Unnatural-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,146 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$112

$63.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-28 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 84% +$333

Other

1% 46% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	12	$1.2K	731	516	+215	Down	+$10	05-02 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:15 UTC	8	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$11	04-19 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:00 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$20	04-19 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:05 UTC	1	$742	749	0	+749	Up	+$7	04-19 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	9	$622	623	10	+613	Down	+$9	05-02 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	11	$500	526	0	+526	Up	-$500	05-02 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	05-02 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$500	506	0	+506	Down	+$6	05-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	04-30 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$500	591	0	+591	Up	+$91	04-28 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$500	515	0	+515	Up	+$15	05-01 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$500	515	0	+515	Up	+$15	04-30 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-02 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	05-02 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	05-01 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-30 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-01 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	11	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-30 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-01 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-28 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-30 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-30 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-01 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	8	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-01 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-01 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	04-30 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-30 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	04-30 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	04-30 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	05-01 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:15:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeae838…
10-28 04:16:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x135868…
10-28 03:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x579832…
10-28 02:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbb3c60…
10-27 19:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x38bf58…
10-27 18:10:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4100d6…
10-27 15:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd3a326…
10-27 07:17:23	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x470409…
10-27 04:15:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x48570e…
10-27 04:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6299b0…
10-27 01:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1da151…
10-27 00:16:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x8cca17…
10-26 23:15:38	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa8105e…
10-26 23:15:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8b0d30…
10-26 17:59:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x203e4f…
10-26 17:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x296e9d…
10-26 16:26:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5c2c4d…
10-26 16:26:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x58e646…
10-26 16:26:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xacefe0…
10-26 16:26:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x4e0c0e…
10-26 16:26:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3c099e…
10-26 16:18:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8b8d1a…
10-26 16:15:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x27415e…
10-26 16:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x49bb73…
10-26 16:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x967e30…
10-26 15:45:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x442a76…
10-26 15:38:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x4dc333…
10-26 15:28:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4dc538…
10-26 15:22:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x0f2bce…
10-26 08:47:18	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0688b2…
10-26 08:09:27	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xec8c13…
10-26 08:09:21	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf6a5ef…
10-26 08:09:00	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb93062…
10-26 07:55:32	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x319489…
10-26 07:16:02	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb83dd0…
10-23 11:41:02	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x45ed27…
10-23 05:07:50	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbea0da…
10-22 07:44:06	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x72a48a…
10-22 04:15:59	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x921acf…
10-22 01:09:51	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbd1049…
10-21 04:16:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfdebe4…
10-20 21:15:50	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x206ec6…
10-19 23:16:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfacd6f…
10-19 04:15:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7653bd…
10-17 22:15:29	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3d4e51…
10-17 16:09:17	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x111f3c…
10-17 06:28:56	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xff7a21…
10-17 04:15:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdb02ef…
10-16 16:15:25	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd40dd0…
10-16 16:09:24	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a3be2…
10-16 01:06:52	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0b584c…
10-15 22:21:45	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xff528a…
10-15 21:15:44	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7eb77b…
10-15 11:59:23	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0be942…
10-15 04:16:08	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x082745…
10-15 04:16:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x026cd8…
10-15 03:16:05	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x07b63e…
10-14 23:15:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x46f91a…
10-14 22:15:54	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xd24783…
10-14 16:19:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1804e4…
10-14 16:16:42	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8900e6…
10-14 07:29:23	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xca137b…
10-14 07:15:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x26f0a5…
10-13 22:16:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x65a3fc…
10-13 21:17:00	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3fe742…
10-13 21:17:00	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3b3cb6…
10-13 18:45:55	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf904a1…
10-13 16:15:49	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcee4fe…
10-13 05:15:26	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe8ca86…
10-12 22:16:11	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1eabf4…
10-12 19:06:03	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x978c01…
10-12 11:15:47	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf54e53…
10-12 04:15:32	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa1e1d4…
10-10 07:24:57	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa099da…
10-09 21:15:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7794bb…
10-09 18:45:31	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x968579…
10-09 07:16:06	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xec4fa5…
10-09 05:16:35	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xee6f58…
10-09 05:16:35	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xec6730…
10-09 04:15:58	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb8986a…
10-09 04:15:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x44959f…
10-08 21:15:44	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4a8776…
10-08 21:15:44	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x358978…
10-08 15:15:30	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x76c3ee…
10-08 07:15:13	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x152dd3…
10-08 06:18:10	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5524f7…
10-07 21:15:47	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6c91fb…
10-07 16:42:56	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x60819b…
10-07 16:42:56	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5358d4…
10-07 16:42:56	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1c8c48…
10-07 16:16:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x870fbb…
10-07 04:16:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3be9b0…
10-05 15:19:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x001f13…
10-05 00:06:47	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 11°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ef581…
10-04 22:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8e820c…
10-04 06:11:07	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x19f115…
10-03 22:12:49	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x31acd1…
10-03 16:08:35	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1ac9be…
10-03 07:07:15	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeb66c4…
10-03 00:11:59	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaf50eb…