Basic-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$7.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-11 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% $-16

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$160	338	0	+338	open	—	04-28 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$160	265	0	+265	open	—	04-29 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$160	186	0	+186	open	—	04-28 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$147	2,715	33	+2,681	open	—	04-29 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$140	174	0	+174	open	—	04-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$140	154	0	+154	open	—	04-28 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$130	140	0	+140	open	—	04-29 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$130	180	0	+180	open	—	04-29 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$130	141	0	+141	open	—	04-28 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$130	135	0	+135	open	—	04-28 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$130	139	0	+139	open	—	04-29 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$120	126	0	+126	open	—	04-28 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$120	131	0	+131	open	—	04-28 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$120	130	0	+130	open	—	04-28 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$120	130	0	+130	open	—	04-28 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$120	140	0	+140	open	—	04-28 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$120	129	0	+129	open	—	04-28 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$110	153	0	+153	open	—	04-29 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$110	153	0	+153	open	—	04-28 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	04-29 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-29 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$90	143	0	+143	open	—	04-29 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$90	108	0	+108	open	—	04-29 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$86	107	0	+107	open	—	04-29 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$81	139	0	+139	open	—	04-28 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	04-28 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$75	118	0	+118	open	—	04-29 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$70	86	0	+86	open	—	04-28 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$70	87	0	+87	open	—	04-28 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$70	105	0	+105	open	—	04-28 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:59:36	btc updown 5m 1781200500	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8d6481…
06-11 16:39:34	sol updown 5m 1781195700	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x2fe128…
06-10 22:19:36	sol updown 5m 1781129700	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x495971…
06-10 19:24:55	eth updown 5m 1781119200	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa31a5c…
05-21 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xad7cf8…
05-20 22:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x97a743…
05-19 18:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x79c4cb…
05-19 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7ddfd9…
05-19 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc43fc2…
05-19 16:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4d7066…
05-19 16:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdcf837…
05-19 16:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0a777b…
05-19 15:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x391b06…
05-19 14:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x21bdd6…
05-19 12:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x886f56…
05-19 12:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x844c0d…
05-19 11:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x88c64a…
05-19 10:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd81a0a…
05-19 10:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa81f27…
05-19 08:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe09305…
05-19 06:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd7c427…
05-19 06:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf78956…
05-19 05:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xec7520…
05-19 05:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28c063…
05-18 15:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0xcbe3e9…
05-17 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x7841e5…
05-17 10:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x5ba4cc…
05-16 19:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf0dcc4…
05-16 19:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc7bf35…
05-16 19:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6d1ac0…
05-16 19:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x989cc4…
05-16 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xcfdf26…
05-16 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x22c138…
05-16 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x0d2f92…
05-16 16:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x53972f…
05-16 16:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb51db5…
05-16 16:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5b3243…
05-16 16:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9f856a…
05-16 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5f5090…
05-15 23:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x2c3a4e…
05-15 23:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1843a3…
05-15 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6d1baa…
05-15 23:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xff1372…
05-15 23:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9e5bf2…
05-15 23:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf3f161…
05-15 23:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdcf19a…
05-15 23:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x72fa8c…
05-15 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xadbaa1…
05-15 23:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2479ff…
05-15 23:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7ae124…
05-15 23:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xdf33b7…
05-15 23:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7b14d8…
05-15 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x588400…
05-15 22:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x987e3b…
05-15 22:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xaaa4be…
05-15 22:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7db4ad…
05-15 22:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x592162…
05-15 22:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x14169e…
05-15 22:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c8689…
05-15 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x452093…
05-15 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd7db0c…
05-15 22:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x28fd2a…
05-15 22:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9d36c6…
05-15 22:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcc47fd…
05-15 22:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7c08ef…
05-15 22:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x116b26…
05-15 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x712f55…
05-10 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x695ee7…
05-10 01:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1ce7f9…
05-10 01:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb4ff0a…
05-10 01:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3d8d2b…
05-10 00:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x559caf…
05-10 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc0a838…
05-10 00:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd123af…
05-09 23:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x30e263…
05-09 23:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a913c…
05-09 22:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18f454…
05-09 21:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbab208…
05-09 20:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf1c39a…
05-09 20:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbb7bbe…
05-09 17:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7cde75…
05-09 17:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1d630b…
05-09 17:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc0cafb…
05-09 17:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa38ec6…
05-09 16:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xc8a749…
05-09 16:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x583290…
05-08 14:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc95ef5…
05-07 22:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x73333c…
05-01 17:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfff369…
05-01 17:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xdc6d0c…
05-01 17:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x80f248…
05-01 17:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xed2566…
05-01 17:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc7c260…
05-01 17:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe1c319…
05-01 17:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf5a61c…
05-01 17:03:56	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x264fe2…
05-01 16:59:18	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	297	1¢	$3	0x1c2156…
05-01 16:58:48	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	297	1¢	$3	0x878848…
05-01 16:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x6d01eb…
05-01 16:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2eda18…