Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
333
Trades
771
lifetime
Volume
$3.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$52
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-30 01:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
44% 87% -$23
Politics
27% 68% -$37
Crypto
15% 78% -$22
Sports
9% 86% +$7
Tech
5% 91% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-23 23:36
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-03 05:33
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-23 20:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-25 13:10
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $0 10-26 23:42
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +4 $4 91¢ $4 $0 10-30 01:49
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4 $4 86¢ $4 $0 10-01 19:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +4 $4 86¢ $4 $0 10-26 13:42
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $0 10-16 13:00
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +4 $4 82¢ $4 $0 10-05 07:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 09-19 00:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 09-20 17:45
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +3 $2 86¢ $2 $0 08-20 10:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3 $2 73¢ $2 $0 08-24 11:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +4 $4 41¢ $2 -$2 10-20 02:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +4 $4 37¢ $2 -$2 10-13 12:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? Yes +4 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 10-20 14:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 09-28 22:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-27 05:59