Unacceptable-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-17 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 14% $-66

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770545700	3	$2.0K	1,637	1,614	+22	open	—	02-08 10:22
btc updown 15m 1770543900	3	$1.9K	2,375	2,341	+34	open	—	02-08 09:59
ethereum above 2100 on february 8	2	$1.6K	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	02-08 16:45
btc updown 15m 1770734700	2	$1.2K	1,562	1,544	+18	open	—	02-10 14:51
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	9	$1.0K	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	01-31 16:33
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	2	$970	6,678	6,678	+0	open	—	02-11 07:16
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	17	$824	1,332	1,384	-52	open	—	02-01 16:58
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	6	$687	1,123	1,123	+0	open	—	02-02 16:37
bitcoin above 68k on february 10	5	$645	1,740	1,281	+459	open	—	02-10 15:18
btc updown 15m 1770462000	2	$612	637	628	+9	open	—	02-07 11:03
btc updown 15m 1770574500	8	$554	787	779	+8	open	—	02-08 18:29
btc updown 15m 1770563700	2	$540	1,366	1,347	+18	open	—	02-08 15:25
btc updown 15m 1770452100	2	$503	376	370	+6	open	—	02-07 08:20
btc updown 15m 1770461100	3	$458	532	408	+124	open	—	02-07 10:53
btc updown 15m 1770732000	4	$455	1,262	1,258	+4	open	—	02-10 14:13
btc updown 5m 1771245300	3	$448	644	466	+177	open	—	02-16 12:39
btc updown 15m 1770570900	6	$397	390	386	+4	open	—	02-08 17:30
btc updown 15m 1770457500	2	$330	247	244	+3	open	—	02-07 10:00
ethereum above 2500 on january 31	2	$317	338	338	+0	open	—	01-31 16:54
btc updown 15m 1770451200	3	$312	325	321	+4	open	—	02-07 08:06
btc updown 15m 1770544800	2	$304	1,234	0	+1,234	open	—	02-08 10:02
btc updown 15m 1770732900	2	$294	656	648	+9	open	—	02-10 14:24
btc updown 15m 1770561000	3	$270	404	228	+176	open	—	02-08 14:42
btc updown 15m 1770462900	2	$235	232	230	+2	open	—	02-07 11:25
btc updown 15m 1770474600	1	$223	675	0	+675	open	—	02-07 14:35
btc updown 15m 1770481800	4	$217	342	209	+133	open	—	02-07 16:44
bitcoin above 70k on february 16	4	$192	489	489	+0	open	—	02-16 12:31
btc updown 15m 1770705000	2	$175	140	138	+2	open	—	02-10 06:41
btc updown 15m 1770447600	2	$162	151	149	+2	open	—	02-07 07:07
ethereum above 2900 on january 29	3	$159	146	146	+0	open	—	01-29 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:42:48	btc updown 15m 1784305800	Up	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xcaca00…
07-17 16:41:18	btc updown 15m 1784305800	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7e4930…
07-10 07:19:52	bitcoin above 63800 on july 10 2026 4am et	No	BUY	92	20¢	$19	0x3e8dda…
07-10 07:18:55	bitcoin above 63800 on july 10 2026 4am et	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xcdd721…
07-09 06:08:11	btc updown 15m 1783576800	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x71db7e…
07-09 06:01:17	btc updown 5m 1783576800	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdea909…
07-09 05:53:49	btc updown 5m 1783576200	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe6f679…
07-09 05:49:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	No	SELL	164	6¢	$10	0xb7e419…
07-09 02:54:22	btc updown 5m 1783565400	Down	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xf29bc6…
07-09 02:38:17	ethereum above 1600 on july 9 2026	No	SELL	625	0¢	$2	0x001739…
07-08 07:14:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	164	10¢	$16	0x0e7e8e…
07-08 07:11:53	ethereum above 1600 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x4401ee…
05-13 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5482b7…
05-13 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3fa35a…
05-10 02:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	159	5¢	$8	0xb8843b…
05-10 01:53:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	321	3¢	$8	0xd61ee8…
05-08 17:35:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	321	18¢	$58	0x4d1e40…
05-08 15:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	73	85¢	$62	0xedacaa…
05-08 15:07:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	73	40¢	$29	0x399f98…
05-08 14:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	425	5¢	$21	0xecb8f6…
05-06 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	249	3¢	$7	0x843900…
05-06 17:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	121	7¢	$8	0x93470e…
05-06 17:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x773531…
05-06 16:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x02f72f…
04-29 17:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xd8b1cc…
04-29 17:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x98a344…
03-19 15:53:29	btc updown 15m 1773935100	Down	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x11f063…
03-19 15:13:17	ethereum above 2100 on march 19	No	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x8f06a6…
03-18 15:23:29	ethereum above 2100 on march 19	No	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xf0ca59…
03-18 15:18:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 19	No	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xfc6636…
03-18 14:24:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 19	No	BUY	57	6¢	$4	0xb0af8a…
03-18 14:21:49	ethereum above 2000 on march 19	No	SELL	178	2¢	$4	0x927fc4…
03-16 15:01:05	ethereum above 2000 on march 19	No	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0xd7ab3a…
03-13 03:21:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	No	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x124760…
03-13 03:21:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	No	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xa64196…
03-12 18:10:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 13	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xd15f36…
03-11 14:02:45	btc updown 5m 1773237600	Down	BUY	676	2¢	$14	0xf0179f…
