Circular-Poignance-Explanation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$163

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

100

Trades

789

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 06-20 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

88% 55% -$188

Politics

8% 92% +$9

Sports

5% 100% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes		+3	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	06-08 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 28?	25	$481	242	242	+0	No	+$2	05-28 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 29?	8	$118	114	48	+66	Yes	-$21	05-29 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	25	$107	66	66	+0	Yes	+$7	05-29 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	85	$94	700	45	+654	No	-$46	06-03 08:28
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	2	$89	439	439	+0	Yes	-$9	06-17 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?	8	$77	326	0	+326	No	-$77	05-29 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	7	$50	96	5	+91	No	-$3	05-28 09:54
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	6	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	06-01 07:38
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 19:10
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$1	06-14 21:47
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$41	50	10	+40	Yes	+$15	06-13 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 28?	3	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-28 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?	5	$40	111	47	+64	Yes	-$7	05-28 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	68	$40	138	132	+7	No	+$3	06-03 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	21	$31	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	05-31 07:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	05-28 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?	28	$23	19	19	+0	No	$0	06-01 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	05-29 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?	116	$22	612	610	+2	No	-$12	06-02 04:19
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-01 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:06
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	05-28 21:44
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-28 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-29 20:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-26 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	5	$19	19	19	+0	Yes	+$17	06-01 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?	15	$18	30	7	+23	No	-$2	06-01 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?	14	$17	31	31	+0	Yes	+$12	05-31 06:45
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$17	41	17	+24	No	-$8	05-26 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 16:39:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa56203…
06-19 19:10:47	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0xd8fee7…
06-17 13:24:52	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xcd8780…
06-17 13:24:41	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x29ca3c…
06-17 13:24:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x835170…
06-17 13:18:52	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	439	9¢	$40	0x512ae1…
06-16 10:42:27	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	439	11¢	$49	0x854d2f…
06-14 21:47:19	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x20cba7…
06-14 19:43:19	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa09de4…
06-14 15:27:18	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x4b8063…
06-14 10:39:48	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41b163…
06-14 08:51:22	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f6149…
06-14 08:50:22	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b8308…
06-14 08:28:45	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x538e6c…
06-14 07:53:25	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd1542…
06-14 07:30:18	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x5fc3af…
06-14 07:06:34	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x968ac9…
06-13 18:25:31	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf34482…
06-13 16:45:37	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xa4e92a…
06-13 11:11:39	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62b436…
06-13 09:41:40	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x2e0e86…
06-12 13:35:55	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xaa0e12…
06-12 13:32:46	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb42648…
06-12 13:31:46	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdc9dfc…
06-12 13:31:46	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdb43d4…
06-12 13:31:46	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa5caa2…
06-12 13:31:45	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4bd705…
06-12 10:34:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17e80b…
06-12 01:18:36	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46b8c5…
06-12 01:18:36	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30e847…
06-11 20:38:42	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd293bf…
06-11 15:41:33	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9907cd…
06-10 15:18:36	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x20f414…
06-10 14:54:37	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x95ddb3…
06-10 04:37:51	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 98	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66fa16…
06-09 08:21:57	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd0814c…
06-08 17:25:13	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae4060…
06-08 13:52:21	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x34b227…
06-08 13:01:52	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xefa2c3…
06-08 12:55:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9a0a9d…
06-08 11:20:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfb3778…
06-08 03:40:57	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x83cc71…
06-07 20:47:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xa6259e…
06-07 20:02:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa8e6ab…
06-07 20:02:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xeea948…
06-07 13:45:55	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d9939…
06-07 13:20:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa15ef6…
06-07 12:36:34	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43d96c…
06-06 14:35:22	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e2800…
06-06 08:18:13	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdb792…
06-04 19:49:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x939861…
06-04 19:48:34	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x310bd6…
06-04 19:32:16	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6c043…
06-04 19:26:00	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa007e3…
06-04 19:23:52	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8bf93e…
06-04 14:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6b676…
06-04 13:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57baea…
06-04 13:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bbad8…
06-04 13:32:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2a520…
06-04 13:32:13	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72682e…
06-04 13:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebb7c6…
06-04 13:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x454db2…
06-04 08:53:13	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae03e9…
06-04 02:42:37	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x09fbb2…
06-03 23:59:03	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x2a4223…
06-03 23:58:58	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x0c0288…
06-03 23:18:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xdec198…
06-03 20:36:40	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85f258…
06-03 19:26:27	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1bcd31…
06-03 19:24:01	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb97b5e…
06-03 16:24:31	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd2749…
06-03 16:24:27	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30d50b…
06-03 14:43:07	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x160106…
06-03 13:53:17	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba6315…
06-03 09:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x279e69…
06-03 09:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xfc2d7a…
06-03 08:38:17	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d75f3…
06-03 08:38:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97da4b…
06-03 08:38:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a3341…
06-03 08:37:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1f88c…
06-03 08:37:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb91e86…
06-03 08:37:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac160f…
06-03 08:37:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x830a2d…
06-03 08:37:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x21e6ce…
06-03 08:37:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd29885…
06-03 08:37:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x94ba4a…
06-03 08:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x9248b9…
06-03 08:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb6073a…
06-03 08:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6d7479…
06-03 08:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1d21a5…
06-03 08:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x3eaea8…
06-03 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc05b7…
06-03 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x616ad1…
06-03 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54b43e…
06-03 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3ebc49…
06-03 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x21df97…
06-03 08:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf94cfe…
06-03 08:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe3b834…
06-03 08:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xde8868…
06-03 08:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd46b03…