Dishonest-Epoxy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$39.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-31 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$16

Other

3% 91% $0

Sports

1% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+12	$10	93¢	$11	+$1	07-31 05:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 19	109	$9.3K	4,631	4,631	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 01:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	7	$8.3K	4,130	4,130	+0	No	+$0	03-18 13:56
bitcoin above 66k on march 18	3	$8.2K	4,109	4,109	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 19:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 9	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$0	03-09 05:43
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$1	03-06 14:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 17	1	$509	510	0	+510	No	+$1	03-16 22:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	1	$508	508	0	+508	No	+$1	03-16 00:17
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 14	1	$507	508	0	+508	No	+$1	03-14 02:28
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 10	1	$506	507	0	+507	No	+$1	03-09 23:33
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$505	506	0	+506	No	+$1	03-09 05:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$503	504	0	+504	No	+$1	03-06 14:34
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on march 8	2	$503	505	0	+505	No	+$2	03-06 23:42
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 5	1	$502	503	0	+503	No	+$1	03-05 00:46
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 4	1	$502	502	0	+502	No	+$1	03-04 06:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	1	$501	502	0	+502	No	+$1	03-02 23:55
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	03-18 07:38
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 1	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	03-01 11:31
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	1	$424	424	0	+424	No	+$0	03-13 00:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 12	1	$394	395	0	+395	No	+$0	03-11 23:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$391	392	0	+392	No	+$1	03-11 01:19
will the price of ethereum be less than 1400 on march 2	1	$267	267	0	+267	No	+$0	03-01 23:57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$251	127	127	+0	No	-$4	07-22 09:06
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	1	$233	234	0	+234	No	+$1	03-01 23:57
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$231	116,225	115,115	+1,110	No	-$1	03-11 23:41
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$168	84,237	83,437	+800	No	-$1	03-13 14:10
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 31	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	03-30 23:56
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 30	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	03-29 23:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	03-29 00:22
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$120	121	0	+121	Yes	+$0	03-27 23:30
will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 27	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	03-27 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 05:31:47	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xeb03af…
07-22 09:06:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	127	97¢	$124	0x005041…
07-22 01:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x6086bd…
07-16 13:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x5d094c…
07-12 01:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd52811…
07-06 11:55:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1a0ea…
06-29 02:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x20da70…
06-25 05:04:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2060ef…
06-23 01:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x820721…
06-14 00:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfafe3e…
06-07 08:35:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe774f5…
06-04 23:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x88002c…
06-03 07:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x8928ea…
06-02 14:36:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xcb4876…
06-02 00:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb631a…
05-28 00:10:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xda7565…
05-24 23:47:57	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xbe75dc…
05-24 23:47:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x25d1f7…
05-21 00:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x28c94e…
05-19 02:58:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xbfb735…
05-13 07:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x9b07e0…
05-11 23:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x9348e3…
05-10 01:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xb3ef2d…
05-06 08:56:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x4dd30b…
04-26 01:29:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xdc6122…
04-23 23:51:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8d2aba…
04-22 08:30:58	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 22	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xe7a003…
04-20 07:38:12	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x1dc9f7…
04-15 23:36:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 16	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xf1b423…
04-14 23:52:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 15	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x60700e…
04-14 02:07:03	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x843f40…
04-12 23:50:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$61	0xdbf7c7…
04-12 00:54:31	bitcoin above 66k on april 12	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa062a6…
04-11 01:12:09	bitcoin above 64k on april 11	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x895414…
04-10 01:31:47	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 10	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xd0962f…
04-09 01:20:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x330221…
04-07 23:34:43	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 8	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x11ab0b…
04-07 08:11:49	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xe2bcb6…
03-30 23:56:29	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 31	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x875fbd…
03-29 23:17:00	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 30	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x1307f5…
03-29 00:22:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xa7e8c7…
03-27 23:30:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x3f6083…
03-27 01:43:59	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 27	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x8bfea1…
03-25 23:41:13	ethereum above 1800 on march 26	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x0a9399…
03-24 23:20:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 25	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x44ca19…
03-23 23:39:47	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf66f4b…
03-23 01:06:23	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on march 23	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x874eaf…
03-20 00:42:21	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 20	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xa67036…
03-19 01:11:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e0570…
03-19 01:01:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	1,339	100¢	$1,338	0xd27ab7…
03-19 01:01:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebf80c…
03-19 00:54:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec2ba2…
03-19 00:51:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8f53f4…
03-19 00:49:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	701	100¢	$700	0x182744…
03-19 00:45:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe22614…
03-19 00:41:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x4a8b85…
03-19 00:32:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x31784a…
03-19 00:30:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xed7f50…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe6cc57…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd42b96…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd40bbd…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbeb47d…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xafc7db…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5b7575…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x522327…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4fb897…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x42b82a…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3b5658…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x30620e…
03-19 00:30:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x186159…
03-19 00:30:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x83035d…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb8115f…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9b734c…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x90fbdd…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x712bc7…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1c768a…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x165172…
03-19 00:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x06cca7…
03-19 00:29:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf5f56c…
03-19 00:29:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6cf997…
03-19 00:29:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2516a0…
03-19 00:29:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc5ea1a…
03-19 00:28:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x986bc8…
03-19 00:28:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x90b78b…
03-19 00:28:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x75ef59…
03-19 00:28:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2cf7fe…
03-19 00:28:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xaca8ec…
03-19 00:28:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x983c7d…
03-19 00:28:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6bb6fe…
03-19 00:28:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x388ac3…
03-19 00:28:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9eb06c…
03-19 00:28:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcdc79d…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xe0a81d…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdfe9c0…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xcda627…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x72d384…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6b03ce…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6a8617…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x22528c…
03-19 00:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 19	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1b8a74…