03-11 13:57:31	btc updown 15m 1773236700	Up	BUY	483	0¢	$1	0xfbb3d8…
03-11 13:45:15	ethereum above 2100 on march 11	Yes	SELL	122	12¢	$15	0xf249e6…
03-11 12:43:39	btc updown 5m 1773232800	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd6f0fa…
03-11 12:36:13	ethereum above 1900 on march 11	No	SELL	217	1¢	$3	0xb1cefb…
03-11 12:23:23	ethereum above 1900 on march 11	No	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xd1c1fe…
03-11 12:23:15	ethereum above 2100 on march 11	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x7f360b…
03-07 15:11:11	btc updown 15m 1772895600	Up	BUY	63	12¢	$7	0xef9693…
03-07 10:33:49	btc updown 5m 1772879400	Up	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xbc56f2…
03-07 10:33:01	btc updown 5m 1772879400	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x77ef5b…
03-07 10:21:05	will trump say black plastic this week march 8	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x147937…
03-07 10:20:35	will trump say peanut this week march 8	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x7b3892…
03-07 10:20:25	will trump say ice cream this week march 8	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x74ae82…
03-06 18:01:31	btc updown 5m 1772820000	Down	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0xdc1f7c…
03-06 17:58:57	btc updown 5m 1772819700	Down	SELL	88	11¢	$10	0x61a930…
03-06 17:57:49	btc updown 5m 1772819700	Down	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x380a66…
03-06 17:39:37	bitcoin up or down march 6 12pm et	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x27bc55…
02-26 15:17:14	btc updown 5m 1772118900	Up	BUY	303	5¢	$15	0xff399e…
02-25 12:33:14	bitcoin up or down february 25 7am et	Down	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x232fd0…
02-25 05:20:46	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xdfb611…
02-24 16:04:08	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5383f9…
02-24 16:03:54	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x836b54…
02-22 15:26:04	bitcoin up or down february 22 10am et	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xc717dd…
02-22 08:15:06	btc updown 5m 1771747800	Up	BUY	2,540	1¢	$25	0xce8eb1…
02-22 07:56:52	solana up or down february 22 2am et	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x6c4f9e…
02-22 07:56:38	solana up or down february 22 2am et	Down	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x8292d4…
02-22 07:44:28	solana up or down february 22 2am et	Down	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x03d493…
02-22 07:30:14	btc updown 15m 1771744500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf7d0d3…
02-22 07:29:58	btc updown 15m 1771744500	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb27ca6…
02-20 07:37:08	btc updown 15m 1771572600	Up	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xe0c4cb…
02-19 17:51:40	will solana dip to 80 february 16 22	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x81385c…
02-16 16:23:17	btc updown 5m 1771258800	Down	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x5069ac…
02-16 12:39:13	btc updown 5m 1771245300	Down	BUY	173	92¢	$158	0xdfe0fb…
02-16 12:38:31	btc updown 5m 1771245300	Up	SELL	466	34¢	$160	0xd262d2…
02-16 12:36:27	btc updown 5m 1771245300	Up	BUY	471	28¢	$130	0xaf0ea1…
02-16 12:31:59	bitcoin above 70k on february 16	Yes	SELL	297	25¢	$74	0xd690ee…
02-16 12:30:13	bitcoin above 70k on february 16	Yes	SELL	192	29¢	$56	0x91e8f9…
02-16 10:37:31	bitcoin above 70k on february 16	Yes	BUY	386	13¢	$50	0xef464d…
02-16 10:28:19	bitcoin above 70k on february 16	Yes	BUY	103	11¢	$11	0x1d332f…
02-16 10:28:01	bitcoin above 72k on february 16	Yes	SELL	759	1¢	$11	0x189cf1…
02-15 17:02:39	bitcoin above 72k on february 16	Yes	BUY	759	7¢	$50	0x7b4d02…
02-15 15:37:59	btc updown 5m 1771169700	Down	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x3b3a6b…
02-15 15:36:17	bitcoin above 70k on february 15	Yes	SELL	633	1¢	$6	0x43bd94…
02-15 13:55:25	bitcoin above 70k on february 15	Yes	BUY	633	8¢	$51	0xeb13ac…
02-15 12:46:29	btc updown 5m 1771159500	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x63b8bc…
02-15 12:43:53	btc updown 5m 1771159200	Down	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x4d8edf…
02-15 12:40:37	btc updown 5m 1771159200	Down	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x530e10…
02-15 12:38:13	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	SELL	209	3¢	$6	0xd64e42…
02-15 12:37:27	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	SELL	340	3¢	$10	0xe72f8b…
02-15 08:39:19	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	BUY	549	7¢	$41	0x70dea9…
02-14 12:44:03	ethereum above 2100 on february 14	Yes	BUY	280	18¢	$51	0xd3e6f1…
02-14 11:01:23	btc updown 5m 1771066800	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x414464…
02-14 10:21:41	bitcoin above 68k on february 14	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x41f122…
02-14 06:23:01	bitcoin above 68k on february 14	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xfb0d00…
02-14 06:22:49	bitcoin above 70k on february 14	Yes	SELL	78	6¢	$4	0x489a88…
02-13 17:49:35	bitcoin above 70k on february 14	Yes	BUY	78	27¢	$21	0x1aeb88…
02-11 08:54:25	btc updown 15m 1770799500	Up	BUY	467	22¢	$103	0x86e704…
02-11 08:12:05	btc updown 15m 1770796800	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xba1603…
02-11 08:09:57	btc updown 15m 1770796800	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x135fdd…
02-11 07:24:39	btc updown 15m 1770794100	Down	BUY	358	22¢	$79	0x41bc74…
02-11 07:16:17	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	Yes	SELL	6,678	0¢	$27	0xb4c3d0…
02-10 17:39:11	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	Yes	BUY	6,678	14¢	$943	0x8efe77…
02-10 15:18:21	bitcoin above 68k on february 10	No	BUY	459	22¢	$100	0x490cd6…
02-10 15:17:43	bitcoin above 68k on february 10	No	SELL	475	21¢	$100	0x9ba052…