Starchy-Conception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

847

Trades

3,975

lifetime

Volume

$206.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-26 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

100% 74% -$2,099

Crypto

0% 59% -$75

Politics

0% 0% -$16

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?	18	$2.2K	1,148	1,148	+0	Yes	+$45	06-25 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	17	$1.9K	968	968	+0	Yes	+$65	06-24 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?	15	$1.7K	911	911	+0	Yes	+$108	06-25 07:52
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	19	$1.6K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$120	09-28 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	14	$1.6K	819	819	+0	Yes	+$67	07-23 10:25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?	13	$1.4K	760	760	+0	No	+$94	09-22 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 21?	14	$1.4K	738	738	+0	Yes	+$87	07-22 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?	10	$1.4K	738	738	+0	Yes	+$81	09-20 09:19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	19	$1.3K	703	703	+0	No	+$50	09-25 15:30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?	10	$1.2K	639	639	+0	No	+$37	10-08 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 3?	6	$1.2K	624	624	+0	No	+$13	10-03 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?	9	$1.2K	617	617	+0	Yes	+$15	07-24 09:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	9	$1.2K	644	644	+0	No	+$86	07-21 17:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	20	$1.2K	662	662	+0	No	+$128	09-28 21:18
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	45	$1.2K	1,397	1,397	+0	Yes	-$216	10-05 07:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22?	20	$1.2K	549	749	-200	No	+$32	06-21 23:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 8?	7	$1.2K	605	605	+0	No	+$14	10-07 23:06
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 20?	17	$1.2K	625	625	+0	No	+$53	09-19 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 4?	12	$1.1K	566	566	+0	No	+$14	10-04 06:01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 7?	23	$1.1K	601	601	+0	No	-$17	10-06 13:43
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$1.1K	675	489	+186	Yes	+$71	09-21 11:38
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19?	6	$1.0K	551	551	+0	Yes	+$69	09-19 15:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?	5	$1.0K	515	515	+0	Yes	+$13	06-21 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	3	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$8	08-11 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	13	$994	543	543	+0	No	+$87	06-21 05:46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 9?	10	$990	573	573	+0	Yes	+$153	09-09 14:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	9	$986	528	528	+0	Yes	+$40	06-24 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?	6	$969	540	540	+0	Yes	+$105	06-26 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?	8	$959	500	500	+0	Yes	+$39	07-03 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 5?	24	$940	492	492	+0	No	+$40	10-05 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:51:14	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xca2724…
10-26 08:50:11	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x1290ed…
10-25 07:39:54	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0ca326…
10-25 07:39:47	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x192285…
10-25 07:36:14	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1785a2…
10-25 04:19:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x876783…
10-24 15:32:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xca9fda…
10-24 12:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xc3041e…
10-24 05:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	No	BUY	88	92¢	$81	0x702297…
10-23 12:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 23?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x38f7d3…
10-23 06:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 23?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xc12dfe…
10-23 06:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	No	SELL	110	5¢	$5	0xb4c740…
10-23 03:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa00e66…
10-22 22:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x617851…
10-22 22:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3d15ce…
10-22 17:32:41	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x9126d0…
10-22 17:31:39	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$38	0xd4a8fe…
10-22 12:00:17	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xb223c7…
10-22 11:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x080f03…
10-21 11:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xf9e85d…
10-21 11:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 21?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x9d6863…
10-20 21:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 21?	No	BUY	94	85¢	$80	0x6fc2e2…
10-20 16:49:59	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x417846…
10-20 05:08:50	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1356a0…
10-20 05:07:15	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x826fb3…
10-20 05:06:05	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3f7f79…
10-19 12:25:21	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x59c078…
10-19 12:23:30	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe8fec1…
10-19 12:23:12	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8804a5…
10-18 08:35:45	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe07487…
10-16 14:52:18	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xcddedb…
10-16 14:40:09	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x7ab6fc…
10-16 05:50:07	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x22ec61…
10-16 05:49:24	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xfdd08e…
10-16 05:48:42	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xe58af3…
10-15 23:17:45	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x46f401…
10-15 05:46:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0xdbf63d…
10-14 13:48:35	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$1	0x8b02d9…
10-13 14:12:49	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	193	0¢	$0	0x1f54f3…
10-13 13:44:20	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0x146fdb…
10-13 10:08:08	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xb5dfcf…
10-13 06:43:46	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	435	13¢	$56	0x7d8d0d…
10-13 06:40:49	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x54565a…
10-13 06:03:52	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xc16a10…
10-13 06:02:01	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xe637f4…
10-13 05:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0xd5128b…
10-13 05:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b5b7f…
10-13 04:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa05af9…
10-13 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe9dd70…
10-13 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb8557b…
10-13 04:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0xa5f25d…
10-13 04:00:06	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x110e49…
10-13 02:36:14	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x4723ec…
10-13 02:36:03	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x41c68e…
10-13 02:35:45	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x11b77f…
10-13 02:15:12	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	418	21¢	$88	0xe43e06…
10-12 23:44:45	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	22¢	$88	0xbc31c8…
10-12 23:43:56	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x6cec79…
10-12 23:39:15	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	22¢	$88	0x723207…
10-12 23:25:21	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x84716f…
10-12 23:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x5a6d45…
10-12 22:49:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xa0d210…
10-12 14:49:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	411	95¢	$390	0x29bd2c…
10-12 14:42:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x138a95…
10-12 13:38:35	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	411	21¢	$86	0x9e1fcb…
10-12 13:24:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	447	90¢	$400	0x9f7d7c…
10-12 13:21:38	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x93ca44…
10-12 13:19:29	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x740999…
10-11 18:29:51	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	174	98¢	$170	0xa39b6a…
10-11 15:07:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xc39287…
10-11 14:29:27	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x48ffe6…
10-11 14:25:04	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0x9fc41b…
10-11 14:23:24	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xedcb9e…
10-11 14:22:43	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x9c67a2…
10-11 14:15:55	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x362352…
10-11 14:14:24	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x6104f7…
10-11 11:54:57	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x623bce…
10-11 06:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x19f993…
10-11 06:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x61a7bf…
10-11 06:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x856ed6…
10-11 05:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x757be0…
10-11 04:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 11?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0xc2a7fc…
10-11 04:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 11?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x4fb954…
10-11 04:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 11?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xeab737…
10-11 04:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1665a9…
10-11 01:52:05	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x8327dc…
10-11 01:42:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x3076d0…
10-11 01:32:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xf125cb…
10-11 01:22:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x98f449…
10-11 01:12:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xfa204c…
10-11 01:02:04	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x88dd8b…
10-11 00:52:06	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x50d5b6…
10-11 00:47:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x97e3e7…
10-11 00:37:04	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x7984ed…
10-11 00:27:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x2e6d1a…
10-11 00:17:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x3ab6d7…
10-11 00:07:06	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x195ea5…
10-11 00:02:04	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x6f6e85…
10-10 23:52:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x59f578…
10-10 23:23:36	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x7f38e6…