Active-Invention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$444

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

1,465

Trades

2,319

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-19 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

90% 59% -$462

Crypto

5% 57% -$45

Sports

4% 57% +$69

Politics

1% 33% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$461	288	288	+0	Yes	+$115	07-19 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?	8	$112	58	58	+0	Yes	+$3	04-26 00:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 31corbelow	3	$84	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	03-22 22:39
highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 92 93f	3	$74	106	100	+6	Yes	-$11	03-22 20:52
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 0c	7	$59	50	50	+0	Yes	-$12	03-27 20:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 25?	4	$56	38	38	+0	No	-$11	04-25 21:26
highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 94 95f	3	$56	106	100	+6	No	-$7	03-22 20:52
highest temperature in lucknow on march 28 2026 33c	9	$53	41	31	+10	Yes	-$4	03-28 10:35
highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 21c	8	$52	100	0	+100	No	-$52	03-22 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 25?	4	$50	55	54	+1	No	-$1	04-25 20:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$50	100	100	+0	No	-$6	04-20 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	04-25 21:12
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 68forhigher	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	03-25 18:00
highest temperature in lagos on april 20 2026 28corbelow	8	$44	75	0	+75	Yes	+$32	04-20 22:15
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 26?	4	$44	50	49	+1	Yes	-$10	04-26 19:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$43	400	400	+0	No	-$17	06-11 19:59
highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 11c	1	$42	50	0	+50	Yes	+$8	03-25 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?	4	$36	40	0	+40	Yes	+$3	04-26 22:49
highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 52 53f	8	$33	70	0	+70	No	-$33	03-25 18:57
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 5c	3	$33	53	53	+0	No	-$7	03-21 15:15
amzn above 190 on february 27 2026	3	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 18:15
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 60 61f	4	$30	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-21 22:47
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 27c	3	$30	37	0	+37	Yes	+$7	04-09 15:01
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 speed skating womens 5000m martina sablikova cze	2	$30	150	0	+150	No	-$30	02-09 22:32
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 82 83f	2	$28	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	04-24 19:09
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 70 71f	1	$27	29	0	+29	Yes	+$2	04-24 20:01
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 6corhigher	3	$27	82	82	+0	No	-$13	03-21 10:24
bitcoin up or down february 20 3pm et	8	$26	43	23	+20	Up	+$2	02-20 20:48
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 24c	2	$25	27	0	+27	Yes	+$2	04-24 19:59
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 4c	2	$25	34	34	+0	No	+$5	03-21 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:02:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	288	100¢	$288	0xbe8999…
07-19 20:16:09	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	288	60¢	$173	0x33924e…
07-10 08:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x7d1c18…
07-10 07:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xf6f06c…
07-10 07:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0xc00c45…
07-10 05:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x1be268…
07-10 03:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xee7bb8…
07-09 18:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xa13047…
07-09 11:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xc6f082…
07-09 09:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x103646…
07-09 08:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xe1a288…
07-09 07:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xaecd82…
07-09 07:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x6bcecf…
07-09 07:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x356c1c…
07-09 06:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0xd140b3…
07-09 05:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xfd7eb2…
07-09 05:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x223c24…
07-09 05:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xa81d9c…
07-09 04:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xfabc24…
07-08 23:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x1cbc42…
07-08 19:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xcb9a96…
07-08 19:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2d82ad…
07-08 18:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x690639…
07-08 17:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xc94327…
07-08 16:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xfa913c…
07-08 14:50:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x3526b8…
07-08 13:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x38617c…
07-08 12:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xbf9c47…
07-08 08:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x96b1da…
07-08 08:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x233f51…
07-08 08:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xd2e540…
07-08 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe4f8b7…
07-08 04:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x5c0974…
07-08 04:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x294ec1…
07-08 03:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x9beb9f…
07-07 21:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2cacb6…
07-07 20:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x55a948…
07-07 16:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x391d13…
07-07 10:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xf07ff5…
07-07 10:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9d1ed5…
07-07 07:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xea20a2…
07-07 07:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xc581f0…
07-07 04:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xdca8bc…
07-06 19:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x866dcc…
07-06 17:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xba24c4…
07-06 17:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x88b90c…
07-06 11:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x011e3c…
07-06 10:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x83d08f…
07-06 09:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x89cf10…
07-06 07:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xda88ed…
07-06 06:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xdad6c6…
07-06 05:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1a3046…
07-05 15:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x809df6…
07-05 15:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x6a26df…
07-05 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x520518…
07-05 05:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd4f252…
07-05 04:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe898ed…
07-04 23:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9c658c…
07-04 19:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xaa3201…
07-04 18:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x209f37…
07-04 16:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x04ae41…
07-04 13:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x1f684d…
07-04 10:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x82624e…
07-04 09:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xe44801…
07-04 05:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xbf8720…
07-04 04:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x01f8b4…
07-03 20:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x930f12…
07-03 18:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x1a0f53…
07-03 16:57:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x230f45…
07-03 14:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x931bc4…
07-03 13:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf285ec…
07-02 07:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x10bd9c…
07-02 07:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0xef7edd…
07-02 06:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x8d1550…
07-02 05:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9b7be5…
07-01 21:30:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x1315fe…
07-01 14:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xc294eb…
07-01 11:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0xbf2cb9…
07-01 11:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x014637…
07-01 10:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x056c74…
07-01 10:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xea11b6…
07-01 10:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x32bc01…
07-01 05:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x7693aa…
07-01 04:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xdd8db5…
07-01 00:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x99230d…
06-30 19:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa27da8…
06-30 18:05:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xe9950a…
06-30 16:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xcd1a84…
06-29 13:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x52a47b…
06-29 11:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7e487b…
06-29 11:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfeb8c5…
06-29 11:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x051dae…
06-29 07:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x4a80eb…
06-29 05:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x38c304…
06-29 05:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x20b0dc…
06-29 04:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x88d892…
06-28 17:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0xfa39b8…
06-28 13:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x7e615d…
06-28 12:52:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x3001ea…
06-28 12:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xf5efe3…