Measly-Validity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$303

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

907

Trades

2,193

lifetime

Volume

$60.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-07 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Other

95% 72% -$363

Sports

4% 66% +$55

Crypto

1% 47% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+9	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	10-25 19:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	30	$1.3K	1,015	1,015	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$27	05-16 20:41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	18	$1.1K	675	675	+0	Jannik Sinner	-$4	05-17 17:09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$959	2,283	2,283	+0	No	+$7	07-09 22:04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	16	$779	550	540	+10	Jannik Sinner	+$13	05-16 14:22
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 8pt5	2	$626	317	317	+0	Under	+$6	06-20 02:12
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	21	$622	540	540	+0	Mirra Andreeva	-$1	06-06 14:48
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	4	$597	385	385	+0	Over	+$27	06-20 01:19
Paris: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva	14	$561	435	323	+112	Madison Keys	-$47	05-16 15:04
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	3	$538	275	275	+0	Under	+$8	06-21 23:55
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	2	$537	277	277	+0	Under	+$11	06-21 17:29
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina	19	$490	378	378	+0	Yulia Starodubtseva	-$10	05-27 15:53
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	19	$468	401	401	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$2	06-07 17:43
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	19	$456	308	304	+4	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$6	05-28 13:45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	4	$445	228	228	+0	Yes	+$1	06-28 20:56
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 first half total 0pt5	8	$436	348	348	+0	Under	-$24	07-04 17:41
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	2	$425	222	222	+0	Over	+$7	06-17 20:11
Uruguay leading at halftime?	2	$414	207	207	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 22:53
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	2	$404	210	210	+0	Over	+$14	06-17 17:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	5	$387	221	221	+0	Yes	+$5	06-28 02:35
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar	13	$376	340	340	+0	Elina Svitolina	-$50	05-25 14:25
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	15	$374	244	242	+1	Maja Chwalinska	+$9	06-04 17:17
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	2	$372	192	192	+0	Over	+$10	06-16 22:32
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	2	$364	195	195	+0	Yes	+$13	06-21 16:15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	6	$332	172	172	+0	Under	+$2	10-20 21:53
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 5pt5	4	$324	178	178	+0	Under	+$20	07-07 18:05
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 4pt5	3	$323	180	180	+0	Under	+$7	07-03 23:17
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	2	$322	173	173	+0	Over	+$22	07-02 20:29
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 4pt5	2	$313	170	170	+0	Under	+$13	07-02 23:43
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	2	$311	167	167	+0	Over	+$11	06-21 16:15
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 7pt5	3	$308	163	163	+0	Under	+$8	06-20 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 20:45:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xa73afa…
11-07 20:45:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xa56dbf…
11-07 20:44:51	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x629667…
11-07 19:29:49	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x0641fd…
11-07 19:23:18	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x934cca…
11-07 19:20:46	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x43d858…
11-07 18:54:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xe964a0…
11-07 18:44:16	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6b7309…
11-07 18:41:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x763835…
11-07 18:40:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x13b568…
11-07 18:23:54	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x228566…
11-07 17:21:04	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0x803dbb…
11-07 17:04:33	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0x5b45e8…
11-06 20:40:16	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0xa197d1…
11-06 20:27:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x6bd7e0…
11-06 20:23:55	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x7cf6f4…
11-06 00:01:27	AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xc48bbc…
11-05 20:24:19	AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x6c110f…
11-05 02:24:37	Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 260.5	Under	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6bf066…
11-04 20:54:03	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf020ea…
11-04 20:08:13	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x8ae7ac…
11-04 19:06:51	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x249000…
11-04 19:05:45	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4915a5…
11-04 19:05:43	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf3ad34…
11-04 19:05:43	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x6aacd2…
11-04 18:23:06	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x015fae…
11-04 18:18:48	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0xde1e1d…
11-04 18:03:42	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x346afe…
11-04 18:02:19	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xab047f…
11-04 18:01:18	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	76	93¢	$71	0x9816b8…
11-04 18:01:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x806f74…
11-03 22:12:28	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xc09b9a…
11-03 22:11:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x860ee2…
11-03 20:50:24	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xf74204…
11-03 20:17:36	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xf71a48…
11-03 20:17:27	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd4dfbe…
11-03 20:14:52	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa6d0e5…
11-03 20:14:37	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e9490…
11-03 20:12:42	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfa7700…
11-03 20:11:36	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xdffa4a…
11-03 19:55:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfd2243…
11-03 19:53:39	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x041be9…
11-03 10:08:25	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x6343f2…
11-03 10:03:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x55aa9d…
11-03 00:36:39	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf546b6…
11-03 00:31:16	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc0d83e…
11-03 00:30:48	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3aac13…
11-02 20:44:07	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0xd4f9bf…
11-02 19:33:19	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x9d9259…
11-02 17:09:28	Exact Score: Real Oviedo 2 - 3 UD Las Palmas?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x726df9…
11-02 17:07:24	Exact Score: Real Oviedo 2 - 3 UD Las Palmas?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x07928d…
11-02 14:02:03	Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x118429…
11-02 13:57:54	Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x53779d…
11-02 12:28:01	FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x30424b…
11-02 10:36:09	FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x657102…
11-01 22:50:36	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb95c13…
11-01 21:54:19	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfde8d3…
11-01 21:43:57	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x3771a7…
11-01 20:41:10	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x7907d3…
11-01 20:36:28	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xca7c42…
11-01 09:54:52	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xe255ea…
10-31 21:44:34	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x027850…
10-31 21:31:25	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xda15b9…
10-31 21:29:18	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xd7f9a9…
10-31 20:57:07	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x6224ec…
10-31 20:54:40	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	43	85¢	$36	0xf6149d…
10-31 20:45:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21ceec…
10-31 20:39:48	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfff506…
10-31 20:28:03	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1f045b…
10-31 18:09:19	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x0c5d97…
10-31 18:05:04	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x90d333…
10-31 18:01:33	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0xab6c4f…
10-31 17:55:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0xff8093…
10-31 17:54:57	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0x4dd93b…
10-31 16:45:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xd58cfe…
10-31 16:25:07	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xf6ce18…
10-31 16:18:09	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4a1a16…
10-31 03:19:01	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0xa4ca90…
10-30 14:45:54	Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	48	86¢	$42	0x6c5ed9…
10-30 01:39:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x30f0c5…
10-30 01:39:21	Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0xaffd9f…
10-29 21:38:55	Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xb3566e…
10-29 20:26:24	Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x327a02…
10-29 16:43:02	Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x34a2e2…
10-29 14:00:58	Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	81	97¢	$79	0x89d3f3…
10-28 21:22:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x4994ff…
10-28 20:21:44	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x166f4b…
10-28 19:59:44	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0xe05356…
10-28 19:57:19	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x154742…
10-27 22:08:50	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x5d688d…
10-27 21:12:59	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	63	100¢	$62	0x340193…
10-27 20:33:30	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0xb39b5c…
10-27 20:12:23	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac164e…
10-27 20:04:50	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	125	97¢	$122	0x36cb49…
10-27 20:04:38	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f2347…
10-27 19:55:59	Exact Score: Landskrona BoIS 1 - 1 Varbergs BoIS?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4cc95a…
10-27 19:46:35	Exact Score: Landskrona BoIS 1 - 1 Varbergs BoIS?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2c2857…
10-27 13:20:54	Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC: Johor Darul Ta'zim O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xaf35d0…
10-27 01:45:26	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x2d4459…
10-27 01:36:45	Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC: Johor Darul Ta'zim O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6b5adc…