Grouchy-Breadfruit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

13.5%

Resolved

Trades

589

lifetime

Volume

$5.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-06 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

58% — —

Sports

19% 50% $-0

Other

13% 0% $-0

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+7	$5	76¢	$5	+$0	06-04 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	25	$180	95	95	+0	open	—	03-19 15:32
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	19	$132	86	86	+0	open	—	03-20 03:09
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$115	75	75	+0	open	—	03-19 08:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	02-21 02:32
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	11	$85	58	71	-13	open	—	02-28 00:11
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	03-05 05:33
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	03-06 07:51
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	9	$54	38	37	+0	open	—	02-19 02:22
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	03-19 04:33
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	4	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	02-01 14:03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$48	34	34	+0	open	—	02-25 16:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	02-21 03:46
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	03-12 11:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$43	33	32	+0	open	—	02-16 16:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 15:17
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-05 06:01
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$34	18	18	+0	No	$-0	03-14 22:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$33	28	28	+0	open	—	03-08 09:59
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	03-14 19:16
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	01-30 12:00
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-09 03:50
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	5	$30	17	17	+0	No	$-0	02-24 10:40
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-06 22:07
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 10:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	02-05 20:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	06-09 21:47
lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-16 18:59
bitcoin up or down march 10 1pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-10 17:50
bitcoin up or down march 9 6am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 10:50
bitcoin up or down march 11 2am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 22:38:14	mlb tor sf 2026 07 06 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1a3746…
07-06 22:25:25	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x3dd397…
07-06 02:29:10	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xc6f351…
07-06 01:36:44	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05	San Diego Padres	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7c5162…
07-05 23:09:43	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x27da7f…
07-05 21:08:10	mlb tor sea 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xf062d6…
07-04 19:09:58	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7c186d…
07-03 21:05:19	mlb stl chc 2026 07 03	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe0ea5b…
07-01 01:43:40	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x506fdc…
06-27 19:10:44	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 27 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xf750d4…
06-27 19:10:43	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 27 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8eec3c…
06-27 01:04:56	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26	New York Mets	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5d1c51…
06-24 02:47:49	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xf0d9e7…
06-24 01:51:58	mlb chc nym 2026 06 22	Chicago Cubs	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x061618…
06-24 01:00:53	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x8f3dd8…
06-20 20:35:04	mlb sd tex 2026 06 20	Texas Rangers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0c3cf4…
06-20 05:07:43	mlb bal lad 2026 06 19	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xe852df…
06-18 20:40:40	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x736668…
06-17 18:23:11	mlb sd stl 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x880af1…
06-17 04:05:32	mlb pit oak 2026 06 16	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x517f82…
06-17 00:04:14	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x90d6ed…
06-17 00:03:19	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 16	Washington Nationals	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x17b6a1…
06-16 23:26:07	mlb sf atl 2026 06 16	Atlanta Braves	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x82687c…
06-14 23:04:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x3d3065…
06-13 17:31:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9539c5…
06-13 07:43:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xd8059a…
06-12 01:10:48	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x99bf7b…
06-11 17:20:45	mlb stl nym 2026 06 11	New York Mets	BUY	15	71¢	$10	0x2d813d…
06-11 03:11:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 14pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x081e3e…
06-11 02:32:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 9pt5	Spurs	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x47030c…
06-11 01:30:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x656e48…
06-11 01:03:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x43667b…
06-11 00:52:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 214pt5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5d698b…
06-10 23:21:55	mlb stl nym 2026 06 10	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x983783…
06-10 18:07:39	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbe105e…
06-10 03:05:58	mlb min det 2026 06 09 total 14pt5	Over	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x4e2436…
06-10 00:56:30	mlb ari mia 2026 06 09	Miami Marlins	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x874eea…
06-10 00:22:43	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xb47a2c…
06-09 21:47:37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x1e192e…
06-09 02:24:19	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08 spread away 1pt5	Athletics	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8ba9af…
06-08 23:47:33	mlb phi tor 2026 06 08 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x8b52a0…
06-08 03:26:28	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x391e98…
06-07 20:57:57	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	16	41¢	$6	0x297ee1…
06-07 19:36:34	mlb tb mia 2026 06 07 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe19da0…
06-07 18:09:34	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x1906f8…
06-06 03:31:52	mlb mil col 2026 06 05	Colorado Rockies	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x9a75b8…
06-06 02:21:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 210pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x160f45…
06-05 02:32:18	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1e205c…
06-05 01:23:30	mlb oak chc 2026 06 04	Chicago Cubs	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x6c00f9…
06-04 21:38:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x191f87…
06-04 01:53:43	mlb pit hou 2026 06 03 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b4f44…
06-02 19:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0x6ee333…
06-01 07:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5c446e…
05-31 21:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x50e927…
05-31 19:07:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xdbfa1f…
05-31 19:06:32	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa862b9…
05-31 19:06:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffda08…
05-30 15:02:13	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x929eb1…
05-30 01:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe87568…
05-29 07:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x367e6b…
05-29 03:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x79b6f1…
05-29 01:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ed7fd…
05-25 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x37ce56…
05-25 19:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ae68d…
05-22 11:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4d9147…
05-21 19:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7d4189…
05-20 07:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x93bce1…
05-20 02:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x6bf876…
05-19 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x331238…
05-19 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xec9fd5…
05-19 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x28aba9…
05-18 07:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x806429…
05-18 02:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9bef5d…
05-17 10:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x28052d…
05-17 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5f9271…
05-16 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf60b31…
05-16 10:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x266e43…
05-15 22:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x509973…
05-15 14:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xc13d88…
05-15 12:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7defc9…
05-15 09:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4a2e92…
05-15 08:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6c479…
05-15 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ae30d…
05-15 04:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x843416…
05-15 00:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9bce63…
05-14 19:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa52029…
04-29 11:08:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x632c92…
04-29 10:49:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5e0bdf…
04-26 11:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb46981…
04-26 04:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc1951…
04-26 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5017f1…
04-25 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd748e2…
04-25 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x68b20f…
04-25 12:12:52	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe89d96…
04-25 11:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x215103…
04-25 05:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb135a2…
04-24 23:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb3d97…
04-24 09:51:18	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc3ce98…
04-23 13:53:20	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ccd9f…
04-23 09:51:26	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1498c…