Outrageous-Butter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$548

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,401

lifetime

Volume

$124.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-11 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Crypto

28% 58% $-548

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$6.3K	3,308	3,308	-0	open	—	04-27 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	7	$5.7K	2,983	2,983	+0	open	—	04-25 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$3.9K	2,067	2,067	+0	open	—	04-28 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,663	1,663	+0	open	—	04-27 22:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	11	$3.2K	1,732	1,730	+2	open	—	04-25 00:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$2.9K	1,527	1,526	+1	open	—	04-27 15:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	7	$2.7K	1,413	1,452	-39	open	—	04-27 02:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	3	$2.7K	1,376	1,376	+0	open	—	04-25 15:43
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	8	$2.6K	1,515	1,515	+0	open	—	04-12 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2.6K	1,323	1,321	+2	open	—	04-25 14:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	3	$2.6K	1,303	1,302	+1	open	—	04-24 15:12
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	4	$2.4K	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	04-22 15:46
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 115 139	10	$2.4K	1,231	1,229	+1	open	—	04-08 08:47
btc updown 5m 1776849000	3	$2.4K	1,225	1,220	+6	open	—	04-22 09:15
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	10	$2.3K	1,433	1,429	+4	open	—	04-22 05:09
btc updown 5m 1776835500	2	$2.2K	1,169	1,159	+10	open	—	04-22 05:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	6	$2.1K	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	04-24 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	20	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-01 12:05
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	5	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-10 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,709	0	+1,709	open	—	04-28 10:41
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	6	$1.6K	917	912	+4	open	—	04-15 07:01
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	27	$1.6K	1,891	1,871	+20	open	—	04-13 10:35
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	7	$1.5K	793	793	+0	open	—	04-05 18:54
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	4	$1.5K	799	796	+3	open	—	04-06 16:25
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	17	$1.5K	821	821	+0	open	—	03-30 01:00
btc updown 5m 1776504300	4	$1.4K	780	774	+6	open	—	04-18 09:30
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	6	$1.4K	704	704	+0	open	—	04-11 15:51
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	3	$1.4K	694	694	+0	open	—	04-11 08:41
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	4	$1.4K	856	773	+83	open	—	04-13 00:28
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	7	$1.4K	704	702	+2	open	—	04-04 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:31:15	btc updown 5m 1781202600	Down	SELL	54	25¢	$14	0x109af9…
06-11 18:30:27	btc updown 5m 1781202600	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x18426e…
06-11 18:25:24	btc updown 5m 1781202000	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xc4b99c…
06-11 18:23:58	btc updown 5m 1781202000	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x55bfbd…
06-11 18:23:54	btc updown 5m 1781202000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46ab1a…
06-11 18:23:33	btc updown 5m 1781202000	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1c3a41…
06-10 13:03:39	btc updown 5m 1781096400	Down	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x344ef6…
06-10 13:03:07	btc updown 5m 1781096400	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x57bcea…
06-10 12:58:01	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Down	SELL	62	60¢	$38	0x7146e5…
06-10 12:57:13	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xb20375…
06-05 19:39:42	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x7a7347…
06-05 19:39:06	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x7ea269…
06-05 19:39:06	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x572618…
06-05 19:39:06	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x275535…
06-05 19:38:10	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	SELL	85	73¢	$62	0xcaeeff…
06-05 19:37:31	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x78ea96…
06-05 19:37:31	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x37a132…
06-05 19:35:10	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5ba745…
06-05 19:33:54	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf3c691…
06-05 19:33:54	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa9c7ea…
06-05 19:33:21	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	SELL	1,051	4¢	$37	0xe53ec1…
06-05 19:33:00	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x08746a…
06-05 19:32:58	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	551	5¢	$25	0x450693…
05-11 01:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x262a7f…
05-11 00:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	106	79¢	$84	0xc3e604…
05-11 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd3739c…
05-11 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x99b1db…
05-11 00:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	92	94¢	$86	0xe532b0…
05-11 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	92	74¢	$68	0x96d5d2…
05-11 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	78	89¢	$70	0xabb72b…
05-11 00:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	78	80¢	$63	0xc6dc90…
05-11 00:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	99	66¢	$65	0x0532a4…
05-11 00:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	99	38¢	$38	0xdca4dc…
05-11 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x91586b…
05-11 00:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x4dd836…
05-11 00:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x9a9cff…
05-11 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0x332182…
05-11 00:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xf197a2…
05-11 00:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x5fdc77…
05-11 00:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	157	23¢	$36	0x76f811…
05-11 00:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x58acf5…
05-10 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xbf5410…
05-10 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x825a96…
05-10 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x041804…
05-10 23:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x65336d…
05-10 23:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x352b58…
05-10 23:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	74¢	$81	0x79da33…
05-10 23:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0x6ce201…
05-10 23:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x8ec820…
05-10 23:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x2c9fb3…
05-10 23:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc55579…
05-10 23:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x80fe88…
05-10 23:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x956153…
05-10 23:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x53b431…
05-10 23:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	107	80¢	$86	0x1e87a6…
05-10 23:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xf98f84…
05-10 23:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xf6430b…
05-10 23:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	101	84¢	$85	0x8be38b…
05-10 23:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	68¢	$69	0x23067c…
05-10 22:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf00eac…
05-10 22:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0xf420e9…
05-10 22:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xa90bbd…
05-10 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6f2036…
05-10 22:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x15596c…
05-10 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2f5777…
05-10 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x17c9f4…
05-10 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xef543f…
05-10 20:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x160d3d…
05-10 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	74	86¢	$63	0xf0e310…
05-10 19:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	74	58¢	$43	0x451a98…
05-10 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xadbb41…
05-09 22:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0xf90643…
05-09 22:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x1ff7ff…
05-09 17:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x1cff78…
05-09 17:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x9d5219…
05-09 17:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x7978ed…
05-09 17:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x869ba5…
05-09 17:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc995bd…
05-09 17:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x44779d…
05-09 17:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2885fc…
05-09 17:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd7e104…
05-09 17:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x7ad930…
05-09 17:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xc0fb05…
05-09 09:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	228	63¢	$143	0x7c8280…
05-09 09:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	228	38¢	$87	0x4d0d56…
05-09 09:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	38¢	$17	0x3527f5…
05-09 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x4b4191…
05-09 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x4104de…
05-09 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x329ccf…
05-09 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x073efe…
05-09 09:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1a8c54…
05-09 09:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x27b7ed…
05-08 06:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x8d5cca…
05-08 06:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xa22e49…
05-07 22:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x1d4718…
05-06 05:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	207	7¢	$14	0xd18128…
05-06 05:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	36¢	$45	0x481576…
05-06 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	160	36¢	$58	0xef69e2…
05-06 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb8bdc6…
05-06 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	160	36¢	$58	0xa9974f…