Outrageous-Butter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

575

Trades

1,991

lifetime

Volume

$201.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 08-09 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

82% 61% -$950

Crypto

18% 68% -$1,199

Politics

0% 50% +$16

Sports

0% 60% +$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	34	$7.6K	4,745	4,745	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	20	$6.9K	3,774	3,774	+0	No	+$35	05-01 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$6.3K	3,308	3,308	-0	No	+$128	04-27 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	7	$5.7K	2,983	2,983	+0	No	-$160	04-25 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	12	$4.9K	2,503	2,503	+0	No	+$9	05-04 11:46
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	30	$4.7K	2,951	2,951	+0	No	-$242	05-03 22:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	12	$4.0K	2,079	2,079	+0	No	+$40	05-01 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	23	$4.0K	3,990	3,990	+0	No	-$294	05-03 21:06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$3.9K	2,067	2,067	+0	No	-$19	04-28 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$3.4K	1,709	1,709	+0	No	+$31	04-28 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	7	$3.4K	1,688	1,688	+0	No	+$10	05-04 21:39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,663	1,663	+0	No	+$37	04-27 22:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	11	$3.2K	1,732	1,730	+2	No	+$151	04-25 00:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	21	$3.1K	1,539	1,539	+0	No	+$8	05-05 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,516	1,516	+0	No	+$15	04-28 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$2.9K	1,527	1,526	+1	No	+$166	04-27 15:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	7	$2.7K	1,413	1,452	-39	No	-$16	04-27 02:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	3	$2.7K	1,376	1,376	+0	Yes	+$67	04-25 15:43
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	8	$2.6K	1,515	1,515	+0	No	-$327	04-12 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2.6K	1,323	1,321	+2	Down	+$12	04-25 14:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	3	$2.6K	1,303	1,302	+1	No	+$22	04-24 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	13	$2.5K	1,256	1,256	+0	No	+$6	05-06 12:18
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	4	$2.4K	1,218	1,218	+0	No	+$11	04-22 15:46
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 115 139	10	$2.4K	1,231	1,229	+1	No	+$44	04-08 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:10 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,225	1,220	+6	Down	+$66	04-22 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	5	$2.3K	1,212	1,212	+0	No	+$59	04-29 12:33
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	10	$2.3K	1,433	1,429	+4	No	-$196	04-22 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 05:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,169	1,159	+10	Up	+$124	04-22 05:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	6	$2.1K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$55	04-24 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	20	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Up	+$44	05-01 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 15:55:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x00b75a…
08-09 15:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xc0a444…
08-09 13:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf00112…
08-09 13:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3b6793…
08-09 13:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xde4790…
08-09 12:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x866d4a…
08-09 12:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x08a406…
08-08 15:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x4319f1…
08-08 15:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xba767f…
08-08 15:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x92655c…
08-08 15:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9ae198…
08-08 15:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x78eac9…
08-08 15:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xe76b93…
08-08 15:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x4eaf61…
08-08 15:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0x3b7ce3…
08-08 15:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf0ae74…
08-08 15:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97bb1a…
08-08 15:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdee9e9…
08-08 14:58:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x89d5b5…
08-08 13:13:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	SELL	62	53¢	$33	0xe7888a…
08-07 20:57:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0xabeab0…
08-07 10:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0xd8e3f0…
08-07 10:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x83589e…
08-06 15:03:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xd31b1c…
08-05 21:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x4a57f3…
08-05 17:17:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0x73be27…
08-05 16:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa41a2b…
08-05 12:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x9b37fa…
08-05 08:25:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xe95fc6…
08-05 08:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7f8893…
08-05 08:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9e53ec…
08-04 20:42:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0x1cb9af…
08-04 20:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x3805cb…
08-04 16:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0xa51bf2…
08-04 09:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0xff8c25…
08-03 16:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xfc06c5…
08-03 16:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x637989…
08-03 16:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x60627c…
08-03 14:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xc56e13…
08-03 01:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xfce1e5…
08-02 16:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x714f24…
08-02 16:18:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xcf0602…
08-02 14:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x20fc34…
08-02 13:52:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xd5f614…
08-01 23:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x5e9707…
07-31 21:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xb3fd70…
07-31 21:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x382f90…
07-31 21:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0x5e9599…
07-31 14:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xde881b…
07-31 14:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0xa9cacc…
07-28 22:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xc6884f…
07-28 17:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf91848…
07-28 00:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0x56b031…
07-27 11:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x124e04…
07-27 11:36:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xea8a0f…
07-27 05:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x14151d…
07-26 13:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x1c7c2c…
07-26 13:04:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x10920a…
07-26 09:22:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xfedcab…
07-26 03:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0x38cad2…
07-26 00:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0x52bfc6…
07-26 00:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	86	75¢	$65	0x893db7…
07-26 00:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xf32503…
07-26 00:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0xcd1e02…
07-26 00:30:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x54787d…
07-26 00:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	81	91¢	$74	0x93ec9e…
07-25 23:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x35a12d…
07-25 21:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc375cc…
07-25 21:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33aa75…
07-25 21:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2714b…
07-25 20:58:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x0edef2…
07-25 16:05:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4240f2…
07-25 16:05:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x11759f…
07-25 15:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	94¢	$87	0xa38d06…
07-25 15:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xe7bb5b…
07-25 14:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x08bf56…
07-25 14:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x6e5cd6…
07-25 14:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xa81f19…
07-25 04:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x48d756…
07-25 04:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0x6b736c…
07-25 04:39:51	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0xf8b3e6…
07-25 04:39:49	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0xb2cb3f…
07-25 04:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	37¢	$35	0x26450a…
07-25 04:04:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x819281…
07-25 03:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe61dbe…
07-25 03:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc99f1a…
07-25 03:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$27	0xb0eea6…
07-25 03:03:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	SELL	102	69¢	$70	0x6d83de…
07-24 17:30:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x641da6…
07-24 16:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0x63d323…
07-24 11:10:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0x324b1c…
07-24 04:01:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	104	90¢	$93	0x0c5cd6…
07-24 03:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	104	83¢	$86	0x93ef1c…
07-24 03:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	112	77¢	$86	0xf7c8dc…
07-24 02:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	112	70¢	$78	0x0c4619…
07-24 02:36:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0xeb6d1d…
07-23 22:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	91	94¢	$85	0x87091d…
07-22 16:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x36fe87…
07-22 10:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x9f08dc…
07-22 10:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x995885…