Ill-Fated-Greatgrandmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

614

Trades

5,732

lifetime

Volume

$31.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-21 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 49% -$963

Other

21% 77% -$1,111

Sports

4% 36% -$121

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	2	$1.3K	769	769	+0	Over	+$268	05-02 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	38	$794	717	717	+0	Up	+$210	06-02 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	70	$526	416	416	+0	Up	+$41	05-24 13:42
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	3	$514	315	315	+0	Yes	+$114	06-13 02:53
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Over	-$500	05-02 11:33
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$500	831	0	+831	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	-$500	05-02 11:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC	34	$377	297	215	+82	Up	+$57	06-26 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 14:15 UTC	24	$341	428	0	+428	Up	-$71	06-25 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	75	$306	498	0	+498	Up	-$131	05-25 02:39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$305	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$29	06-25 02:08
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	3	$298	370	185	+185	No	-$102	06-12 15:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 10:00 UTC	31	$297	366	0	+366	Up	-$217	06-28 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	106	$296	545	0	+545	Up	-$65	05-26 10:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 09:15 UTC	23	$287	337	0	+337	Down	+$25	06-28 09:28
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?	2	$285	185	185	+0	No	+$85	05-02 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 03:45 UTC	29	$267	330	0	+330	Up	-$227	06-28 03:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC	29	$247	319	0	+319	Down	+$7	06-27 23:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 05:00 UTC	31	$246	317	0	+317	Up	-$15	06-26 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 03:15 UTC	3	$237	260	0	+260	Up	+$23	06-24 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	22	$235	280	0	+280	Down	+$25	06-26 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC	28	$233	278	0	+278	Down	+$25	06-26 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 09:15 UTC	26	$232	299	0	+299	Up	-$33	06-27 09:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 17:30 UTC	34	$230	307	0	+307	Down	-$185	06-25 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 04:30 UTC	10	$208	234	0	+234	Down	+$26	06-26 04:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	3	$205	1,031	0	+1,031	Yes	-$205	05-26 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:10 UTC	38	$201	180	115	+65	Up	+$6	04-22 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 23:00 UTC	25	$201	244	0	+244	Up	+$28	06-26 23:14
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	2	$200	293	0	+293	Yes	+$93	06-15 03:38
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$198	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$6	06-29 06:17
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$196	185	185	+0	Cabo Verde	-$4	06-15 15:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 15:42:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x9f69ed…
08-21 15:42:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x07bc44…
08-21 15:42:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x19ea5b…
08-21 15:41:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xd2e1b8…
08-21 15:41:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x8376be…
08-21 15:41:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x1cbfc1…
08-21 15:40:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x5f36a2…
08-21 15:34:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x90f2cd…
08-21 15:33:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x985afa…
08-21 15:29:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d632e…
08-21 15:17:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x7e038f…
08-21 15:16:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdb9b7d…
08-21 15:11:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x7c4dd5…
07-21 09:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9a31d9…
07-21 05:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x849aed…
07-21 05:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xea0cfd…
07-21 05:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9e78e2…
07-21 05:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3d6c00…
07-20 11:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc44ce8…
07-20 11:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6cf0a6…
07-20 11:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfd7d45…
07-20 11:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x923782…
07-20 11:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa69f58…
07-20 11:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x946a5c…
07-20 11:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x89a841…
07-20 11:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc04688…
07-20 11:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9e3d99…
07-20 11:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x88be3e…
07-20 09:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x126c40…
07-20 07:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xc1b7aa…
07-20 07:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x1a2f67…
07-20 07:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x10ed96…
07-20 06:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x90e3f9…
07-20 06:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x0587cd…
07-20 06:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x48e2e4…
07-20 05:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x16219c…
07-20 05:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2923d3…
07-19 21:44:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$53	0xafb0f4…
07-19 08:03:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xec960b…
07-19 08:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xa08954…
07-19 08:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x51cff4…
07-19 08:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcb5adf…
07-19 07:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 19?	No	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x15aa01…
07-19 07:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x7a706d…
07-19 06:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x999e70…
07-19 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xe128cc…
07-19 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xa46dba…
07-19 05:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 19?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x330542…
07-19 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xd1c206…
07-19 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa91560…
07-19 04:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x31a372…
07-18 16:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf3a60f…
07-18 07:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd75ac7…
07-18 07:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x88247a…
07-18 06:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9579a0…
07-18 06:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3c856e…
07-18 06:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x2e6f5d…
07-18 04:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5fa233…
07-17 09:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x520599…
07-17 08:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0xd77eba…
07-17 08:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xdf308e…
07-17 08:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xac6d9d…
07-17 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xe34f0a…
07-17 08:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xffa4db…
07-17 07:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x8428a8…
07-17 07:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x85839d…
07-17 07:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x445696…
07-17 05:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x243d46…
07-17 04:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4aa4ac…
07-17 04:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x6d9970…
07-16 06:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb215a2…
07-16 05:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5c46a…
07-16 05:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25d935…
07-16 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x09e6ae…
07-16 05:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xed6e4b…
07-16 05:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x924a6b…
07-16 04:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9712a…
07-15 08:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6ba51…
07-15 08:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x337f44…
07-15 05:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x12cf8a…
07-15 04:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x39f357…
07-15 04:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d9c87…
07-14 16:14:29	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0822dc…
07-14 11:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x516b4c…
07-14 11:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcb9e83…
07-14 08:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9214dd…
07-14 08:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x65a37c…
07-14 07:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1a137a…
07-14 05:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfc51b2…
07-14 05:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5672b6…
07-14 04:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3e42c4…
07-14 04:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9e16f2…
07-14 04:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xce54c4…
07-13 07:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0ed78…
07-13 07:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e6e99…
07-13 07:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2da50…
07-13 05:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe2033e…
07-13 05:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa86ccd…
07-13 05:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ebb0f…
07-13 05:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xeb0372…