Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$301

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

5,527

Trades

5,960

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$500

18 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-25 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 48% +$357

Other

21% 46% -$55

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 776 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	-100	-$66	84¢	$-84	-$18	09-30 12:46
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	-50	-$42	99¢	$-49	-$8	10-01 03:47
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	-50	-$43	97¢	$-48	-$6	09-29 22:58
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	-50	-$44	96¢	$-48	-$5	09-29 22:52
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	-50	-$31	86¢	$-43	-$12	10-01 03:12
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	No	-50	-$41	84¢	$-42	-$1	09-30 13:03
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	-50	-$32	80¢	$-40	-$8	09-30 11:01
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	-50	-$33	78¢	$-39	-$6	10-01 02:28
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	No	-50	-$30	69¢	$-34	-$5	10-01 19:23
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	Yes	-100	-$28	16¢	$-16	+$12	09-30 10:16
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	Yes	-50	-$20	31¢	$-16	+$4	10-01 20:01
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	Yes	-50	-$17	22¢	$-11	+$6	10-01 06:16
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	Yes	-50	-$16	20¢	$-10	+$5	09-30 10:27
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	Yes	-50	-$9	16¢	$-8	+$1	09-30 13:46
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	-50	-$18	14¢	$-7	+$11	10-01 03:16
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	Yes	-50	-$5	4¢	$-2	+$3	09-30 03:16
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	Yes	-50	-$6	3¢	$-2	+$4	09-30 04:31
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	-50	-$4	1¢	$-1	+$3	10-01 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	16	$181	0	400	-400	Yes	-$19	09-30 22:16
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	12	$139	0	280	-280	open	—	10-06 02:30
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	4	$94	0	200	-200	open	—	09-30 12:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	7	$62	0	125	-125	No	$0	10-07 21:43
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 33m tonnes at end of november 2026	4	$57	0	120	-120	open	—	10-05 06:02
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	3	$50	0	100	-100	open	—	09-30 13:46
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	2	$50	0	100	-100	open	—	10-01 06:16
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	2	$49	0	100	-100	open	—	09-30 04:31
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	2	$49	0	100	-100	open	—	10-01 20:01
will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	2	$48	0	100	-100	open	—	09-30 03:16
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	2	$48	0	100	-100	open	—	10-01 03:16
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	2	$47	0	100	-100	open	—	09-30 11:01
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	2	$45	0	100	-100	open	—	10-01 08:32
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$45	30	30	+0	Down	+$15	10-13 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	1	$41	80	0	+80	Down	-$41	10-13 21:09
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?	3	$39	0	80	-80	open	—	10-07 14:41
Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	6	$38	0	80	-80	No	-$2	10-06 16:28
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 35m tonnes at end of october 2026	2	$34	0	100	-100	open	—	10-13 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$25	31	10	+21	Down	-$5	10-13 06:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	25	$24	0	48	-48	No	+$0	10-05 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	13	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	10-21 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	11	$24	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	10-21 16:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	1	$21	40	0	+40	Down	-$21	10-13 21:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	4	$19	0	40	-40	Yes	-$1	10-05 21:57
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?	2	$18	0	40	-40	open	—	10-13 19:24
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	1	$16	0	20	-20	No	-$4	10-06 15:24
Will Shankar Balasubramanian win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	1	$16	0	20	-20	No	-$4	10-06 15:19
ZCash Up or Down - October 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$15	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	10-13 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	6	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	10-21 08:01
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$14	10	5	+5	Up	-$4	10-13 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 06:50:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x86f76b…
10-25 06:49:54	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x900381…
10-25 06:49:47	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfdf583…
10-25 06:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x73fbfc…
10-25 06:45:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x689879…
10-25 06:45:00	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9ff561…
10-25 06:44:57	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x07b46f…
10-25 06:44:51	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa3df3c…
10-25 06:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xda7cff…
10-25 06:41:45	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xde8fcf…
10-25 06:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xceb315…
10-25 06:39:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x99158a…
10-25 06:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7cb61a…
10-25 06:34:51	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xad2278…
10-25 06:29:48	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcfe773…
10-25 06:19:51	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2ab02f…
10-25 06:14:51	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x416c4c…
10-25 06:09:51	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb55185…
10-25 06:05:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x13c874…
10-25 06:04:54	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9d0378…
10-25 06:04:50	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x13f79b…
10-25 05:54:50	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6a9f76…
10-25 05:49:53	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x283f9b…
10-25 05:49:47	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7071b6…
10-25 05:45:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x313630…
10-25 05:44:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5bf745…
10-25 05:44:51	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9d115c…
10-25 05:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x58ef22…
10-25 05:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1f605f…
10-25 05:35:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1f3c04…
10-25 05:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x723c6f…
10-25 05:34:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf07f03…
10-25 05:34:51	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd9b6f7…
10-25 05:30:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2f983e…
10-25 05:30:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc00940…
10-25 05:29:54	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f3ce5…
10-25 05:29:50	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3e8f3c…
10-25 05:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3f8da2…
10-25 05:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xde6395…
10-25 05:24:54	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x65df42…
10-25 05:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x68c42d…
10-25 05:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x67d771…
10-25 05:14:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4eed8b…
10-25 05:14:54	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x90648d…
10-25 05:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbc9816…
10-25 05:04:51	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x00e386…
10-25 04:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd3c4a6…
10-25 04:50:06	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa31510…
10-25 04:44:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb1bc83…
10-25 04:44:53	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbb6eae…
10-25 04:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfb9adc…
10-25 04:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1b61dd…
10-25 04:40:44	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x17bacd…
10-25 04:39:56	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9ee578…
10-25 04:34:53	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x94aef7…
10-25 04:29:48	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x62ac29…
10-25 04:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc0bd13…
10-25 04:24:54	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaef5df…
10-25 04:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2c17ec…
10-25 04:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5e7057…
10-25 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe7cccd…
10-25 04:09:54	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x39be4b…
10-25 04:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x790723…
10-25 04:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcc6190…
10-25 03:59:54	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x790044…
10-25 03:54:48	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xec49a7…
10-25 03:44:45	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x695d9b…
10-25 03:40:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x819c2f…
10-25 03:39:56	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4161a7…
10-25 03:39:53	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe57108…
10-25 03:39:48	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd0b1b0…
10-25 03:19:56	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe3def6…
10-25 03:19:51	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3d0d9e…
10-25 03:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x920420…
10-25 03:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x19f998…
10-25 03:15:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8a87d6…
10-25 03:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6ca5cd…
10-25 03:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc4cf12…
10-25 03:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfbaf5a…
10-25 03:10:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0cff80…
10-25 03:09:57	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x742b40…
10-25 03:09:53	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb4c79e…
10-25 03:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x69dc5f…
10-25 02:54:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd0095e…
10-25 02:54:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9c0f96…
10-25 02:54:45	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x300806…
10-25 02:44:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xae9582…
10-25 02:44:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2033f7…
10-25 02:39:59	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1cb6c2…
10-25 02:39:56	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x53ff4d…
10-25 02:39:51	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8efd13…
10-25 02:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x571241…
10-25 02:24:59	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x108fb0…
10-25 02:24:54	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x49e1ac…
10-25 02:24:50	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa50870…
10-25 02:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3dea0b…
10-25 02:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x654e5b…
10-25 02:14:50	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5f3f9e…
10-25 02:04:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x66da55…
10-25 02:00:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x37e574…