-26 03:08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$2.5K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$4	07-07 18:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	26	$2.4K	2,256	2,256	+0	Yes	+$5	10-22 13:22
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	28	$2.3K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$1	07-13 15:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	26	$2.2K	2,386	2,186	+200	Yes	-$44	09-16 18:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	33	$2.2K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$3	07-07 09:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	25	$2.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$2	08-15 15:07
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	37	$2.0K	1,786	1,786	+0	No	+$4	07-13 02:03
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	36	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$5	07-03 21:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	28	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$7	09-11 12:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	28	$1.7K	2,420	2,420	+0	open	—	09-15 01:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	16	$1.6K	1,018	1,014	+3	No	+$1	09-01 11:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	23	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	11-01 17:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$1.5K	760	760	+0	No	+$16	10-30 05:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	64	$1.5K	1,420	1,420	+0	No	-$41	09-02 21:09
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	64	$1.4K	1,505	1,505	+0	Yes	-$4	09-15 00:25
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	21	$1.3K	900	900	+0	No	-$8	07-13 04:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	14	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	10-23 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:54:04	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$99	0xee686f…
11-01 17:20:28	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x73b60e…
11-01 17:20:28	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x670262…
11-01 17:20:27	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	97	85¢	$82	0x2d3a1c…
11-01 17:15:55	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x6a7b03…
11-01 17:15:55	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x65f966…
11-01 16:17:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x627fc2…
11-01 16:14:43	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0xcbb975…
11-01 15:51:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x6b723b…
11-01 14:40:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	22¢	$14	0xcc7621…
11-01 13:53:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	84	22¢	$19	0xc8b5a7…
11-01 13:30:00	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0xdb5674…
11-01 12:48:52	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	150	83¢	$124	0xfdeded…
11-01 12:47:57	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xd0dabd…
11-01 12:47:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x4f255b…
11-01 11:20:07	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	150	14¢	$21	0xd47da8…
11-01 11:01:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x67ca8b…
11-01 09:45:39	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	128	83¢	$106	0x8537fc…
11-01 09:45:39	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0x7b72d5…
11-01 09:43:49	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xe226e5…
11-01 08:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	238	96¢	$229	0x678e7d…
10-31 19:01:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xf09f6b…
10-31 19:01:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x1ed941…
10-31 17:44:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xbeae91…
10-31 13:34:57	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	139	33¢	$46	0x94caac…
10-31 13:33:30	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x7546c9…
10-31 13:16:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xd73669…
10-31 11:59:21	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	64¢	$96	0x8ace14…
10-31 11:50:58	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0x6b7397…
10-31 05:30:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x5b9bea…
10-31 05:21:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xec6eb9…
10-31 04:24:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$131	0x57765c…
10-31 00:06:19	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xb48c00…
10-30 19:57:19	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	70	66¢	$46	0xccd087…
10-30 19:56:49	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x63886e…
10-30 19:56:31	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0xdecaa3…
10-30 19:56:31	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0x6a668e…
10-30 19:55:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x11f160…
10-30 19:55:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0xdf3b49…
10-30 06:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	392	100¢	$390	0x7b572e…
10-30 06:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x30146a…
10-30 06:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0x929a51…
10-30 05:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xc4e5a7…
10-30 05:14:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x0e16c3…
10-30 05:13:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x1e49bb…
10-30 03:38:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x31ae9b…
10-30 03:37:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xc9b0a6…
10-30 03:37:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xd860a3…
10-30 03:36:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe37489…
10-30 03:36:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x4a1fdd…
10-30 03:35:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf6fb0c…
10-30 03:35:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb1b150…
10-30 03:35:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x4b39eb…
10-30 03:34:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xeae339…
10-30 03:34:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa98441…
10-30 03:34:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x677c67…
10-30 03:34:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x4f721f…
10-30 03:34:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x47c07e…
10-30 03:33:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0x31a4d6…
10-30 03:31:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0xefb9a8…
10-30 03:30:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xff045e…
10-30 03:30:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xed41ec…
10-30 03:30:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xdce8f9…
10-30 03:30:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x33044f…
10-30 03:30:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x2c8e93…
10-30 03:30:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xfe37ee…
10-30 03:30:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf8f8c6…
10-30 03:30:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xaa78fb…
10-30 03:30:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x863903…
10-30 03:30:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x116f4f…
10-30 03:16:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x1c8608…
10-30 03:05:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa7ec7b…
10-30 03:05:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x6eedea…
10-30 03:05:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xd27e1b…
10-30 03:05:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x9bee2d…
10-30 03:05:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x802ad5…
10-30 03:04:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$133	0x51d145…
10-30 00:32:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$141	0x6259b1…
10-29 20:36:04	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0x1e0596…
10-29 20:35:06	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	23¢	$34	0x471e6e…
10-29 20:00:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$141	0x4eff87…
10-29 17:45:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$147	0xb67324…
10-29 17:35:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x8c7d4a…
10-29 17:31:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$147	0x36842c…
10-29 17:31:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x7e5504…
10-29 15:03:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	170	76¢	$129	0xf8ab0a…
10-29 15:01:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc846bf…
10-29 15:00:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x10dae0…
10-29 14:37:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$151	0xe4e7b4…
10-29 12:53:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$47	0x60b390…
10-29 12:51:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x05263a…
10-29 11:28:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$47	0xa1ab36…
10-29 11:26:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xb2b485…
10-29 08:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	533	100¢	$531	0xcf7d1b…
10-28 23:35:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x7cd736…
10-28 23:31:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xf115f5…
10-28 20:09:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x4b810c…
10-28 18:54:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x88c200…
10-28 17:07:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$55	0x7d25f6…
10-28 16:41:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$55	0x80b198…